Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation July 2020, Issue # 644* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 73 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 86 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Asra Malik Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: asra@gallup.com.pk This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 22 national & multi country surveys 8 polling organizations have been represented. Asia: India(Bi-lateral Relations), Thailand(Health), UAE(Health) – 03 national polls Euro Americas: UK(Ethnicity, Employment Issues, Trade, Health, Health, Perceptions on Performance, Trade), USA(Family, Ethnicity, Perceptions on Performance, Health, Crime, Ethnicity, Education, Ethnicity), Australia(Consumer Confidence) – 16 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Ipsos MORI – 14 Countries (Civil Society), McKinsey & Company – 34 Countries(Consumer Confidence), Gallup International Association – 28 Countries(Consumer Confidence) – 03 polls Topic of the Week: The Opinion across the Globe is Equally Divided on Whether Life Will Return to Normal in 2021 or Not Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
644-01 68% people believe China bigger problem for India than Pakistan: Survey (Click for Details) (India) As many as 72.6 per cent of the respondents expressed trust in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership on the issue of national security. As many as 68 per cent of those who participated in a poll believe that China poses a bigger problem for India than Pakistan, and 72.6 per cent of the respondents expressed trust in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership on the issue of national security, according to a statement. Thirty-two per cent of the respondents in the ABP-CVoter poll believe that Pakistan is a more serious concern, the statement said. (Times of India) June 24, 2020 2.12 Foreign Affairs and Security » Bi/Tri-lateral Relations (Top)
644-02 Three in five Thais believe border should open within next six months (Click for Details) (Thailand) Tourism is a significant economic contribution to Thailand. In 2018, travel and tourism contributed to about 21.6% of the GDP, and the pandemic has undoubtedly affected the industry. Three in five (63%) think the border should open in the next six months – of which, a quarter (26%) believe this should be in the next three months. A quarter (26%) think this should be within the next six months to a year, and the remaining one in ten (11%) think the border should not open until after a year. (YouGov) June 25, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
MENA:
644-03 UAE residents are more likely than KSA public to wear a mask & use a sanitiser amidst Coronavirus (Click for Details) (UAE) Although the restrictions have been relaxed to some extent, precautionary measures - such as, wearing facemasks at all times when stepping outside home and availability of sanitizers at entry points within shops and malls have been made mandatory. An analysis across 23 markets between May 25th- 31st reveals that UAE residents are more likely to wear a facemask ‘always or frequently’ when outside their homes as compared to KSA residents (93% vs 78%). (YouGov MENA) June 24, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
644-04 British police oppose positive discrimination for ethnic minorities (Click for Details) (UK) YouGov Profiles data also reveals that 55% of officers think human rights laws have been bad for criminal justice – and the same proportion think the system is “much too soft”. Data from YouGov Profiles may reinforce these concerns. When asked if they believe stereotypes about other groups of people are usually true, two in five (41%) policing professionals agree that they are, compared to just a quarter of the general public (26%). (YouGov) June 22, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
644-05 Two thirds of furloughed workers worry they’ll lose their job (Click for Details) (UK) Furloughed workers are more anxious about their finances than other Brits, with two in five (39%) worrying about affording food and other essentials. A fifth (19%) of British workers are currently on the Government’s COVID-19 furlough scheme, while a quarter are going to work as normal (24%) and a third are still working, but from home (32%). New figures from YouGov’s Debt Tracker show that financial anxiety is highest of all among the furloughed staff. (YouGov) June 23, 2020 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
644-06 Do Brits back dropping Sunday trading laws? (Click for Details) (UK) Boris Johnson has been considering temporarily dropping Sunday trading laws to help retailers get back on their feet following the lockdown due to the coronavirus pandemic. The law, dating back to 1994, currently limits the opening hours of larger retails stores, while allowing smaller stores to remain open as normal. While the Prime Minister’s plans may be torpedoed by a number of Conservative MP’s who have come out against the idea, the public is still in favour of relaxing the laws. Half of adults (51%) support easing rules, while only three in ten (30%) are opposed to changing the law. Another 18% of the general population are undecided. (YouGov) June 23, 2020 2.11 Foreign Affairs and Security » Trade (Top)
644-07 Loosening lockdown: the public view (Click for Details) (UK) People across England will also now be able to visit people from one other household, indoors, so long as they remain one metre apart – the newly-reduced social distancing rule. A snap YouGov poll of yesterday’s announcements finds Britons largely support the loosening of the lockdown. Close to two-thirds (64%) support proposals to open venues like hairdressers, cinemas, museums and galleries, while 73% support being able to be indoors with another household. Six in ten (60%) support both changes. By contrast, these measures are opposed by 30% and 19% respectively, with 17% opposing both. (YouGov) June 24, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
644-08 What are the symptoms of COVID-19? Only 59% of Britons know all three (Click for Details) (UK) Given how vital it is that people are aware of the hallmarks of COVID-19 so they can self-isolate and seek medical advice, we asked Britons what they think the symptoms of coronavirus are. Unsurprisingly the three symptoms the NHS lists are the three most commonly cited. Topping the list is a cough, which 87% of Britons mentioned, followed by the temperature at 83% and then the loss of taste and/or smell at 72%. A somewhat lower figure mentioned all three in their response, although at 59% this still represents a majority of Britons. (YouGov) June 24, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
644-09 How businesses in the UK expect to change after COVID (Click for Details) (UK) New polling from YouGov provides bad news for job prospects in the UK. Two fifths (42%) of senior UK business leaders say they expect to employ fewer staff in a year’s time than they did just before lockdown began, while only 16% say they will employ more. This is matched by 47% saying they will have lower growth expectations and just 15% saying their growth expectation will be higher. Sectors most likely to say they will employ less staff are manufacturing (50%), media/ marketing/ advertising/ sales/ PR (48%) and financial services (46%). (YouGov) June 26, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
644-10 62% of Britons think the UK will not achieve a trade deal with the EU this year (Click for Details) (UK) A new poll by Ipsos MORI of British adults aged 18+ finds that 62% of Britons think the UK will leave the transition period without agreeing a trade deal with the EU. Just 1 in 4 think this outcome is unlikely. Meanwhile, 6 in 10 Britons think it is unlikely that the UK agrees a trade deal before the end of the transition period that is good for Britain. Just 1 in 4 think a good deal is likely. Conservative voters are the most optimistic, 38% think a trade deal that is good for Britain will be struck before the end of transition – but even half (49%) of Conservative voters think this outcome is unlikely. (Ipsos MORI) June 26, 2020 2.11 Foreign Affairs and Security » Trade (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
644-11 Ideal Evenings for Most Americans Involve Family Time, TV (Click for Details) (USA) Most Americans say their favorite way to spend an evening currently is either staying home with family (33%) or watching television or a movie at home (23%). Both activities have led Gallup's long-term measure of Americans' favorite way to spend an evening in the new millennium. Resting or relaxing is the evening activity of choice for 10% of Americans, followed by reading (6%) and getting outdoors/walking/going to a park (5%). (Gallup USA) June 26, 2020 4.2 Society » Family (Top)
644-12 In U.S., Views of Diversity in News Vary by Party ID, Race (Click for Details) (USA) Overall, 69% of Americans say that reflecting the diversity of the U.S. population is a "critical" (35%) or "very important" (34%) role for the media. Black (50%), Hispanic (43%) and Asian people (41%) are more likely than white people (30%) to say the media's role in reflecting diversity is "critical." And while 48% of Democrats say the same, just 33% of independents and 22% of Republicans agree. (Gallup USA) June 25, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
644-13 Sharply Fewer Americans Say U.S. in Economic Depression (Click for Details) (USA) Americans still believe the U.S. economy is contracting, but they are less bleak in their assessments than earlier in the coronavirus pandemic. Currently, 59% of U.S. adults say the economy is in a recession or a depression. When ratings were at their worst in mid-May, 75% said so. At that time, twice as many believed the U.S. was in a depression as do so now, 36% to 19%. (Gallup USA) June 25, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
644-14 More in U.S. Confident They Can Protect Self From COVID-19 (Click for Details) (USA) Though national concern about exposure to COVID-19 has remained largely steady since March, Americans are now reporting greater confidence in their ability to protect themselves from the coronavirus than in any prior Gallup survey. About one-quarter (27%) now say they are "very confident" that they can protect themselves, an increase of 16 percentage points from early April. Overall, 82% of respondents report they are at least "somewhat confident" that they will be able to avoid infection while in public. (Gallup USA) June 25, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
644-15 Record-Low 54% in U.S. Say Death Penalty Morally Acceptable (Click for Details) (USA) A record-low 54% of Americans consider the death penalty to be morally acceptable, marking a six-percentage-point decrease since last year. This finding, from Gallup's May 1-13 Values and Beliefs poll, is in line with polling last fall that showed decreased public support for the death penalty and a record-high preference for life imprisonment over the death penalty as a better punishment for murder. Currently 54% say it is morally acceptable which is the lowest on record and 40% say it is morally wrong. The highest reading for moral acceptability of the death penalty was 71% in 2006. The decrease in acceptability from 2019 to 2020 was six points. (Gallup USA) June 23, 2020 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
644-16 Views on why Black Americans face higher COVID-19 hospitalization rates vary by party, race and ethnicity (Click for Details) (USA) New data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention provides more evidence that Black Americans have been hospitalized with COVID-19 at higher rates than other racial or ethnic groups. But while the CDC has pointed to some possible factors that may be contributing to this pattern – such as work and residential circumstances – the public is divided in its perceptions, particularly along party lines, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted June 4-10. (PEW) June 26, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
644-17 Younger, more educated U.S. adults are more likely to take part in citizen science research (Click for Details) (USA) In recent years, a host of new ways have emerged for people with little or no formal science training to take part in scientific research projects. Such citizen science often entails crowdsourcing data collection related to natural phenomena such as birds and astronomical objects – and, lately, the COVID-19 pandemic – but it can encompass a wide range of other activities. One-in-ten U.S. adults say they have taken part in an activity classified as citizen science in the past year, and 26% say they have ever done so, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted April 29-May 5. (PEW) June 25, 2020 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
644-18 Black, Hispanic and white adults feel the news media misunderstand them, but for very different reasons (Click for Details) (USA) Tensions inside American newsrooms have emerged amid the recent protests over the killing of George Floyd while in police custody, including clashes between reporters and editors and concerns about newsroom diversity. While a recent study shows black Americans give high marks to the news media’s coverage of the protests, a survey conducted before the protests found deep divides between racial and ethnic groups in feelings of how the news media represent them. (PEW) June 25, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
AUSTRALASIA
644-19 CBA leads small business banking satisfaction during COVID-19 shutdowns (Click for Details) (Australia) Satisfaction increased for all four major banks and was highest in the year to April 2020 for the Commonwealth Bank at 74.6%, up 0.9% points on the corresponding figure for March. However, the biggest increase was for ANZ which increased 1.1% points to 64.2% while there were also increases in satisfaction for both Westpac and NAB. The increases in satisfaction for the four major banks in the year to April 2020 support the view that Australia’s banks have reacted well to the shutdowns caused by the COVID19 pandemic. (Roy Morgan) June 23, 2020 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence/Protection (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
644-20 Global support for peaceful George Floyd protests in U.S. with majority saying response is appropriate (Click for Details) A majority of people in 14 major countries support the peaceful protests and demonstrations that have taken place across the United States after the death of George Floyd, according to the latest Ipsos poll. In a survey of more than 15,000 people conducted on June 4 to 7, support for the action is highest in neighbouring Canada (81%), Germany and India (80%), the United Kingdom, South Africa and Mexico (79%). Russia is the only country among the 15 polled where almost a third (30%) of respondents oppose the peaceful protests. (Ipsos MORI) June 26, 2020 4.4 Society » Civil Society (Top)
644-21 Consumer sentiment is evolving as countries around the world begin to reopen (Click for Details) As the COVID-19 crisis continues and geographies around the world begin to reopen, consumer behavior has started to change. We see the following trends in consumer sentiment and behaviors globally. Despite pockets of reopening, net consumer optimism has decreased, and most consumers continue to expect a long-lasting impact from COVID-19. As incomes have declined, consumers are spending on essentials and not discretionary categories, with some exceptions in South Korea and China. Consumers are shifting to online and digital solutions as well as reduced-contact channels to get goods and services. (Mckinsey & Company) June 05, 2020 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence/Protection (Top)
644-22 The Opinion across the Globe is Equally Divided on Whether Life Will Return to Normal in 2021 or Not (Click for Details) The fear of coronavirus infection remains high in the world, but some symptoms of decrease are to be found. Despite the US, UK and Italy having 40% of all deaths worldwide, the curve in each country is now under control and lockdowns being lifted. Yet the shock remains high – 71%, 70% and 79% respectively in each country agreeing that they are afraid that either they or someone in their families may actually catch COVID 19. Across all 18 countries surveyed 66% fear catching it, 30% are not afraid. (Gallup International Association) June 30, 2020 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence/Protection (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK: The Opinion across the Globe is Equally Divided on Whether Life Will Return to Normal in 2021 or Not uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
The Opinion across the Globe is Equally Divided on Whether Life Will Return to Normal in 2021 or Not Despite almost six months of intense media scrutiny, fears of the coronavirus infection remain high; people across the globe are largely still supportive to their governments but not at the levels registered at the beginning of the crisis; while opinion is equally divided on whether life will return to normal in 2021. According to a Gallup International Poll conducted in the third wave of global polling in June 2020, despite almost six months of intense media scrutiny, fears of the coronavirus infection remain high; people across the globe are largely still supportive to their governments but not at the levels registered at the beginning of the crisis; while opinion is equally divided on whether life will return to normal in 2021. Global Results: The fear of coronavirus infection remains high in the world, but some symptoms of decrease are to be found. Despite the US, UK and Italy having 40% of all deaths worldwide, the curve in each country is now under control and lockdowns being lifted. Yet the shock remains high – 71%, 70% and 79% respectively in each country agreeing that they are afraid that either they or someone in their families may actually catch COVID 19. Across all 18 countries surveyed 66% fear catching it, 30% are not afraid.  Two countries where the curve does not appear to have flattened are Philippines and India – and it is these two countries that show the highest level of fear - 79% and 84% respectively ‘strongly agreeing’ that they are afraid of a family member catching it. There is however a slightly softer view when respondents were asked whether the threat from the virus was ‘exaggerated’. While 54% feel that it is not, 40% feel that it is exaggerated. Perceptions of an exaggeration are highest in Bosnia and Herzegovina (66%), Kazakhstan (61%), Bulgaria (59%) and Moldova (58%). But perhaps there is a lesson here to be learnt from recent history? Just 15% of those in Republic of South Korea (recently experiencing the SARS pandemic) believe the Coronavirus threat is exaggerated. Support for Government handling of the crisis remains high – 61% approve, 34% disapprove. Yet there are some significant shifts in opinion since Wave 1. In countries such as Republic of South Korea and Malaysia, support for government action on the coronavirus handling seems to be growing. In Kazakhstan and Bulgaria, the values reached between March and April remain broadly the same today. Meanwhile Japan (34%), Bosnia and Herzegovina (35%) and the UK (38%) show significantly lower levels of Government approval. And how about President Trump? 40% continue to approve, 55% disapprove. Clearly Government approval is impacted in part by a perception on whether the virus is under control. Opinion globally here is split – 44% say it is now under control, 49% that it is not. But the scale of opinion for a global pandemic is striking – ranging from 15% of those in Japan thinking it is under control to 95% in Georgia. One issue where majorities in most countries surveyed agree on is the financial impact.  In 14 of the 18 countries polled, a majority say their household income has decreased. Families in the Philippines (88%) and Pakistan (88%) are hardest hit.      But how about prospects for the future? There is no clear expectation on the prospect of life returning to normal. 42% believe that by the end of the year things will return to normal, while 47%  disagree. Those in Kazakhstan (65%), Georgia (63%), Bulgaria (61%), Malaysia (60%) and Pakistan (59%) are the more optimistic while three of the G7 members in Japan (11%), USA (28%) and UK (20%) are the most concerned. (Gallup International Association) June 30, 2020 Source: Please Click here for Details (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX These indices are being presented on a trial basis. For details on how we computed them, please see an appendix on methodology in the next issue. We would greatly welcome comments and advice from professional colleagues.
Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not for profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof. *Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact asra@gallup.com.pk