Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation August 2024, Issue # 858-860* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 23 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 25 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 22 national & multi-country surveys; 09 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Pakistan (New Media, Education) – 02 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Energy Issues), South Sudan (Health), Emaswati ( Environment), South Africa (Justice) – 04 national polls Euro Americas: UK (New Media, Sports, Energy Issues, National Image, Governance, Performance Ratings), USA (Elections, Nuclear Issues, Inflation, Political Parties, Health), Canada (Science & Technology, Environment), Australia (Consumer Confidence) – 14 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Arabbarometer – 07 Countries (Palestine/Israel Conflict) Afrobarometer – 39 Countries (Perceptions on Performance) Topic of the Week: 39% Of Americans Believe The 2024 Election Will Not Be Conducted Fairly, 61 % Disagree Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
858-860-01 Two-In-Five Adult Pakistanis And Two-Thirds Of Men And Women Under The Age Of Thirty Use Social Media; Significant Gender Gap Exists (Click for Details) (Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, two-in-five adult Pakistanis and twothirds of men and women under the age of thirty use social media apps apps like TikTok, Facebook and/or Instagram. The survey also reveals a reasonably large gender gap of 10% between men and women in social media usage. Moreover, the findings show that usage among younger generation (born in 1994 or later) is significantly higher than the national average. (Gallup Pakistan) 07 August, 2024 4.6 Society » New Media (Top)
858-860-02 1 In 5 Pakistanis (17%) Feel Society Does Not Give Enough Respect To Government School Teachers; Women And Rural Residents More Likely To Hold This View (Click for Details) (Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 1 in 5 Pakistanis (17%) feel society does not give enough respect to government school teachers. A deeper analysis reveals that Pakistani women were 4% more likely to hold this view than men. Additionally, rural residents were more prone to feeling a lack of respect towards government teachers, compared to urban residents. (Gallup Pakistan) 15 August, 2024 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
AFRICA Regions
858-860-03 Power Supply To Nigerians Still Inadequate, Yearlong Trend Analysis Shows (Click for Details) (Nigeria) According to World Bank statistics, 85 million Nigerians do not have access to grid electricity. This is a staggering figure, considering the country’s estimated population of 200 million, and it makes Nigeria a country with the largest energy access deficit in the world. The lack of reliable power is a substantial constraint for citizens and businesses, resulting in annual economic losses estimated at $26.2 billion (₦10.1 trillion) which is equivalent to about 2 per cent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP). (NOI Polls) 29 July, 2024 3.10 Economy » Energy Issues (Top)
858-860-04 PTSD Suspected In 4% Of Former SDF South Sudan Peacekeepers (Click for Details) (South Sudan) Nearly 4 percent of Ground Self-Defense Force members deployed as U.N. peacekeepers in South Sudan during the 2010s showed suspected post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms afterward, a study found. The analysis also found that poor health conditions, particularly sleep disorders, prior to deployment increased the risk of developing severe PTSD symptoms later. An evaluation based on international standards found that 117 members, or 3.95 percent of the total, showed suspected PTSD symptoms after returning from the mission. (Asahi Shimbun) 05 August, 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
858-860-05 Emaswati Call On Government And Fellow Citizens To Tackle The ‘Serious Problem’ Of Pollution (Click for Details) (Emaswati) Six in 10 Emaswati (60%) say pollution is a “somewhat serious” or “very serious” problem in their communities. o Citizens cite trash disposal (44%), water pollution (18%), and human waste management (10%) as the most important environmental issues affecting their communities. o Almost eight in 10 citizens (79%) say plastic bags are a major source of pollution in Eswatini. Two-thirds (66%) of Emaswati say the primary responsibility for reducing pollution and keeping communities clean rests with ordinary citizens. Far fewer would assign that responsibility primarily to the national government (12%) or local government (8%). (Afrobarometer) 06 August, 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
858-860-06 South Africans’ View Of Police Marred By Pervasive Corruption, Lack Of Professionalism (Click for Details) (South Africa) Three-quarters (75%) of South Africans say they felt unsafe while walking in their neighbourhood at least once during the year preceding the survey. About two-thirds (65%) report fearing crime in their home. Experiences of insecurity are particularly common among poor citizens, urban residents, women, and Black citizens. One-third (34%) of South Africans live within easy walking distance of a police station. (Afrobarometer) 16 August, 2024 4.9 Society » Justice (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
● EUROPE
858-860-07 Two Thirds Of Britons Say Social Media Companies Should Be Held Responsible For Posts Inciting Riots (Click for Details) (UK) Now a new YouGov survey shows that the British public agrees, with two thirds of Britons (66%) saying that social media companies should be held responsible for posts inciting criminal behaviour during the recent unrest. Only one in five Britons (20%) say social media companies should not be held responsible for content made by users. Reform UK voters in particular are more likely to say social media firms shouldn’t be considered responsible for users’ posts, at 41% compared to 11-15% of Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem voters. (YouGov UK) 09 August, 2024 4.6 Society » New Media (Top)
858-860-08 A Quarter Of Britons Think They Could Qualify For The 2028 Olympics (Click for Details) (UK) Across 25 different sports, we asked the British public whether they thought they could qualify for the 2028 Olympics if they started training today. The results show that more than one in four Britons (27%) reckon they could become an Olympic-level athlete in at least one of those sports in that time. The youngest Britons are by far the most likely to think they have what it takes to compete on the world stage, with 39% of 18-24 year olds saying so, alongside 34% of 25-49 year olds. Understandably the oldest Britons are far less certain, although even still 15% of the over-65s think they could compete at an Olympic level in four years’ time if they put their mind to it. (YouGov UK) 10 August, 2024 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
858-860-09 Six In Ten Britons Support GB Energy In Principle, With The Public Highly Supportive Of Expanding Renewable Energy Production (Click for Details) (UK) One of Labour’s flagship policies at the election was the establishment of GB Energy, a publicly-owned company that would generate renewable energy. This should be an early easy win for the government, with the principle behind GB Energy – of a government-owned renewable energy generation company – being supported by six in ten Britons (62%) and opposed by only one in six (17%). This notably includes support from 59% of Conservative voters, half of Reform UK voters (49%), as well as around three-quarters of Labour and Lib Dem voters (74-77%). (YouGov UK) 12 August, 2024 3.10 Economy » Energy Issues (Top)
858-860-10 Britons More Favourable Towards Kamala Harris Than Joe Biden Or Donald Trump – But Half Believe Trump Will Win (Click for Details) (UK) New exclusive polling by Ipsos for the Evening Standard, taken July 24-25, has found that the British public are more favourable towards Kamala Harris than either Joe Biden or Donald Trump. 34% have a favourable opinion of the Vice President, compared with 26% for Biden and 24% for Trump. Almost half (46%) say that a Harris presidency would have a positive impact on the UK’s relationship with the US, up significantly from the 27% who said the same of a Biden presidency in May. Conversely, half (52%) believe that a Trump presidency would have a negative impact on the UK/US relationship. (Ipsos MORI) 01 August, 2024 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
858-860-11 Three In Four Say Britain Is Divided, But Public Say Problems Are Less Serious Than In The US (Click for Details) (UK) New Ipsos polling, taken 22-24 July (before recent events in Southport), examines attitudes towards division and political violence in Great Britain, and whether levels of concern are higher than in the United States. Three quarters (76%) of Britons believe that Britain is divided these days. However, this is down from 85% who said the same in February 2018 (-9). Two in three 64% believe that British society is more divided than ten years ago – although this has decreased from 71% in May 2019. (Ipsos MORI) 02 August, 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
858-860-12 James Cleverly Tops List Of Who Would Make A Good Tory Leader – But 3 In 5 Britons Say They Don’t Care (Click for Details) (UK) New polling by Ipsos, taken August 2-5, has examined attitudes towards the current race to become leader of the Conservative party. Shadow Home Secretary James Cleverly narrowly leads, with 18% of Britons believing he would do a good job. Priti Patel and Tom Tugendhat follow close behind at 17% each. However, 44% say that Priti Patel would do a bad job, giving her a net approval rating of -27 – the lowest of any candidate. (Ipsos MORI) 12 August, 2024 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
● NORTH AMERICA
858-860-13 39% Of Americans Believe The 2024 Election Will Not Be Conducted Fairly, 61 % Disagree (Click for Details) (USA) Overall, 61% of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. These views have changed little since 2022 and 2020. The public is more confident that all citizens who want to vote this fall will be able to. About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they are confident about this, a modest increase since 2020. Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024. (PEW) 01 August, 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
858-860-14 Majority Of Americans Support More Nuclear Power In The Country (Click for Details) (USA) A majority of U.S. adults remain supportive of expanding nuclear power in the country, according to a Pew Research Center survey from May. Overall, 56% say they favor more nuclear power plants to generate electricity. This share is statistically unchanged from last year. Americans remain more likely to favor expanding solar power (78%) and wind power (72%) than nuclear power. Yet while support for solar and wind power has declined by double digits since 2020 – largely driven by drops in Republican support – the share who favor nuclear power has grown by 13 percentage points over that span. (PEW) 05 August, 2024 3.10 Economy » Nuclear Issues (Top)
858-860-15 Eggs, Gasoline And Car Insurance: Where Inflation Has Hit Americans Hardest (Click for Details) (USA) Overall, the June 2024 CPI-U was 21.8% above its level in January 2020, before the pandemic really began to hit the United States. But the costs of many products and services have risen much more than that. Topping the list: margarine, which as of June is 56.8% pricier than in January 2020. Other notable increases include motor vehicle repair services (up 47.5%), motor vehicle insurance (47.3%) and veterinarian services (35.6%). (PEW) 07 August, 2024 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
858-860-16 Harris Energizes Democrats In Transformed Presidential Race (Click for Details) (USA) Among registered voters nationally, 46% say if the election were held today, they would support Harris, while 45% favor Trump and 7% back Robert F. Kennedy Jr. A month ago, Trump held a 4 percentage point lead over Joe Biden (44% vs. 40%), who withdrew from the presidential race on July 21. Most of Harris’ gains have come at the expense of Kennedy, whose support has declined by roughly half in the past month, from 15% to 7%. Yet (PEW) 14 August, 2024 1.4 Domestic Politics » Political Parties (Top)
858-860-17 Cigarette Smoking Rate In U.S. Ties 80-Year Low (Click for Details) (USA) Cigarette smoking in the U.S. is at a low point, according to eight decades of Gallup trends. Currently, 11% of U.S. adults say they have smoked cigarettes in the past week, matching the historical low measured in 2022 (and nearly matched at 12% in 2023). When Gallup first asked about cigarette smoking in 1944, 41% of U.S. adults said they smoked. The current smoking rate is about half as large as it was a decade ago and one-third as large as it was in the late 1980s. (Gallup) 13 August, 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
858-860-18 The AI Revolution: As Many As One in Three (33%) Canadians Already Embracing AI for Financial Management (Click for Details) (Canada) The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution might have just arrived, with a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of BMO finding that as many as one in three (33%) Canadians are already using AI to manage their finances, including a majority (55%) of Gen Z. More than half (54%) of Canadians are using AI to ask general questions about topics of interest, while significant proportions are using it to assist with the development of written drafts (41%), photo and/or video editing (39%), data analysis (37%), schedule management (36%), and/or plan building (36%). (Ipsos Canada) 30 July, 2024 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
858-860-19 Eight In Ten Canadians Worried About Household Food Waste (Click for Details) (Canada) Eight in ten (77%) Canadians who use food-storage products agree that reducing their household’s food waste is important to them, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted for FoodSaver® and Newell Brands. Nearly half (49%) of Canadians say they try to only cook what their household will consume for each meal, while a similar proportion (43%) are looking for better solutions for food storage in their home. Two in three (66%) maintain that it’s important to them to use reuseable or environmentally-friendly products in their kitchen. (Ipsos Canada) 13 August, 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
● AUSTRALIA
858-860-20 ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Up 2.6pts To 83.9 After The RBA Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged Again (Click for Details) (Australia) ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increased 2.6pts to 83.9 this week after the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged for a sixth straight meeting last Tuesday. However, despite the improvement, looking longer-term the index has now spent a record 80 straight weeks below the mark of 85. Consumer Confidence is a now 5.7 points above the same week a year ago, August 7-13, 2023 (78.2), and is now 3.1 points above the 2024 weekly average of 81.8. (Roy Morgan) 13 August 2024 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
● MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
858-860-21 Iran’s Position On Palestine Is Not Enough To Win The Favor Of The Citizens Of 7 MENA Countries (Click for Details) Overall, favorability of Iran is low across surveyed countries. A minority of citizens in each Lebanon (36 percent), Palestine (28 percent), Jordan (25 percent), and Kuwait (15 percent) have a very or somewhat favorable view of the country. And equally small shares have positive assessments of the foreign policy of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, ranging from just nine percent in Kuwait and maxing out at 32 percent in each Lebanon and Tunisia. In all surveyed countries save Lebanon, the only leaders whose policies are less favored than Khamenei’s are variously American President Joseph Biden and/or Syrian President Bashar Assad. (Arabbarometer) 31 July 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
858-860-22 Keeping Up With The People’s Agenda: Popular Priorities For Government Action In 39 Countries, And How They Are Evolving (Click for Details) Across 39 African countries, we find widespread pessimism: 66% of respondents believe their country is heading in the wrong direction (Figure 1). o These assessments are rapidly getting worse. Ten years ago, citizens in 30 countries were evenly divided between “right direction” (47%) and “wrong direction” (46%). But after a 20-percentage-point decline in positive assessments, those who say “wrong direction” now outnumber those who take the positive view by a 2-to-1 margin. (Afrobarometer) 09 August 2024 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK 39% Of Americans Believe The 2024 Election Will Not Be Conducted Fairly, 61 % Disagree ►This page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
39% Of Americans Believe The 2024 Election Will Not Be Conducted Fairly, 61 % Disagree Americans are generally confident that this fall’s presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024. Overall, 61% of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. These views have changed little since 2022 and 2020. The public is more confident that all citizens who want to vote this fall will be able to. About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they are confident about this, a modest increase since 2020. Partisan differences in views of the way elections are conducted Between 2020 and 2022, Democrats’ and Republicans’ views about the accuracy of elections shifted. Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms. Currently, Democrats are 30 percentage points more likely than Republicans to express confidence that the presidential election will be conducted fairly (77% vs. 47%). However, in April 2020, as the coronavirus outbreak was spreading in the U.S., Republicans were more confident than Democrats that the election would be conducted fairly and accurately (75% vs. 46%). At that time, Democrats were far more likely than Republicans to believe that the COVID-19 pandemic would disrupt voting. Eight-in-ten Democrats said this was likely, compared with about half of Republicans. Over the same period, the partisan gap in views of whether all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to has narrowed. This is almost entirely due to a change in views among Democrats. In April 2020, 43% of Democrats had confidence this would be the case. Today, 71% say this. Among Republicans, roughly eight-in-ten or more have continued to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote will be able to. Intraparty divides in views of election fairness Among Democrats A majority of Democrats – regardless of their age, race or ethnicity – say they have at least some confidence that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. However, younger Democrats are somewhat less likely than their older counterparts to say this. Two-thirds of Democrats ages 18 to 29 are at least somewhat confident, compared with 87% of those 65 and older. In addition, White Democrats are far more likely than Black and Hispanic Democrats to say they are confident the 2024 election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Among Republicans Among Republicans, age gaps in views of the election are modest. There are more pronounced differences by race and ethnicity. White Republicans (45%) are less likely than Black (62%), Asian (61%) and Hispanic (56%) Republicans to say they are confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. Intraparty divides in views of voting accessibility Among Democrats As with expectations that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately, there are differences by age, race and ethnicity in Democrats’ views of whether all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to. Democrats ages 50 and older are more likely than those under 50 to say they are confident in this (77% vs. 66%). Black Democrats are less likely than White and Hispanic Democrats to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to. Among Republicans Republicans ages 50 and older are slightly more likely than those under 50 to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to. But there are much wider divisions by race and ethnicity. Black Republicans (65%) are far less likely than White (85%), Hispanic (85%) and Asian Republicans (78%) to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote will be able to. (PEW) 01 August, 2024 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/08/01/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain/ (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: ► The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
● GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not-for-profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof. *Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact natasha@galluppakistan.com