Gilani’s Gallopedia©

 Gallopedia

From Gilani Research Foundation January 2021, Issue # 674*

Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007

Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world

This issue scores 64 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 77 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details

Contact Details: Wafaa Khatibi

Research Associate, Gallup Pakistan

Email: wafaa@gallup.com.pk

This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 22 national & multi country surveys 12 polling organizations have been represented.

Asia:

Japan (Sports), UAE(Sports) – 02 national poll

Africa:

Liberia(Governance), Ethiopia(Governance), Nigeria(Governance) – 03 national poll

Euro Americas:

Netherlands(Health, Well-being), Russia(National Trust), Italy(Health), UK(Health, Education, Morality, Immigration, Health, Health), USA(Ethnicity, Crime, National History, Performance Ratings), Australia(National Image) – 16 national polls

Multi-Country Studies:

YouGov – 02 Countries (Entertainment)

YouGov – 19 Countries (Health)

Topic of the Week:

Americans Expect History to Judge Trump Harshly

Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index

ASIA AND MENA Regions

674-01 Olympians fear Tokyo Games could spread virus (Click for Details)

(Japan) Japanese athletes expecting to participate in the delayed 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games fear the sports extravaganza could end up exacerbating the novel coronavirus pandemic, posing an added risk to themselves as well as fans, an Asahi Shimbun poll shows. They also expressed concern about a lack of support from fans at a time when the public is more preoccupied with staying safe than attending a massive event. (The Asahi Shimbun)

January 24, 2021

4.15 Society » Sports

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MENA

674-02 FIFA World Cup tops YouGov Sport’s Global Buzz 2021 Rankings in UAE (Click for Details)

(UAE) FIFA World Cup takes the top spot in YouGov Sport’s Global Buzz 2021 Rankings in the UAE, becoming the sports property with the most positive Buzz among residents in the country (32.2). FIFA Club World Cup follows in the second place, with a Buzz score of 27.7. Although the event was postponed to 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it managed to create buzz among sports enthusiasts and landed a spot in the rankings. (YouGov MENA)

January 27, 2021

4.15 Society » Sports

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AFRICA Regions

AFRICA

674-03 Liberians laud government’s COVID-19 response but claim unfair distribution of relief assistance, new Afrobarometer study shows (Click for Details)

(Liberia) A majority of Liberians approve of the government’s performance in managing the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including necessary lockdowns, a new Afrobarometer survey shows. But most believe that COVID-19 relief was not distributed fairly. Better-off citizens and urban residents were about twice as likely as the poor and rural residents to benefit from this assistance, and older citizens appear to have been largely overlooked. (Afrobarometer)

January 20, 2021

1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance

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674-04 Ethiopians support rule of law, concerned about impunity for officials who break the law, Afrobarometer survey shows (Click for Details)

(Ethiopia) Ethiopians overwhelmingly favour a government that always follows the law, even when doing so runs counter to popular demand, according to the most recent Afrobarometer survey. Similarly, a majority say the prime minister must always obey the laws and courts, even if he or she thinks they are wrong. But popular faith in the rule of law confronts the widespread perception that officials who commit crimes often go unpunished and that people are often treated unequally under the law. (Afrobarometer)

January 22, 2021

1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance

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674-05 New Year Poll Result Release (Click for Details)

(Nigeria) A new public opinion poll released by NOIPolls has revealed that the top three areas Nigerians want the government to focus its effort in 2021 include Economy (51 percent), Education (50 Percent) and Security (45 Percent). The other areas Nigerians expect the government to focus its attention include Infrastructure development (Road) (42 Percent), Electricity (36 Percent), Health (29 percent), Agriculture (19 Percent), Job Creation (10 Percent), Reduction in prices of goods and services (5 percent) and lastly water (2 percent). (NOI-Polls)

January 07, 2021

1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance

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EURO-AMERICA Regions

EUROPE

674-06 Curfew ticking bomb for young people (Click for Details)

(Netherlands) To contain the corona virus, the outgoing cabinet is considering introducing a curfew. Only the advice of the Outbreak Management Team stands in the way of a decision on this. For many elderly people, the image of the curfew brings back memories of the horrors of World War II. Perhaps not directly, but still in the stories of their parents. Young people have much less of this connotation, of course, but for them too, introducing it is equivalent to exercising a 'nuclear option'. (Motivaction)

January 21, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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674-07 What financial good intentions does the Netherlands have for 2021? (Click for Details)

(Netherlands) The new year has been on its way for a few weeks now and fortunately it looks like we can look forward to better times. The past year has brought about many changes, also in the financial field. At the same time, we have also learned a tremendous amount from these changes about how to deal with unexpected changing circumstances in the new year. (Motivaction)

January 22, 2021

3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being

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674-08 Kommersant - Found a needle on a stone  (Click for Details)

(Russia) The Russians turned out to be one of the most skeptical inhabitants of the planet about their readiness to be vaccinated against COVID-19. This is evidenced by a study by the Association of Independent Research Agencies Gallup International, provided by Kommersant. In general, more than 50% of respondents in the world talk about potential consent to be vaccinated, in the Russian Federation - less than a third. Experts believe that there are a number of reasons for this reaction of Russians: mistrust of official information, lack of positive examples, and even a well-functioning healthcare system. (Romir)

January 22, 2021

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image/ Trust

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674-09 More than 7 out of 10 Italians regret the lost routine: the BVA Doxa survey for UNHCR that launches the "Fantastica Routine" campaign (Click for Details)

(Italy) Over 7 out of 10 Italians (75%) would definitely want to go back to life as before and more than 8 out of 10 (85%) found it difficult to adapt to the limitations imposed by the pandemic. A fact that does not leave us completely surprised, given the particular historical moment we are experiencing, but which takes on a different meaning when compared with the vision that the Italians had of the routine a few years ago: in 2013, 35% of our compatriots(almost 18 million Italians) declared that he would immediately change his life if only he could. (BVA Doxa)

January, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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674-10 Britons’ attitudes toward national lockdown (Click for Details)

(UK) Two thirds of Britons people (69%) say they are taking this latest lockdown just as seriously as the first, but the vast majority (76%) think that other people are not. The numbers of people saying they are taking this lockdown as seriously as the first is fairly consistent across all social groups. However, among those who are not, there is a generational difference. (YouGov)

January 21, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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674-11 Could you spot dyslexia in a child? Most teachers and parents think they could (Click for Details)

(UK) New research by YouGov looks into perceptions of support for dyslexic students and adults. Dyslexia is a common learning difficulty causing problems with reading, writing, and spelling. However, the condition can affect different people in different ways, making it hard to spot, with diagnoses of the condition normally made by specially trained dyslexia assessors. (YouGov)

January 21, 2021

4.10 Society » Education

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674-12  What white lies were Brits told as children? And which have they used themselves? (Click for Details)

(UK) White lies can be a valuable tool to weary parents in controlling their children, from getting them to eat their vegetables to cutting back on screen time. But which white lies do adults remember from their childhood, and which have been passed on by parents to their children in turn? (YouGov)

January 22, 2021

4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs / Lifestyle

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674-13 Proportion of Britons who want to see immigration reduced falls to lowest level since 2015 (Click for Details)

(UK) The proportion of those who want to see immigration in Britain reduced has fallen to its lowest level for the first time since our series of longitudinal surveys with IMIX began in February 2015. The proportion of those wanting to see immigration reduced is now 49%, which is the lowest we have recorded since our study that began in 2015. Between 2015 and 2018 the figure stood at six in ten or higher, but has fallen since, to 54% in 2019 and 52% in March 2020.  Three in ten (31%) would like it to remain the same as it is (12% want to see it increased). (Ipsos MORI)

January 22, 2021

4.8 Society » Immigration/Refugees

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674-14 Two-thirds of Britons believe there is a link between obesity and severe symptoms of COVID-19, but few see it as a motivation to lose weight (Click for Details)

(UK) Britons are among those most likely globally to say there is a link between obesity and more severe Covid-19 symptoms however, few say it is their key motivation to lose weight. In a new global Ipsos survey, across 30 countries, apart from those in Peru, Britons are most likely to recognise a link between obesity and more severe symptoms of COVID-19. Almost two-thirds (64%) think there is a link, compared to 15% who believe there is no tie. (Ipsos MORI)

January 20, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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674-15 More than 4 in 10 Britons are trying to lose weight, focusing on dieting and exercise (Click for Details)

(UK) In a new global Ipsos survey, more than 4 in 10 (43%) Britons say they are trying to lose weight. Women are significantly more likely to be trying to shed the pounds; half are currently working towards this while 37% of men are trying to do the same. When looking at methods of weight loss, dieting/reducing food intake and exercising more are most likely to be used (53% and 52% respectively). Half of British adults are eating healthier but not dieting while around a quarter are drinking fewer sugary drinks (27%) and alcohol (25%). (Ipsos MORI)

January 18, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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NORTH AMERICA

674-16 Black Americans have made gains in U.S. political leadership, but gaps remain (Click for Details)

(USA) Twelve years after Barack Obama made history as the first Black U.S. president, a Black woman was sworn in as vice president of the United States following the election of Joe Biden. Kamala Harris, who is of mixed Jamaican and Indian heritage, is the first Black American, first person of Asian descent and first woman to hold the second-highest office in the country. Harris’ election represented another advance in the slow but steady progress Black Americans have made in recent decades in gaining a greater foothold in political leadership, particularly in the U.S. House of Representatives and in the Cabinets of recent presidents. (PEW)

January 22, 2021

4.3 Society » Ethnicity

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674-17 Some Americans who have been targeted by troubling behaviors online wouldn’t call it ‘harassment’ (Click for Details)

(USA) A notable share of Americans who have personally been targets of troubling online behaviors would not label their experience as “online harassment,” according to a new Pew Research Center report. The Center’s survey conducted last September measured online harassment by asking respondents if they had personally experienced any of the following: offensive name-calling, purposeful embarrassment, stalking, physical threats, sexual harassment and sustained harassment. But in order to get a better understanding of how subjective this concept is, targets of these behaviors were asked if they considered their most recent incident to be “online harassment.” (PEW)

January 22, 2021

4.12 Society » Crime

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674-18 Americans Expect History to Judge Trump Harshly (Click for Details)

(USA) Six in 10 Americans believe that history will regard President Donald Trump negatively, including 47% who say he will be remembered for doing a "poor" job. In contrast, fewer than three in 10 think he will be remembered as an "outstanding" (9%) or "above average" (20%) president. Relatively few, 10%, believe he will go down in history as an "average" president. Views of Trump's legacy are highly partisan, with most Republicans (72%) thinking he will be remembered as above average or better and an even larger majority of Democrats (95%) predicting he will be regarded as below average or worse. (Gallup USA)

January 19, 2021

1.6 Domestic Politics » National History

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674-19 Biden Transition Approval Remains High at 68% (Click for Details)

(USA) As Joe Biden prepares to be sworn in as the 46th president of the United States, 68% of Americans approve of his handling of his presidential transition and about four in 10 rate his Cabinet appointments as "outstanding" or "above average." Majorities view Biden (57%) and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris (53%) favorably. (Gallup USA)

January 19, 2021

1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings

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AUSTRALIA

674-20 59% of Australians want January 26 known as Australia Day but a sizeable minority of 41% wants it known as Invasion Day (Click for Details)

(Australia) A majority of Australians (59%) want January 26 known as ‘Australia Day’ however a large 41% say it should be called ‘Invasion Day’ according to special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,236 Australians aged 18+ on Monday January 25, 2021. (Roy Morgan)

January 26, 2021

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image/ Trust

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MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

674-21 Has COVID-19 affected Brits’ and Americans’ love of travel? (Click for Details)

A new year brings the reality of a COVID-19 vaccine closer and those dreaming of travel may soon be able to take the trips they plan for in 2021. Given the disruption to the travel industry brought on by the pandemic – leading to reductions in the amount of traveling done last year – what has happened to travel interest among Brits and Americans during that time? Throughout the course of 2020, despite restrictions and lockdowns, more than two in five Brits said they were still interested in travel (43%). The topic of travel ranks third only slightly behind animals and nature, and food and beverage as the most popular interest among Britons.  (YouGov)

January 19, 2021

4.16 Society » Entertainment

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674-22 Europe is becoming more pro-vaccine (Click for Details)

With coronavirus vaccination programmes continuing apace across the world, data from YouGov’s COVID-19 trackers shows that Europeans are increasingly willing to take the vaccine.The biggest increase has been in Sweden. In our first survey there in mid-November only 45% of Swedes said they would be willing to take the vaccine. That figure has since increased to 66% who would take the vaccine (or have already done so). Britain has seen a similarly large increase, going from 61% to 81%. (YouGov)

January 22, 2021

4.11 Society » Health

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TOPIC OF THE WEEK:

Americans Expect History to Judge Trump Harshly

uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.

Americans Expect History to Judge Trump Harshly  

 Six in 10 Americans believe that history will regard President Donald Trump negatively, including 47% who say he will be remembered for doing a "poor" job. In contrast, fewer than three in 10 think he will be remembered as an "outstanding" (9%) or "above average" (20%) president. Relatively few, 10%, believe he will go down in history as an "average" president.

Views of Trump's legacy are highly partisan, with most Republicans (72%) thinking he will be remembered as above average or better and an even larger majority of Democrats (95%) predicting he will be regarded as below average or worse. Independents' views tip the balance of public predictions further against Trump, with 63% thinking he will be remembered negatively versus 24% positively.

Americans Believe President Trump Will Not Be Rated Positively in History

How do you think each of the following presidents will go down in history -- as an outstanding president, above average, average, below average or poor? [Donald Trump]

	Outstanding	Above average	Average	Below average	Poor
	%	%	%	%	%
U.S. adults	9	20	10	14	47
Republicans	23	49	14	6	8
Independents	6	18	12	20	43
Democrats	<1	2	3	13	82
GALLUP, JAN. 4-15, 2021

Republicans' positive ratings are muted, with many more Republicans saying Trump will be viewed as an above average president (49%) rather than an outstanding one (23%). Meanwhile, Democrats' negative opinions are overwhelmingly harsh -- 82% say history will judge Trump as a poor president, while 13% say below average. Independents are more than twice as likely to believe Trump will be judged as a poor rather than a below average president.

The Jan. 4-15 Gallup poll asked Americans to predict how Trump and eight other recent U.S. presidents will go down in history. These include the last seven presidents as well as Richard Nixon, typically the poorest rated, and John Kennedy, typically the highest rated.

Kennedy continues to be rated highest overall, with seven in 10 regarding him as an outstanding or above average president. Majorities say the same about Barack Obama (56%) and Ronald Reagan (52%).

Trump has the most polarized image of all presidents, with most Americans either predicting he will be remembered well or poorly, rather than average. This contrasts with George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush and Jimmy Carter, whose positive ratings are similar to those of Trump but who have much lower negative ratings than Trump. For the most part, Americans regard those three former presidents as being average.

Trump and Nixon are the only presidents garnering majority negative ratings. But Trump gets far more "poor" than "below average" ratings, while Nixon's negative ratings are evenly split between below average (29%) and poor (30%). Nixon receives relatively few positive ratings --11% -- so his "net positive score" is worse than Trump's.

Americans' Ratings of How Presidents Will Go Down in History

Ranked by net positive score

	Outstanding	Above average	Average	Below average	Poor	Net positive
	%	%	%	%	%	pct. pts.
Kennedy	23	47	25	2	1	+67
Reagan	17	35	30	10	6	+36
Obama	21	35	22	11	12	+33
G.H.W. Bush	7	21	53	11	6	+11
Clinton	10	26	37	16	11	+9
Carter	6	21	43	14	10	+3
G.W. Bush	6	18	49	16	10	-2
Trump	9	20	10	14	47	-32
Nixon	4	7	26	29	30	-48
Net positive is the percentage "outstanding/above average" minus the percentage "below average/poor"
GALLUP, JAN. 4-15, 2021

As would be expected, Republicans rate the former GOP presidents -- Nixon, Reagan, both Bushes and Trump -- more positively than Democrats do, while Democrats evaluate the former Democratic presidents -- Obama, Bill Clinton, Carter and Kennedy -- more charitably. Ratings of each president by party are available in the linked PDF file near the bottom of the article.

Obama, George W. Bush Ratings Improved

Gallup last asked Americans to put presidents in historical perspective at the time of the Obama-Trump presidential transition in 2017. Since then, Americans' opinions of how Obama will be remembered have improved significantly, with a nine-percentage-point increase in positive evaluations and a 12-point decrease in negative evaluations. Both recent measures were much better than those taken during Obama's presidency, in 2012 and 2013.

Line graph. Americans' ratings of how Barack Obama will go down in history have improved. In 2012, Americans were about as likely to say he would be judged an outstanding or above average president as a below average or poor one. In 2013, 40% thought he would be judged negatively and 28% positively. When he left office, that shifted to a net positive evaluation, 47% to 35%, and has improved to 56% positive and 23% negative this year.

George W. Bush is also rated better now than he was in the past. His current ratings are about equally positive (24%) and negative (26%) -- but previously, Americans were decidedly more critical in their assessments. In fact, a majority of 59% thought Bush would be remembered as a below average or poor president when he departed the White House in 2009, with only 17% thinking history would look favorably on him. The changes in Americans' ratings of Bush in recent years are primarily due to a reduction in negative ratings (shifting to "average") rather than an increase in positive ratings.

Line graph. Americans' ratings of how George W. Bush will go down in history have improved, moving from 59% negative and 17% positive when he left office in 2009, to 41% negative and 22% positive four years ago, to 26% negative and 24% positive this year.

While Obama and Bush are rated better than they were four years ago, Clinton is rated less positively. Thirty-six percent regard Clinton as an outstanding or above average president, down seven points from 2017, while the 27% rating him as below average or poor is up four points.

Line graph. Americans' ratings of how Bill Clinton will go down in history have gotten worse this year, with 36% believing he will be remembered as an outstanding or above average president and 27% as a below average or poor one. That compares with a 43% positive and 20% negative score in 2017, and a 50% positive and 20% negative score in 2009.

Since 2017, positive ratings of Kennedy and Reagan have dipped (by nine points and 11 points, respectively), with most of these shifts accompanied by an increase in the percentage of Americans rating each as average. Evaluations of George H.W. Bush, Carter and Nixon have not changed to a meaningful degree in the past four years.

Though Carter's ratings have been stable since 2017, he -- like George W. Bush -- is rated much better now than at the end of his presidency. A December 1980 Gallup poll found 14% of Americans thinking Carter would go down as an outstanding or above average president and 46% saying he would be remembered as a below average or poor one. Those negative evaluations persisted in the 1981 and 1993 updates. Now, Carter gets roughly equal positive and negative ratings.

Bottom Line

Americans think history will judge Trump harshly for his time in office, though Republicans tend to think he will be remembered as at least an "above average" if not an outstanding president. Trump and his supporters can take comfort in the historical pattern by which some former presidents' initial post-presidency ratings are not indicative of how the public thinks of them as time goes by. George W. Bush and Carter were rated much more negatively than positively when they left office, but 12 years and four decades after they, respectively, left office, Americans tend to think of both as average presidents if not good ones.

Neither Bush nor Carter, though, received the same degree of "poor" ratings as Trump gets, though neither got as many positive ratings as he did at the time.

Gallup did not measure perceptions of Nixon until 1999, and opinions of him have gotten worse since then (22% positive, 41% negative). Thus, it is also possible that Trump's perceived historical positioning will worsen as his presidency retreats into the past.

(Gallup USA)

January 19, 2021

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/328670/americans-expect-history-judge-trump-harshly.aspx

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GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX:

u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.

GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX

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Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not-for-profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof.

*Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact wafaa@gallup.com.pk