Gilani’s
Gallopedia©
Gallopedia
From Gilani
Research Foundation August 2023,
Issue # 806-809*
Compiled
on a weekly basis since January 2007
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Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly
Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
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This issue scores 50
out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of
world population, and 62 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index.
Click
for Details
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Contact Details: Natasha
Amir
Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan
Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com
This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 32 national & multi-country surveys, 10 polling organizations have been
represented.
Asia And MENA:
Turkey (Environment), Pakistan (Media, Elections) – 03 national
polls
Africa:
Nigeria (National Trust), South Africa (Defense), Liberia (Gender Issues) – 03 national
polls
Euro Americas:
UK(Immigration, International Organizations, Environment, Performance Ratings, Sports, Environment, Education, Environment) Germany (Sports), Ireland (Consumer
Confidence), USA (Education, Employment Issues, Health, Lifestyle, Employment Issues, Nuclear Issues, Ethnicity, National Image), Canada (Environment, Environment), Australia (Media, Inflation, Consumer Confidence) – 23 national
polls
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Multi-Country
Studies:
Ipsos Global – 29 Countries (Social Problems )
Ipsos Global – 30 Countries (Lifestyle )
Ipsos Global – 29 Countries (Social Problems)
Topic of the Week:
As South
Africa Looks To Russia, How Do Citizens See Influence Of Foreign Powers
Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
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806-809-01 4 Out Of 3 People Argue That
The Types Of Plastic That Cannot Be Recycled Should Be Banned (Click for Details)
(Turkey) The United Nations Environment
Assembly (UNEA) adopted a resolution in Nairobi, Kenya, in 2022, which
stipulates that an internationally binding agreement aimed at eliminating
the world's plastic pollution will be opened for signature by the end of
2024 and the establishment of the INC. In Turkey about half of individuals
think that all types of plastic are recyclable, one in 3 individuals does
not currently have a regular recycling/recycling behavior.
(Ipsos Turkey)
31 July 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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806-809-02 In The Last 14 Years (2009-2023), The Opinion That The Pakistani Media
Is Negatively Affecting People Has Increased By 20% (Click for Details)
(Pakistan) In 2023, 43% were of the opinion
that media is negatively affecting people, 46% said it is presenting
reality and facts, while 10% said they did not know. Trend Analysis: The
proportion of people who are of the opinion that the Pakistani media is
negatively affecting people has increased by 20% since 2009, while those
who believe it to be presenting reality and facts has decreased by 15%.
(Gallup Pakistan)
04 August 2023
4.6 Society » Media
(Top)
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806-809-03 Gallup
Pakistan Electoral Repository (Click for Details)
(Pakistan) The database of the past 11
elections has been consolidated from the Elections Commission of Pakistan
(ECP) data by Gallup Pakistan’s Data Analytics team and analyzed over the
past many years. The turnout in 2018 general elections was 51%; only half
of Pakistan’s voter base came out to cast their votes. In 2018, turnout was
highest in Punjab (56.8%) and lowest in KP (41.5%). Voter turnout in
Balochistan was marginally higher than in KP.
(Gallup Pakistan)
21 August 2023
1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections
(Top)
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806-809-04 63% Of
Nigerian Youth Willing To Relocate
Abroad (Click for Details)
(Nigeria) A new public opinion poll
conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 63 percent of adult Nigerians
nationwide disclosed they are willing to relocate to other countries if
given an opportunity. Interestingly, more youths, respondents within the
age bracket 18 – 35 years (73 percent), formed the largest group with a
willingness to migrate. In addition, findings revealed the search for
greener pasture (60 percent) is the major drive for migration, followed by
education (32 percent).
(NOI Polls)
22 August 2023
1.5 Domestic Politics » National Trust
(Top)
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806-809-05 As South
Africa Looks To Russia, How Do
Citizens See Influence Of Foreign Powers
(Click for Details)
(South Africa)
Positive perceptions of foreign influence have decreased
since 2021, including a 16- percentage-point drop for the United
States. Still, positive outnumber
negative perceptions by roughly 2-to-1 regarding the economic and political
influence of China (37% positive vs. 20%), the United States (32% vs. 15%),
and the EU (20% vs. 14%). o Assessments of Russian influence are almost
equally negative (22%) and positive (25%).
ANC supporters are no more likely than adherents of other political
parties to see Russia’s influence as positive.
(Afrobarometer)
22 August 2023
2.10 Foreign Affairs &
Security » Defense
(Top)
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806-809-06 Gender-Based
Violence Tops Women’s-Rights Issues
In Liberia; Citizens Say It Is A Criminal Matter (Click for Details)
(Liberia) Liberians rank gender-based
violence (GBV) as the most important women’s-rights issue that the
government and society must address.
Citizens are evenly divided on how often GBV occurs in their
community: Half (50%) say violence against women and girls is “somewhat” or
“very” common, while just as many disagree.
A majority (56%) of Liberians say it is “never” justified for a man
to use physical force to discipline his wife. But more than four in 10
(44%) think it is “sometimes” or “always” justified.
(Afrobarometer)
25 August 2023
4.5 Society » Gender Issues
(Top)
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● EUROPE
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806-809-07 More Than Eight In Ten Britons
Believe The Government Is Handling Immigration Badly (Click for Details)
(UK)
Despite Rishi Sunak declaring that his ‘stop the boats’
plan is working, Britons remain unconvinced. Just one in eleven (9%) have
confidence that the government will reduce the number of asylum seekers
crossing the channel on small boats, including only 1% who feel “very”
confident. Eight in ten are either not very confident (34%), or not at all
confident (46%) that the government will be successful. This includes 80%
of 2019 Conservative voters and 85% of 2019 Labour voters.
(YouGov UK)
08 August 2023
4.8 Society » Immigration
(Top)
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806-809-08 By 46% To 36%, Britons Say
There Should Be Another EU Referendum In The Next Ten Years (Click for Details)
(UK) While
‘Bregret’ is rife, there is not an immediate appetite amongst Britons to
reverse the decision. Just 26% would say there should referendum on the
matter before the end of 2023, with 59% saying there should not be.
However, appetite rises to 39% when asked whether there should be a
referendum in the next five years, although 44% still say there should not.
When it comes to within the next 10 years, the plurality view becomes that
there should be a new EU referendum, with 46% saying there should be
compared to 36% saying there should not.
(YouGov UK)
14 August 2023
2.8 Foreign Affairs &
Security » International Organizations
(Top)
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806-809-09 To What
Extent Do Britons Think Human
Activity Is Responsible For Climate Change (Click for Details)
(UK)
Asked first whether or not they think the climate is
changing, 87% of Britons say they believe it is. Only 7% say it is not, a
slightly higher rate than we get with the compound question on the website
tracker (generally 2-4%). A further 6% are unsure, a lower rate than the
website tracker tends to generate (normally between 10-13%).Overall, 25% of
Britons think the human race is “entirely or almost entirely responsible”
for the changing climate. They are joined by a further 32% who think human
activity is responsible for “a large majority” of the change.
(YouGov UK)
18 August 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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806-809-10 Khan Net Favourability At -12
In London, While Susan Hall Is Still Unknown To Moste (Click for Details)
(UK) A
new YouGov survey of Londoners finds that Sadiq Khan’s net popularity
stands at -12, with 40% having a favourable view of the mayor and 52% an
unfavourable one.Among those who voted for Labour nationally in 2019, 62%
have a favourable view of Khan, compared to 33% with an unfavourable
view.New Conservative mayoral candidate Susan Hall is still unknown to most
Londoners (57%). One in five have a positive view of her, while 21% have a
negative view.Among 2019 Conservative voters, Hall is seen favourably by
49% and unfavourably by 9%.
(YouGov UK)
22 August 2023
1.2 Domestic Politics »
Performance Ratings
(Top)
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806-809-11 One In Three
In England Are Interested In Women’s
Football Following 2023 World Cup (Click for Details)
(UK)
A YouGov study conducted during the group stages of the
tournament found that 21% of English people said they were “very
interested” or “fairly interested” in women’s football. That figure grew as
England advanced through the knockout stages, and immediately after the
tournament stands at 34% - a 13 point increase.Among those who express an
interest in football in general, interest in women’s football specifically
has likewise increased from 51% to 65%.Interest in women’s football among
English women now stands at 30% (up from 19%) and among English men it is
38% (up from 23%).
(YouGov UK)
23 August 2023
4.15 Society » Sports
(Top)
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806-809-12 Public
Importance Of Climate Change And The Environment Doubles To Become The
Joint-Third Biggest Issue Facing The
Country (Click for Details)
(UK) Amid
news headlines about extreme temperatures and wildfires experienced across
Europe and the world, the proportion of Britons who say they are concerned
about climate change and the environment has risen thirteen points since
last month, and stands at the highest level since the COP26 conference in
Glasgow in November 2021. It is mentioned by a quarter (25%) of Britons
ranking it alongside the NHS, which itself has seen a drop of eight
percentage points since July.
(Ipsos MORI)
15 August 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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806-809-13 Fees And
Student Debt Are Main Reasons That Quarter Of Brits Don’t Think It’s Worth
Going To University (Click for Details)
(UK)
Research from Ipsos finds that a quarter (25%) of
Britons, don’t think going to university is worth it for young people. The
main reasons for this are fees (49%) and student loan debt (42%), but there
is also a strength of feeling that people don’t need to go to university to
get a good job (37%).Nearly three quarters (73%) of the public site people
from poorer backgrounds being put off university because of the cost as a
concern and a similar proportion (72%) say students having high levels of
financial debt is also a concern.
(Ipsos MORI)
17 August 2023
4.10 Society » Education
(Top)
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806-809-14 Brits Want To
Fight Climate Change, But A Third Of
Consumers Unaware Of How To Make Homes Greener (Click for Details)
(UK) British
consumers are taking responsibility for reducing the impact of climate
change - with 76% believing they have a responsibility to cut carbon impact
and help get to Net Zero. But over a third (34%) of British adults still
aren’t aware of the most environmentally friendly way to heat their homes,
despite the government’s ambitious goal of reaching Net Zero carbon
emissions by 2050 - according to new research from Mitsubishi Electric and
Ipsos.80% of domestic heating comes from gas. To combat this, the UK
government is driving a move to lower carbon alternatives, including heat
pumps, through programmes like the Boiler Upgrade Scheme.
(Ipsos MORI)
23 August 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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806-809-15 Environmentally Conscious
Gamers: Action Games And Sustainable Electronics (Click for Details)
(Germany)
A new YouGov audience analysis on the topic of
"environmentally conscious gamers". Environmentally conscious
gamers are more likely to be men (70 percent) aged 25 to 34 (31 vs. 15
percent of the total population). This target group is increasingly active
in the IT sector (11 percent) and more than a fifth (22 percent) have a
migration background. The group is career-focused: 38 percent are willing
to sacrifice their free time to advance in their careers (vs. 32 percent of
the total population).
(YouGov Germany)
03 August 2023
4.15 Society » Sports
(Top)
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806-809-16 Almost
One-In-Five (18%) Consumers Expect
The Irish Economy To Improve In The Next Six Months (Click for Details)
(Ireland) Almost
one-in-five (18%) consumers expect the Irish economy to improve in the next
six months, up from just one-in-twenty (5%) 12 months ago. But while some
are that bit more optimistic about the future for the economy, more than
half (52%) believe things will actually get worse over the next six months
(this is down from more than four-in-five 12 months ago).Despite the
moderation in inflation over the past year, four-out-of-five (80%) are
expecting a further deterioration in the cost-of-living in the next six
months.
(REDC Research)
15 August 2023
3.2 Economy » Consumer
Confidence
(Top)
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NORTH
AMERICA
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806-809-17 College Students Experience
High Levels Of Worry And Stress (Click for Details)
(USA) During
the spring 2023 semester, 76% of U.S. college students reported
experiencing enjoyment during much of the prior day. However, majorities
also said they felt stress (66%) and worry (51%). In addition, 39% said
they endured loneliness and 36% sadness the previous day.Approximately
three-quarters of female students (72%) report experiencing stress a lot of
the prior day, compared with 56% of male students. Likewise, 56% of female
students report experiencing worry the prior day, compared with 40% of their
male peers.
(Gallup)
10 August 2023
4.10 Society » Education
(Top)
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806-809-18 Four In 10 College Students
Have Had Internship Experience (Click for Details)
(USA) Reports of internship
participation are lower among first-generation college students whose
parents have not completed a degree (27%) and among students enrolled at
public colleges and universities (36%) compared with their counterparts. At
the same time, internship rates are similar among different demographic
subgroups of the currently enrolled student population, with higher rates
among Hispanic, White and male students.
(Gallup)
16 August 2023
3.3 Economy » Employment
Issues
(Top)
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806-809-19 U.S. Cigarette Smoking Rate
Steady Near Historical Low (Click for Details)
(USA) Gallup’s latest update on
cigarette smoking finds 12% of U.S. adults saying they smoked cigarettes in
the past week, similar to the 11% measured a year ago but significantly
lower than any other year in Gallup’s nearly 80-year trend.A major reason
for the decline in smoking is that fewer young adults today than in prior
decades are smoking cigarettes. Typically, young adults had much higher
smoking rates than other age groups. Whereas 35% of young adults said they smoked
cigarettes in 2001-2003, the figure has dropped to 10% in 2019-2023 data.
(Gallup)
18 August 2023
4.11 Society » Health
(Top)
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806-809-20 In U.S., 4% Identify As Vegetarian,
1% As Vegan (Click for Details)
(USA) The July 3-27 poll update
suggests there may have been a slight decline in vegetarianism compared
with the earliest readings in 1999 and 2001, when 6% identified that way.
There is a small degree of overlap in identification as vegetarian and
vegan, as less than 1% of U.S. adults say they are both vegetarian and
vegan. That is about what Gallup has found historically, but most
vegetarians and vegans identify as only one or the other. Liberals,
Low-Income Adults More Likely to Follow Vegetarian Diet.
(PEW)
AUGUST 27, 2023
4.7 Society » Lifestyle
(Top)
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806-809-21 More Than 4 In 10 U.S. Workers
Don’t Take All Their Paid Time Off (Click for Details)
(USA) Upper-income workers are more
likely than middle- and lower-income workers to say they take off less time
than offered. About half of upper-income workers (51%) say this, compared
with 45% of middle-income workers and 41% of lower-income workers.There are
also differences by education level. About half of workers who have a
bachelor’s degree or more education (51%) say they take less time off than
what is offered, compared with 41% of workers with less education.
(Gallup)
24 August 2023
3.3 Economy » Employment
Issues
(Top)
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806-809-22 Growing Share Of Americans
Favor More Nuclear Power (Click for Details)
(USA) A majority of Americans (57%)
say they favor more nuclear power plants to generate electricity in the
country, up from 43% who said this in 2020.Americans are still far more
likely to say they favor more solar power (82%) and wind power (75%) than
nuclear power. All three energy sources emit no carbon.Support for nuclear
power has increased among both parties since 2020. Half of Democrats and
Democratic-leaning independents now say they favor expanding nuclear power,
an increase from 37% in 2020. And two-thirds of Republicans and Republican
leaners now favor more nuclear power, up 14 percentage points since 2020.
(PEW)
18 August 2023
3.10 Economy » Nuclear Issues
(Top)
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806-809-23 Americans Are Divided On
Whether Society Overlooks Racial Discrimination Or Sees It Where It Doesn’t
Exist (Click for Details)
(USA) 53% say people not seeing racial
discrimination where it really does exist is the bigger problem. 45% point
to people seeing racial discrimination where it really doesn’t exist as the
larger issue. Views on this have changed in recent years, according to Pew
Research Center surveys. In 2019, 57% said people overlooking racial
discrimination was the bigger problem, while 42% pointed to people seeing
it where it really didn’t exist. That gap has narrowed from 15 to 8 percentage
points.
(PEW)
25 August 2023
4.3 Society » Ethnicity
(Top)
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806-809-24 Majority Of Americans Say
U.S. Is One Of The Greatest Countries In The World (Click for Details)
(USA) Today, two-in-ten Americans say
the U.S. “stands above all other countries in the world.” About half (52%)
say the U.S. is “one of the greatest countries, along with some others,”
while 27% say “there are other countries that are better than the
U.S.”Opinions about the nation’s global standing have changed slightly
since 2019. That year, 24% said the U.S. is the single greatest nation, 55%
said it is one of the best countries, and 21% said other countries are
better than the U.S.
(PEW)
29 August 2023
1.5 Domestic Politics »
National Image
(Top)
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806-809-25 Another Six In Ten (61%) Can’t
Or Don’t Want To Pay More In Taxes To Fight Climate Change (Click for Details)
(Canada) An Ipsos survey conducted on
behalf of the Montreal Economic Institute finds that despite the fact that
many Canadians can’t or don’t want to pay more taxes to help fight the
climate change, they are generally in favour of the government increasing
carbon sequestration incentive measures to reduce GHG emissions and
two-thirds (67%) also support developing new oil and gas infrastructure
leading to ports in British Columbia or Eastern Canada in order to allow
these Canadian resources to reach new markets in Europe and Asia. This is
particularly true for Alberta residents (86%).
(Ipsos Canada)
22 August 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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806-809-26 Majority Say Climate Change
Is ‘crisis’ That Needs Immediate Action; 10 Per Cent Say It’s Hopeless (Click for Details)
(Canada) A new study from the non-profit
Angus Reid Institute finds more than half of Canadians (55%) expecting even
worse fire conditions in the future, while one-quarter (26%) say this year
(a record-breaking year for fires itself) will be the new normal. Few have
any hope for calmer summers to come.For those affected by wildfires or
smoke in the past five years, one-in-eight (13%) say they would consider
relocating to a place that feels safer. Young adults say this is on their
mind at higher rates (24%) than others as they consider where to set down
roots and build their lives. Climate migration in Canada may be a new
concept, but this research suggests it is on the minds of many.
(Angus Reid Institute)
22 August 2023
4.14 Society » Environment
(Top)
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●
AUSTRALIA
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806-809-27 Readership Of Magazines Is Up
4.1% From A Year Ago With Increases In Readership For All Magazine Categories (Click for Details)
(Australia) Now 11.5 million Australians aged 14+ (53.1%) read print
magazines, up 4.1 per cent on a year ago, according to the results released
today from the Roy Morgan Australian Readership report for the 12 months to
June 2023.This market broadens to 15 million Australians aged 14+ (69.5%)
who read magazines in print or online either via the web or an app, a small
drop of 1.8 per cent from a year ago. These are the latest findings from
the Roy Morgan Single Source survey of 66,234 Australians aged 14+ in the
12 months to June 2023.
(Roy Morgan)
22 August 2023
4.6 Society » Media
(Top)
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806-809-28 A Record High 1.5 Million
Australians Are Now ‘at Risk’ Of ‘mortgage Stress’ Representing 29.2% Of
Mortgage Holders (Click for Details)
(Australia) New research from Roy Morgan
shows a record high 1.5 million (29.2%) mortgage holders were ‘At Risk’ of
‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to July 2023. This period encompassed
two interest rate increases of 0.25% taking official interest rates to 4.1%
in June.Although the number of Australians at risk of mortgage stress
(1,496,000) is at a record high the proportion of 29.2% remains below the
record highs reached during the Global Financial Crisis of 10-15 years ago.
(Roy Morgan)
28 August 2023
3.4 Economy » Inflation
(Top)
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806-809-29 Super Fund Satisfaction Drops
To 65% In July 2023 – Down 7% Points From Record High 18 Months Ago In
January 2022 (Click for Details)
(Australia) New data from Roy Morgan’s Superannuation Satisfaction Report shows
an overall super fund satisfaction rating of 65% in July 2023 – a decrease
of 7% points from the record high reached one-and-a-half years ago in
January 2022 (72.0%). Despite the decrease over the last year and a half
superannuation satisfaction is still significantly higher than the
long-term average of 58.1% from 2007-2023 and also higher than at any time
prior to the pandemic years of 2021-22 when the measure was at record
highs.
(Roy Morgan)
29 August 2023
3.2 Economy »
Consumer Confidence
(Top)
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● MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
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806-809-30 Global Views
On Abortion; A Majority Across 29
Countries Believe Abortion Should Be Legal In At Least Most Cases (Click for Details)
More than one in two (56%) across 29 countries believe
abortion should be legal, including more than one in four (27%) who feel it
should be legal in all cases.Support for abortion is highest in Europe, with
Sweden and France having the highest level of sentiment in believing
abortion should be legal (87% and 82% respectively).Support is lowest in
Asia, with Indonesia and Malaysia the only countries where less than one in
three think abortion should be legal (22% and 29% respectively).
(Ipsos Global)
22 August 2023
4.13 Society » Social Problems
(Top)
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806-809-31 Data Dive: Gen X Myths Vs.
Realities, A Survey Across 30 Nations (Click for Details)
A quarter (25%, on average across 29 countries) of Gen Xers
are worried life will be worse for young men today than it was for men from
their parents’ generation (compared to 27% of Boomers, 24% of Millennials
and 20% of Gen Zers who say the same). A slightly lower proportion of Gen
Xers (20%, vs. 21% of Boomers, 19% of Millennials and 17% of Gen Zers)
think life will be worse for young women today than it was for women from
their parents’ generation.
(Ipsos Global)
23 August 2023
4.7 Society » Lifestyle
(Top)
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806-809-32 What Worries The World - August 2023, A Survey Across 29 Countries (Click for Details)
Inflation is still the highest concern this month. But this
month sees a further easing of 1pp to 37%. This month’s level of inflation
worry is the lowest it’s been this year and the lowest score since June
2022. 12 nations – Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany,
Hungary, India, Poland, Singapore, USA, and Turkey – have rising prices as
their biggest concern. Two more than last month. Across all countries,
worry about inflation is followed by poverty & social inequality (31%,
+1pp), crime & violence (30%, -1pp), unemployment (27%, +1pp), and
financial & political corruption (27%, +1pp) which together make up the
top five global worries.
(Ipsos Global)
24 August 2023
4.13 Society » Social Problems
(Top)
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TOPIC OF THE WEEK
As South Africa
Looks To Russia, How Do Citizens See Influence Of Foreign Powers
►This page is devoted to
opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very
widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
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As
South Africa Looks To Russia, How Do Citizens See Influence Of Foreign
Powers
Key findings More than
four in 10 South Africans (43%) say China’s economic activities have “a
lot” of influence on the country’s economy. o About three in 10 (31%) say
they “don’t know” enough to assess China’s economic influence. Positive perceptions of foreign influence
have decreased since 2021, including a 16- percentage-point drop for the
United States. Still, positive
outnumber negative perceptions by roughly 2-to-1 regarding the economic and
political influence of China (37% positive vs. 20%), the United States (32%
vs. 15%), and the EU (20% vs. 14%). o Assessments of Russian influence are
almost equally negative (22%) and positive (25%). ANC supporters are no more likely than
adherents of other political parties to see Russia’s influence as positive.
Adherents of the ANC and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) are most
likely to see China’s influence as positive, while Democratic Alliance (DA)
supporters favour U.S. influence. o Large shares of citizens say they
“don’t know” enough to assess the influence of foreign powers, especially
the EU. Chinese economic activity in South Africa Understanding the
influence of South Africa’s largest trading partner on the domestic economy
is critical. When asked how much influence China’s economic activities have
on their country’s economy, 43% of South Africans say “a lot,” 13% “some,”
and 12% “a little” or “none” (Figure 1). Importantly, 31% of South Africans
do not feel confident enough to share an opinion, suggesting either a lack
of interest or inadequate domestic media coverage of developments in
Chinese economic activity in South Africa.
Among those who say they “don’t know” about Chinese influence
on the South African economy, some clear demographic trends emerge (Figure
2). Economically better-off citizens are less likely to fall in this
category (22%) than those experiencing some level of “lived poverty”1)
(32%-35%). And more than half (53%) of citizens with primary schooling or
less say they “don’t know,” compared to 32% and 20%, respectively, of those
with secondary or post-secondary education.
While urban and rural residents are about equally likely to
say they have not heard enough on this topic, there is significant
inter-provincial variation, ranging from 16% in KwaZulu-Natal to 49% in the
Northern Cape. Interestingly, respondents who say they get news “every day”
from newspapers are less likely to feel uninformed on Chinese economic
influence on South Africa (21%) than those who get daily news from
television, social media, the Internet, and radio (27%-30%). Foreign
influence in South Africa China’s economic and political influence on South
Africa is viewed as positive by 37% of respondents, exceeding positive
perceptions of the influence of the United States (32%) and Russia (25%)
Figure 3). But positive perceptions of foreign influence declined between
2021 and 2022 – sharply so in the case of the United States (by 16
percentage points) and marginally for China (3 points). Despite the
government’s drift toward the Russian orbit, citizens’ positive opinions on
Russian influence declined as well, by 5 points.
Further unpacking the latest perceptions, Figure 4 shows that
South Africans’ divided perceptions of foreign influence mirror global and
regional dynamics that are shifting toward a multipolar world order not
solely dominated by influence from the traditional “West.” While the EU’s
influence is seen as positive by 20% of South Africans, it is also viewed
as negative by 14%. Russia’s and China’s influence draw the largest shares
of negative perceptions (22% and 20%, respectively). The figure also shows
the large proportions of South Africans who say they “don’t know” enough to
answer the question, highlighting a widespread lack of interest or of
accessible information on the activities of foreign powers in South Africa.
This ranges from 33% on China – almost equal to those who hold positive
perceptions of Chinese influence – to more than half (52%) on the EU.
Does the foreign engagement of the ruling party align with
voter preferences? Figure 5 further breaks down perceptions of foreign influence
among supporters of various political parties. Among respondents who say
they “feel close to” the ruling ANC, negative perceptions of Russian
influence (20%) almost match positive ones (24%), while Chinese influence
is most likely to be seen as positive (33%, vs. 19% negative). However,
large portions of ANC supporters say they “don’t know” enough about these
issues to have an opinion, ranging up to 50% for Russia and 60% for the EU.
Supporters of the two leading opposition parties, the EFF and the DA, are
less likely to say they “don’t know” enough about foreign influence.
Despite the EFF’s dominant anti-colonial narratives, the same proportion of
its supporters see Russian and EU influence as positive (24%), and greater
shares welcome the influence of China (39%) and the United States (32%).
One in three EFF supporters (33%) perceive Russian influence as negative –
the largest share of negative perceptions across political parties and
foreign actors. Again, citizens seem to know least about the influence of
the EU (41%). Nearly half (47%) of DA supporters perceive U.S. influence as
positive, followed by Chinese influence (40%). As with ANC and EFF
adherents, DA supporters are most likely to perceive Russian influence
negatively (25%), and again the EU’s influence is least known (40%).
Conclusion South Africans’ perceptions of foreign powers such
as China, the United States, and Russia have tilted away from positivity
since the previous round of Afrobarometer surveys. The ANC’s drift toward
Russia is not reflected in public opinion, as negative perceptions nearly
match positive views of Russian influence, including among the ANC’s voter
base. On the other hand, popular perceptions of Chinese and U.S. influence,
despite declines compared to 2021, are more positive than negative,
reflective also of South Africa’s economic ties to these nations. Large
portions of society say they have not heard enough to have an opinion on
foreign influence, an important finding at a time of flux in global power
relations and in a country relatively open to foreign influence. One in
three South Africans are in the dark about the impact of Chinese economic
activity in South Africa, despite China’s emergence as a key economic
partner. Similarly, the EU contributes to large inflows of investment and
aid, yet South Africans know least about EU influence in their country. To
take public opinion into account in the alignment of international
partnerships, foreign policy debates in South Africa will need to reach and
engage wider audiences with a concerted effort from television and radio
news broadcasters.
(Afrobarometer)
22 August 2023
Source:https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/AD690-How-do-South-Africans-see-influence-of-foreign-powers-Afrobarometer-21aug23.pdf
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