BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 702

 

 

Week: August 02 –August 08, 2021

 

Presentation: August 13, 2021

 

 

Contents

 

702-43-22/Commentary: 30% Of American Adults Say They Own A Gun, While Another 11% Say Another Member Of Their Household Does. 2

ASIA   14

Among Hindus, The BJP Received Some Of Its Highest Vote Shares In The Northern (68%) And Central (65%) Regions Of The Country. 14

8 out of 10 Employees Worried About Losing Their Job. 16

AFRICA.. 21

83% Citizens Of Eswatini Are Satisfied With The Government’s Efforts To Manage The Covid-19 Response. 21

WEST EUROPE.. 25

Three Quarters Of Britons Support Doctor-Assisted Suicide, Just One In Three Mps Say The Same. 25

30% Of Britons Think Things In Britain Are Heading In The Right Direction. 26

Almost Half (47%, Up From 39% Last Year) Believe Britain Will Be Stronger When It Gets Through The Pandemic. 29

One In Six Britons From Black, Asian And Minority Ethnic Communities (17%) Know A Victim Of Knife Crime Closely Or Have Been One Themselves. 31

21% Of French People Say They Often Go To A Cultural Place Such As A Museum Or A Foundation. 32

The Vaccination Pass: A Subject Of Contention Between Relatives For 41% Of French People. 34

NORTH AMERICA.. 34

About 58% Of Households Headed By Black Or African American Adults Rent Their Homes. 34

Women Represent Attendees At 21% Of Mosques In US By 2020, Which Was 14% In 2011. 38

30% Of American Adults Say They Own A Gun, While Another 11% Say Another Member Of Their Household Does. 39

Most Black Americans, 58%, Do Not Have A Preference Between The Terms "Black" And "African American" As A Term They Would Rather People Use To Describe Their Racial Group. 44

AUSTRALIA.. 47

Inflation Expectations increase to 4.1% in July, highest for nearly 2 years since Oct 2019. 47

Australian Employment Dropped By 176,000 In July As All Five Mainland States Experienced Lockdowns. 51

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 57

Seven In Ten Britons Believe “All Banks Are Basically The Same”, Compared To Just Over Half Of Americans (53%) 57

Global views on sports: 58% globally would like to practice more. 58

The Dutch Are The Most Physically Active Nation (Exercising 12.8 Hours Per Week) , The Brazilians Are The Least 60

Spain (89%) Is The European Country, And The Sixth In The World, That Is Most In Favor Of Including This Measure In Products. 61

Only 7% Citizens Believe Their Country's Economy Has Already Recovered. 62

Globally, on average, 70% of citizens are very or quite satisfied with the lifestyle they lead. 66

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty one surveys. The report includes six multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

702-43-22/Commentary: 30% Of American Adults Say They Own A Gun, While Another 11% Say Another Member Of Their Household Does

Gun owners in the United States have long favored more permissive gun policies while adults who do not own guns have tended to favor more restrictive policies. This pattern continues today. For example, 37% of gun owners favor banning assault-style weapons, compared with twice as many (74%) non-gun owners – and this gap has grown in recent years, according to a new analysis of Pew Research Center surveys conducted in April and June 2021.

How we did this

Yet these differences in opinion between gun owners and non-owners do not apply to all gun policies. Gun owners are roughly as likely as non-owners to support preventing people with mental illnesses from obtaining guns. And sizable majorities of adults who own guns and those who do not both favor background checks for private gun sales and sales at gun shows.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_01.png?w=420

Non-owners are 31 percentage points more likely than gun owners to say they favor creating a federal database to track all gun sales (77% vs. 46%), and there are similar sized gaps in opinion over banning high-capacity magazines and banning assault-style weapons, according to the analysis, which is based on an April 2021 survey on Americans’ attitudes about gun policy and a June 2021 survey on gun ownership.

The June 2021 survey, which was conducted June 14-27 among 10,606 adults, finds that 30% of adults say they own a gun, while another 11% say they personally do not own a gun but another member of their household does. Self-reported gun ownership has changed little in recent years.

Majorities of gun owners say they favor allowing concealed carry in more places and allowing teachers to carry guns in K-12 schools, but only about a third of non-owners support these policies. While gun owners are split over shortening waiting periods for those who legally want to buy guns (49% favor, 51% oppose), just 28% of non-owners support this. Most Americans – regardless of whether or not they own guns – oppose concealed carry without a permit, but gun owners (35%) are more likely than non-owners (13%) to support this.

Views on gun policies linked to both gun ownership and partisanship

While gun ownership is associated with views on gun policies, the sizable partisan differences in these policy attitudes are reflected among owners and non-owners as well. In general, Republican gun owners are less likely than GOP non-owners – and both Democratic owners and non-owners – to favor policies that restrict access to guns. Democratic non-owners are more likely than others to favor restrictions.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_02.png?w=420

Gun owners and non-owners within each party differ on their views on gun policies. However, these differences are more pronounced among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents than they are among Democrats and Democratic leaners. (Note: Republicans are about twice as likely as Democrats to say they own a gun.)

Among Republicans, a 57% majority of those who don’t own a gun say they favor creating a federal government database to track all gun sales. By comparison, three-in-ten Republican gun owners say the same. There is a similar-sized gap among Republicans who own guns and those who do not on banning assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines.

On proposals to expand access to guns, Republicans who own guns are much more likely to support these proposals than are non-owners. For example, an overwhelming majority of Republican gun owners (87%) say they favor allowing people to carry concealed guns in more places, while a smaller majority of those who don’t own a gun (57%) say the same.

There are modest differences among Democrats on gun policies by gun ownership. For instance, while majorities of Democratic gun owners and non-owners both favor banning assault-style weapons and banning high-capacity magazines, Democratic gun owners are about 20 percentage points less likely to say this. Democrats who own guns (39%) also are more likely than those who do not (16%) to say people should be allowed to carry concealed guns in more places.

While there has been a modest decline in support for an assault weapons ban among the public overall, much of this change is attributable to declining support for the policy among Republican gun owners and non-owners alike.

Among Republican gun owners, there has been a 15 percentage point decrease in support for banning assault-style weapons since 2017 (down from 38% to 23% today). There has been a similar 16-point decrease among Republicans who don’t own a gun on this proposal.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_03.png?w=420

Democrats – both owners and non-owners – are about as likely as they were in 2017 to say they favor banning assault-style weapons.

While Republican gun owners and non-owners are both more likely to say they favor shorter waiting periods for people who want to buy guns legally today than they were in 2018, current opinions are similar to views in 2017.

By contrast, support for shorter waiting periods has declined among Democratic gun owners. In 2017, 41% of Democrats who owned a gun said they favored this policy. Today, about a quarter (24%) say this. Just 20% of Democrats who don’t own guns favor shorter waiting periods, which has remained virtually unchanged over the last few years.

Gun ownership more common among men, rural and White adults

Four-in-ten U.S. adults report that there is a gun in their household: Three-in-ten say they personally own a gun, while 11% say that they don’t own a gun, but someone else in their household does.

Gun ownership varies across demographic groups. About four-in-ten men say they personally own a gun, compared with 22% of women.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_04.png?w=310

While 36% of White adults say they personally own a gun, smaller shares of Black (24%), Hispanic (18%) and Asian (10%) adults report owning a gun.

Adults under 30 are less likely to own a gun than those in older age groups: 18% of 18- to 29-year-olds own a gun, compared with a third of those ages 30 and older.

Americans who live in the Northeast are the least likely to say they own a gun, with 20% saying this. Americans who live in the South (35%), Midwest (31%) and the West (28%) are more likely to report owning a gun.

Gun ownership also widely varies by community type, with those who live in rural areas much more likely to say they own a gun. Overall, 41% of Americans who live in rural areas own a gun, compared with 29% of those in suburban areas and 20% of Americans who live in urban areas.

There are clear partisan divides when it comes to gun ownership: 54% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents either personally own a gun (44%) or live in a house where someone else owns one (10%). By comparison, about three-in-ten (31%) Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents live in a household with a gun, with 20% reporting personally owning a gun.

While there are ideological differences on gun ownership in both parties, they are wider among Republicans. Nearly half of conservative Republicans say they own a gun (49%), while 34% of moderate and liberal Republicans say they do. Conservative and moderate Democrats are slightly more likely than liberal Democrats to say they own a gun (22% vs. 17%).

(PEW)

AUGUST 4, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/04/wide-differences-on-most-gun-policies-between-gun-owners-and-non-owners-but-also-some-agreement/

 

702-43-23/Country Profile:

USA2

USA3

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(India)

Among Hindus, The BJP Received Some Of Its Highest Vote Shares In The Northern (68%) And Central (65%) Regions Of The Country

Among Hindus, the BJP received some of its highest vote shares in the Northern (68%) and Central (65%) regions of the country, which include India’s capital, Delhi, and its most populous state, Uttar Pradesh. By comparison, 46% of Hindu voters in the East and just 19% in the South say they voted for the BJP, according to the Center’s survey. In 2019, roughly half of Hindu voters (49%) supported the BJP, giving the party a majority in the Lok Sabha – India’s lower house of parliament – and allowing Prime Minister Narendra Modi a second term to lead the country.

(PEW)

AUGUST 5, 2021

 

(Turkey)

8 out of 10 Employees Worried About Losing Their Job

According to the research carried out by the Ipsos research company, with the increase in the number of cases both in the world and in Turkey, the feeling of anxiety is increasing in the society. This sense of anxiety and the lifting of the ban on dismissal at the same time cause the employees to worry about losing their jobs. While 44% of employees felt very worried about losing their job before the holiday, the rate of those who are very worried has increased to 59% today. When we include those who are partially worried, the rate of those who are worried in the week of 27-30 July is 81% in total.

(Ipsos Turkey)

2 August 2021

 

AFRICA

(Eswatini)

83% Citizens Of Eswatini Are Satisfied With The Government’s Efforts To Manage The Covid-19 Response

Only 38% say they trust official COVID-19 statistics, and more than threefourths (77%) believe that “some” or “a lot” of the resources available for responding to the pandemic were lost to government corruption. Fewer than one-third (29%) of citizens say they trust the government to ensure the safety of any COVID-19 vaccine, and only a minority (37%) indicate that they are likely to try to get vaccinated. More than four in 10 emaSwati (43%) believe that prayer is more effective than a vaccine would be in preventing COVID-19 infection.

(Afrobarometer)

5 August 2021

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Three Quarters Of Britons Support Doctor-Assisted Suicide, Just One In Three Mps Say The Same

Almost three quarters of Britons (73%) think the law should be changed to allow doctors to assist in the suicide of someone suffering from a terminal illness, including 74% of Conservative voters and 76% of Labour voters. However, just 35% of MPs feel the same way. MPs are just as likely to say they oppose such a move, at 35%. This is four times as high as the rate among the general public (9%). Britons also tend to support allowing doctors to assist in the suicide of someone suffering from a painful, incurable – but not terminal – illness, by 50% to 23%. Again, MPs are far more reluctant to see such a change, with only 16% in support compared to 51% opposed.

(YouGov UK)

August 04, 2021

 

30% Of Britons Think Things In Britain Are Heading In The Right Direction

30% of Britons think things in Britain are heading in the right direction (-5 pts from June), 44% think things are heading in the wrong direction (+4).   The net rating on this measure of -14 is the lowest since January this year. Optimism has fallen particularly among 2019 Conservative voters, from 63% last month to 49% this month (among Labour voters, there has been little change at 22% from 19%). Favourability towards Boris Johnson has also fallen again this month, to 27% favourable (-6 pts since June) and 47% unfavourable (nc).  

(Ipsos MORI)

4 August 2021

 

Almost Half (47%, Up From 39% Last Year) Believe Britain Will Be Stronger When It Gets Through The Pandemic

Looking to the future, Britons have become more hopeful since last year. Almost half (47%, up from 39% last year) believe Britain will be stronger when it gets through the pandemic, even though it will be tough. However, a sizeable minority are less optimistic, 37% say the pandemic will make Britain weaker for years to come (although this is down from 46% last year). Top concerns for the rest of the year include the spread of a new vaccine-resistant variant (80%) and another wave of cases (79%), including around half who are very concerned.

(Ipsos MORI)

6 August 2021

 

One In Six Britons From Black, Asian And Minority Ethnic Communities (17%) Know A Victim Of Knife Crime Closely Or Have Been One Themselves

One in six Britons from Black, Asian and minority ethnic communities (17%) know a victim of knife crime closely or have been one themselves. This is nearly twice the rate as among the wider population, at 9%. Among those aged 25 to 49, the difference is more than two-fold, at 18% vs 8%. Among ethnic minority Britons, 6% say a family member has been a victim of knife crime, while 8% say the same about a close friend and 4% have experienced it themselves. 

(YouGov UK)

August 06, 2021

 

(France)

21% Of French People Say They Often Go To A Cultural Place Such As A Museum Or A Foundation

Almost a third of French people say they go at least once a quarter to a cultural place such as a museum or a foundation (32%). Contrary to what many might think, 18-34 year olds are not the least inclined to visit the museum. 21% say they often go to a cultural place such as a museum or a foundation (vs. 9% of 55+). Overall, French museums enjoy a good image among French people of all generations. Indeed, 49% consider that they are enriching and only 5% that they are boring.

(YouGov France)
August 2, 2021

 

The Vaccination Pass: A Subject Of Contention Between Relatives For 41% Of French People

The health pass and vaccination are sensitive subjects: 41% of French people believe that having discussed with their relatives has caused tensions or serious conflicts between them and 31% do not intend to discuss these subjects in their entourage this summer. 60% say they are in favor of the health pass to access cafes, restaurants, shopping centers, planes, trains, long-distance coaches and medical establishments. They will a priori be tolerant if one of their companions has neither a health pass nor a PCR test to access the places where they will be requested: 73% say that they will not go either and will stay with him.

(Ipsos France)

4 August 2021

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

About 58% Of Households Headed By Black Or African American Adults Rent Their Homes

One big disparity among renters is race and ethnicity. Nationwide, about 58% of households headed by Black or African American adults rent their homes, as do nearly 52% of Hispanic- or Latino-led households, according to Pew Research Center’s analysis of census data. By contrast, roughly a quarter of households led by non-Hispanic White adults (27.9%) are rentals, as are just under 40% of Asian-led households. Younger people – those below the age of 35 – are far more likely to rent than are other age groups: About two-thirds (65.9%) of this age group lives in rentals. This compares with, for example, 42% of those ages 35 to 44, and less than a third (31.5%) of 45- to 54-year-olds.

(PEW)

AUGUST 2, 2021

 

Women Represent Attendees At 21% Of Mosques In US By 2020, Which Was 14% In 2011

Despite the increase, men continue to account for the vast majority of attendees at Friday prayer services at most U.S. mosques. Men make up the majority of Jumah prayer attendees in 94% of mosques, and there were no mosques in which men make up fewer than three-in-ten attendees at Friday prayer. The survey also found that while 44% of mosques have no children at the Friday prayer service (which typically happens during the school day), children were present in 55% of mosques.

(PEW)

AUGUST 4, 2021

 

30% Of American Adults Say They Own A Gun, While Another 11% Say Another Member Of Their Household Does

Gun owners in the United States have long favored more permissive gun policies while adults who do not own guns have tended to favor more restrictive policies. This pattern continues today. For example, 37% of gun owners favor banning assault-style weapons, compared with twice as many (74%) non-gun owners – and this gap has grown in recent years, according to a new analysis of Pew Research Center surveys conducted in April and June 2021.

(PEW)

AUGUST 4, 2021

 

Most Black Americans, 58%, Do Not Have A Preference Between The Terms "Black" And "African American" As A Term They Would Rather People Use To Describe Their Racial Group

Most Black Americans, 58%, do not have a preference between the terms "Black" and "African American" when asked which term they would rather people use to describe their racial group. The one in three who express a preference divide evenly between preferring each term. Black Americans were fairly mixed on the question, with a slight preference for "Black" (52%) over "African American" (44%). Four percent had no opinion either way.

(Gallup)

AUGUST 4, 2021

 

AUSTRALIA

Inflation Expectations increase to 4.1% in July, highest for nearly 2 years since Oct 2019

In July 2021 Australians expected inflation of 4.1% annually over the next two years, up 0.1% and the highest Inflation Expectations for nearly two years since October 2019. Inflation Expectations are now up 0.9% points since the pandemic low of 3.2% a year ago in August 2020. Inflation Expectations are still 0.6% points below their long-term average of 4.7% but are now 0.6% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5% and 0.7% points higher than a year ago in July 2020 (3.4%).

(Roy Morgan)

August 03 2021

 

Australian Employment Dropped By 176,000 In July As All Five Mainland States Experienced Lockdowns

Latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows 1.42 million Australians were unemployed in July, up 28,000 on June, for an unemployment rate of 9.7% (up 0.3% points), while 1.33 million, up 77,000 on June, were under-employed, an under-employment rate of 9.1% (up 0.6% points). Australian employment was down by 176,000 to 13,198,000 in July including 8,765,000 workers employed full-time, a drop of 61,000 from June. There was also a decrease in part-time employment, down by 115,000 to 4,433,000.

(Roy Morgan)

August 06 2021

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Seven In Ten Britons Believe “All Banks Are Basically The Same”, Compared To Just Over Half Of Americans (53%)

Seven in ten Britons, for example, believe “all banks are basically the same”, compared to just over half of Americans (53%), nearly half of Emiratis (48%), and three in ten Swiss consumers (29%). While each of these countries boasts a major financial services hub for its respective region, in Switzerland – where the banking sector is tied up with national identity – they may seem less homogenous than they do elsewhere. In Britain, then, financial services companies may need to do more to differentiate themselves from the competition.

(YouGov UK)

August 02, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/consumer/articles-reports/2021/08/02/perceptions-banking-four-major-hubs

 

Global views on sports: 58% globally would like to practice more

A new Global Advisor study reveals that people from the Netherlands are the most physically active of 29 nations. On average they report spending 12.8 hours a week (almost two hours per day) doing physical exercise or team sports, double the average of 6.1 across 29 markets. People from Germany and Romania are the next most active, carrying out 11.1 and 11 hours of exercise per week respectively.

(Ipsos Canada)

3 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/global-views-to-sports-2021

 

The Dutch Are The Most Physically Active Nation (Exercising 12.8 Hours Per Week) , The Brazilians Are The Least

A new global Ipsos study reveals that people from the Netherlands are the most physically active of 29 nations. On average they report spending 12.8 hours a week (almost two hours per day) doing physical exercise or team sports, double the average of 6.1 across 29 markets. People from Germany and Romania are the next most active, carrying out 11.1 and 11 hours of exercise per week respectively. At the other end of the scale, Brazilians are the least physically active, spending three hours per week doing physical exercise on average (26 minutes per day).

(Ipsos MORI)

3 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/dutch-are-most-physically-active-nation-brazilians-are-least

 

Spain (89%) Is The European Country, And The Sixth In The World, That Is Most In Favor Of Including This Measure In Products

Globally, on average, 71% of citizens agree that companies have to pay a tax for using scarce natural resources, even if this means that consumers have to pay more for products. This percentage is in line with Spain (72%), which ranks as the second European country where this idea is most supported, just behind Italy (73%). After Spain we find Belgium (70%), the United Kingdom (69%) and the Netherlands (67%).

(Ipsos Spain)

4 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/global-views-taxing-and-labelling-products-using-scarce-natural-resources

 

Only 7% Citizens Believe Their Country's Economy Has Already Recovered

On average, globally, Only 7% believe their country's economy has already recovered; this view is most widely held in China (the only country where it is by a majority of those surveyed—56%) and in Saudi Arabia (by 25%). 19% believe their economy will have recovered in a year from now – a sentiment that is most prevalent in Saudi Arabia (38%), the United States (32%), and South Korea (31%).

(Ipsos Egypt)

5 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/local-economic-recovery-wef-ipsos-global-advisor-survey

 

Globally, on average, 70% of citizens are very or quite satisfied with the lifestyle they lead

Globally, on average, 70% of citizens are very or quite satisfied with the lifestyle they lead. This percentage is repeated in Spain, which, compared to neighboring countries, ranks as the third European country that is least satisfied with its lifestyle , only ahead of Hungary (62%) and Italy (59%). On the opposite side are the Netherlands (85%) and the United Kingdom (81%), as the most satisfied at European level. 

(Ipsos Spain)

6 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/espana-cuarto-pais-europeo-con-mas-poblacion-sedentaria

ASIA

702-43-01/Polls

Among Hindus, The BJP Received Some Of Its Highest Vote Shares In The Northern (68%) And Central (65%) Regions Of The Country

India’s ruling party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is sometimes said to prioritize Hindu interests. Hindus were the religious group most likely to say they voted for the BJP in the country’s most recent parliamentary election, but there are vast differences in how Hindus from different regions voted, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey of nearly 30,000 Indian adults. These regional political differences are connected to Hindu attitudes on a range of issues including language, diet and religious observance.

 

A map showing that Hindus in Southern India far less likely to support Modi's BJP

In 2019, roughly half of Hindu voters (49%) supported the BJP, giving the party a majority in the Lok Sabha – India’s lower house of parliament – and allowing Prime Minister Narendra Modi a second term to lead the country.

Among Hindus, the BJP received some of its highest vote shares in the Northern (68%) and Central (65%) regions of the country, which include India’s capital, Delhi, and its most populous state, Uttar Pradesh. By comparison, 46% of Hindu voters in the East and just 19% in the South say they voted for the BJP, according to the Center’s survey.

In the South, significant shares of Hindu voters (20%) say they instead supported the Indian National Congress (INC), which has led the country for most of the years since its independence. Regional parties, including the Telangana Rashtra Samithi and the Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party, also received significant vote shares among Southern Hindus (both 11%). Southern states tend to have higher per capita income and have experienced faster economic growth than most Northern and Central states.

Differences in voting patterns between Southern Hindus and those who live in the Northern and Central regions are part of broader regional differences among Hindus in India. For example, Hindu nationalist sentiments appear to have a smaller foothold in the South. Nationally, 64% of Hindus in India say being a Hindu is very important to being truly Indian. But while this share is as high as 83% in the Central region, it falls to 42% in the South.

A map showing that Southern Hindus are the least likely to say religion is very important

A closely related sentiment is the importance of the Hindi language to national identity: The majority of Hindus in the Central (87%) and Northern (71%) regions say that speaking Hindi is very important to being truly Indian, while just 27% of Southern Hindus say this. Among the dozens of commonly spoken Indian languages, Hindi is the most widespread. However, while it is often spoken in the Northern and Central parts of the country, it is far less common in the South.

Views on the connection between the Hindu religion, Hindi language and Indian identity are highly correlated with support for the BJP – a party that has supported making Hindi the national language and has enacted laws (such as restricting cow slaughter) that are seen as favorable to Hindus.

Indeed, attitudes about cow slaughter and beef consumption mark another division between the South and other regions of the country. Many Hindus consider cows sacred animals, but there are mixed views about whether eating beef disqualifies a person from being a Hindu. Most Hindus in the Northern and Central regions (both 83%) say someone who eats beef cannot be Hindu, compared with half of Southern Hindus. And attitudes about beef and Hindu identity are correlated with support for the BJP: Hindus who say they voted for the BJP are more likely than other Hindu voters to say someone who eats beef cannot be Hindu (77% vs. 66%). 

Southern Hindus also differ in their religious observance. For instance, while 92% of Hindus in the Central region say religion is very important in their life, the share is substantially lower among Southern Hindus (68%). More religious Hindus tend to support the country’s ruling party: About half of Hindus who say religion is very important in their lives (52%) voted for the BJP in 2019, compared with around a third of Hindus (32%) who say religion is less important in their lives.

Views of the BJP differ along other religious lines in India, too. Among minority religions analyzed in the Center’s report, Jains appear to be the only group who strongly embrace the BJP. While the survey did not include enough Jain voters to report how they voted in the 2019 election, 70% of Jains said in a separate question that they feel closest to the BJP, regardless of whether they voted in the last election. Meanwhile, other religious groups showed less support for the ruling party: Fewer than a third of Buddhists (29%), Muslims (19%), Sikhs (19%) and Christians (10%) say they voted for the BJP in the 2019 parliamentary election.

Many voters from minority religions opted to vote for parties other than the BJP or INC. For example, 14% of Buddhists say they voted for the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), a national party focused primarily on the welfare of lower castes and minority religions; 89% of Buddhists are members of Scheduled Castes. Support for regional parties is also tied to religion. For instance, 16% of Sikhs say they voted for Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) in 2019. SAD is a regional party representing Punjabi interests; according to the most recent national census, conducted in 2011, 77% of India’s Sikhs live in Punjab.

(PEW)

AUGUST 5, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/05/in-india-hindu-support-for-modis-party-varies-by-region-and-is-tied-to-beliefs-about-diet-and-language/

 

702-43-02/Polls

8 out of 10 Employees Worried About Losing Their Job

According to the research carried out by the Ipsos research company, with the increase in the number of cases both in the world and in Turkey, the feeling of anxiety is increasing in the society. This sense of anxiety and the lifting of the ban on dismissal at the same time cause the employees to worry about losing their jobs. While 44% of employees felt very worried about losing their job before the holiday, the rate of those who are very worried has increased to 59% today. When we include those who are partially worried, the rate of those who are worried in the week of 27-30 July is 81% in total.

8 out of every 10 employees

59% of Employees Think the Pandemic Will Have a Negative Impact on Their Jobs in the Future

The rate of employees who think that the epidemic will have a negative impact on their workplaces increased by 17 points compared to the beginning of July and rose to 59%. Today, 6 out of 10 employees are more hopeless about the future of their jobs.

59% of employees

At least one person lost his job in 23% of households after layoffs

The end of the ban on dismissal also has an effect on the increase in the sense of anxiety among the employees. After the ban was lifted, 23% of the households lost their job. In their environment, this rate is 38%.

dismissal-ban

The Ratio of People Who Do Not Want to Work in the Same Workplace as Unvaccinated People Increases

When it comes to the week of 27-30 July, 55% of employees state that they do not want to work in the same workplace with people who do not want to be vaccinated. This rate was 41% the previous week. On the other hand, one-third of employees say that they can work in the same workplace with people who are not vaccinated. 

with non-vaccinated persons

Higher Percentage of Employees Who Are Not Against Vaccination (Who Have Got Vaccinated Or Will Be Vaccinated When It Comes To Be Vaccinated)

While 55% of all employees state that they do not want to work in the same workplace with unvaccinated people, this rate is 64% for employees who have been vaccinated or who will be vaccinated in their turn.

non-vaccine

 

Sidar Gedik, CEO of Ipsos Turkey, made the following evaluations about the data; We have been following the effects of the epidemic on our society for 67 weeks. We are in constant motion when we say increases and decreases in the number of cases, consecutive waves, restrictions, quarantines, vaccination campaigns, new virus variants. The situation has not been stable, and it still is not. We are in a period when the number of cases started to increase again with the introduction of the Delta variant. Meanwhile, the restrictions are almost lifted. 
As of the beginning of July, measures to protect employees such as short-time working allowance, unpaid leave support, and the ban on dismissal have also come to an end. On the one hand, the fact that the epidemic broke the ship again, and on the other hand, the end of the protective measures fuels the worries of the working people. The proportion of those who fear losing their job increased from 44% to 59% in 3 weeks. There are very understandable reasons for this. More than 20% of respondents say they have lost their jobs in their households since the ban was lifted. Four out of ten participants state that there are people around them who lost their jobs. And more than half of employees believe it will have a negative impact on their business, up from less than 40% a few weeks ago. On the one hand, we want to work, we do not want to lose our job, on the other hand, of course, we want to be protected from the epidemic. The vaccine issue remains critical. The “right not to be vaccinated” is a hot topic of discussion. While those who were not vaccinated in the previous weeks were divided into two equal parts by choosing to work/not work in the same workplace, the rate of those who said "I don't want" increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. The “right not to be vaccinated” is a hot topic of discussion. While those who were not vaccinated in the previous weeks were divided into two equal parts by choosing to work/not work in the same workplace, the rate of those who said "I don't want" increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. The “right not to be vaccinated” is a hot topic of discussion. While those who were not vaccinated in the previous weeks were divided into two equal parts by choosing to work/not work in the same workplace, the rate of those who said "I don't want" increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. While those who were not vaccinated in the previous weeks were divided into two equal parts by choosing to work/not work in the same workplace, the rate of those who said "I don't want" increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. While those who were not vaccinated in the previous weeks were divided into two equal parts by choosing to work/not work in the same workplace, the rate of those who said "I don't want" increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. The rate of those who said "I don't want to" seems to have increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. The rate of those who said "I don't want to" seems to have increased in the last week. 55% of working citizens who participated in our survey last week stated that they would not want to work in the same workplace as those who were not vaccinated. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard. This rate is close to 65% among those who have been vaccinated or will be in their turn. On the other hand, a substantial number of employees continue to say that almost three out of ten employees can work in the same workplace as unvaccinated people. This is a very important detail. In some countries, regulations have begun to form in this regard. As the opening of schools approaches, it is essential for the public authority to define a rule or rule in this regard.

(Ipsos Turkey)

2 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/her-10-calisandan-8i-isini-kaybetme-endisesi-tasiyor

 

AFRICA

702-43-03/Polls

83% Citizens Of Eswatini Are Satisfied With The Government’s Efforts To Manage The Covid-19 Response

With the looming threat of a third wave of COVID-19 infections in Eswatini, the latest

Afrobarometer survey shows that most citizens are satisfied with the government’s overall

management of the pandemic even though many found it difficult to comply with lockdown

restrictions and most felt that the schools were closed for too long.

However, a majority of Emaswati believe that government assistance was distributed unfairly

and that resources intended for the pandemic response were lost to government corruption.

A majority do not trust the government to ensure that COVID-19 vaccines are safe, and only

about one-third say they are likely to try to get vaccinated. Almost half say they would

choose prayer over a vaccine to prevent getting COVID-19.

Key findings

Overall, most citizens are satisfied with the government’s efforts to manage the

COVID-19 response (83%) and keep the public informed (90%) (Figure 1).

o However, only 38% say they trust official COVID-19 statistics, and more than threefourths (77%) believe that “some” or “a lot” of the resources available for

responding to the pandemic were lost to government corruption.

Fewer than one-third (29%) of citizens say they trust the government to ensure the

safety of any COVID-19 vaccine, and only a minority (37%) indicate that they are

likely to try to get vaccinated (Figure 2).

More than four in 10 emaSwati (43%) believe that prayer is more effective than a

vaccine would be in preventing COVID-19 infection (Figure 3).

A majority of citizens say the government is justified in using measures that infringe on

democratic freedoms during a public health emergency, such as censoring the

media (52%), using security forces to enforce public health mandates (72%), and

postponing elections or limiting political campaigns (63%) (Figure 4).

o However, 47% of citizens say they are worried about politicians taking advantage

of the pandemic to increase their power and authority (Figure 5).

(Afrobarometer)

5 August 2021

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/eSwatini/news_release-emaswati_approve_of_covid-19_response_but_skeptical_about_vaccines-afrobarometer-5aug21.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

702-43-04/Polls

Three Quarters Of Britons Support Doctor-Assisted Suicide, Just One In Three Mps Say The Same

The public and MPs are also out of step when it comes to allowing assisted suicide for non-terminally ill patients suffering from painful incurable diseases

Back in 2019, a YouGov study on left and right wing beliefs showed that support for assisted dying was the nation’s most closely bipartisan view.

Now new YouGov research shows that there is overwhelming public support for doctor-assisted suicide for patients suffering from a terminal illness, but that MPs are heavily divided on this issue.

Almost three quarters of Britons (73%) think the law should be changed to allow doctors to assist in the suicide of someone suffering from a terminal illness, including 74% of Conservative voters and 76% of Labour voters. However, just 35% of MPs feel the same way.

MPs are just as likely to say they oppose such a move, at 35%. This is four times as high as the rate among the general public (9%).

MPs are also more likely to be unsure on the subject, at 31% compared to 17% of all Britons.

Britons also tend to support allowing doctors to assist in the suicide of someone suffering from a painful, incurable – but not terminal – illness, by 50% to 23%. Again, MPs are far more reluctant to see such a change, with only 16% in support compared to 51% opposed.

(YouGov UK)

August 04, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2021/08/04/three-quarters-britons-support-doctor-assisted-sui

 

702-43-05/Polls

30% Of Britons Think Things In Britain Are Heading In The Right Direction

30% of Britons think things in Britain are heading in the right direction (-5 pts from June), 44% think things are heading in the wrong direction (+4).   The net rating on this measure of -14 is the lowest since January this year.

Optimism has fallen particularly among 2019 Conservative voters, from 63% last month to 49% this month (among Labour voters, there has been little change at 22% from 19%).

Direction

How favourable are the public towards the parties and leading politicians?

  • Favourability towards Boris Johnson has also fallen again this month, to 27% favourable (-6 pts since June) and 47% unfavourable (nc).  This is his worst rating in this series since October last year.  Again, there has been a 10 pt fall among Conservative voters, although a majority are still positive (58%).  
  • There has also been a marginal fall in favourability towards the Conservative party, to 27% (-4 pts), while 45% are unfavourable (nc).
  • Among other Conservative politicians, Rishi Sunak receives the highest favourability scores (36% favourable, 26% unfavourable, although this has been falling since March), while 25% are favourable towards Sajid Javid, the new Health Secretary, and 31% unfavourable.  This net score of -6 is similar to Matt Hancock’s ratings in May, but better than his final rating of -39 in June.
  • For the first time, we asked attitudes towards Priti Patel, with 15% favourable towards the Home Secretary and 54% unfavourable.  This net rating of -39 is similar to Jeremy Corbyn’s scores in the beginning of December 2019 before the General Election.  Conservative 2019 voters are twice as favourable towards her than Labour ones (by 26% to 13%, although 41% are still unfavourable).  
  • Favourability towards Keir Starmer has slightly improved after falling earlier this year.  23% feel favourable towards him (+3) while 38% are unfavourable (-7), similar to his scores in March.  Among Labour voters, his ratings have risen by 8 pts to 47%.  
  • Favourability towards the Labour party itself is little changed at 26% favourable vs 42% unfavourable, similar to views of the Conservative party.  
  • The Green Party continues to receive the lowest unfavourable ratings (at 28%, while 29% are favourable), while the Liberal Democrats are viewed less positively (17% favourable, 36% unfavourable).

Favourite

How are the Conservatives delivering in government?

  • 28% think the current Conservative government, led by Boris Johnson, is doing well at running the country (-4 pts). 44% say it is doing badly (+2), while 24% are neutral.
  • On delivering specific policy areas since it was elected in December 2019, Brexit is seen as Boris Johnson’s government’s strongest performance, with 38% saying they have done a good job at taking Britain out of the EU, and another 38% bad (unsurprisingly, Leave voters are more positive than Remainers by 67% to 17%).  Having said that, getting a good deal for the future EU relationship is seen less positively, at 25% good job (39% among Leavers, 15% among Remainers) vs 43% bad.  
  • Almost half think the government has done a bad job at improving living standards for people with low incomes since 2019 (49%), reducing social divisions, improving the NHS (both 48%) and reducing social inequality (46%).  
  • Around 4 in 10 are critical of its efforts in reducing crime (42%), spending on social services, making Britons proud (both 40%), and improving Britain’s economy (39%).  People are more split on setting the right level of taxation (24% good job, 33% bad), while 44% see little net impact either way on their own personal standard of living.
  • This can be compared with people’s expectations immediately after the Prime Minister’s election victory in December 2019.  Then, the vast majority (81%) thought it likely his government would take Britain out of the EU, while half (49%) were hopeful it would improve the country’s economy.  But most were pessimistic about its chances of reducing social divisions (63% unlikely), inequality (61%) or crime (61%), or of improving standards of living generally (60%) or for those on low incomes (56%)

Performance

Impact of leaving the EU

  • Meanwhile 33% think the UK decision to leave the EU has had a positive impact on the country (+1 since June). 40% say negative (-4) and 19% think it has made little difference (nc).

Commenting on the findings, Ipsos MORI Head of Politics Gideon Skinner said:

The optimistic national mood we saw in the Spring is slipping away, and with it favourability towards Boris Johnson and his party.  Having said that, there is still little sign so far of Keir Starmer and Labour pulling strongly ahead in the public’s affectations, although they have at least arrested their own fall.  
When it comes to delivery, Britons were expecting the Prime Minister to take the country out of Europe, and on this his ratings are highest.  Expectations were much lower that his government would reduce inequalities or divisions, but he may be more concerned about the gap in outcomes the public thought were more achievable – such as demonstrating improvements in the economy across the country as a whole, and spending on public services – particularly to improve the NHS.”

(Ipsos MORI)

4 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/favourability-towards-boris-johnson-falls-lowest-level-october

 

702-43-06/Polls

Almost Half (47%, Up From 39% Last Year) Believe Britain Will Be Stronger When It Gets Through The Pandemic

As COVID-19 restrictions were about to be lifted, Britons had become slightly more optimistic for the future than they were a year ago. However, many concerns remain – particularly over the spread of another variant, and the economy going into recession (although few prioritise economic concerns over people’s health). 
Looking to the future, Britons have become more hopeful since last year. Almost half (47%, up from 39% last year) believe Britain will be stronger when it gets through the pandemic, even though it will be tough. However, a sizeable minority are less optimistic, 37% say the pandemic will make Britain weaker for years to come (although this is down from 46% last year). 

Long-term impact of Coronavirus on BritainTop concerns for the rest of the year include the spread of a new vaccine-resistant variant (80%) and another wave of cases (79%), including around half who are very concerned. Around three-quarters (76%) are worried about the economy going into recession while 7 in 10 (69%) are concerned about there being another lockdown. Just over half (55%) are anxious about restrictions, such as mask-wearing and social distancing, coming back.

Reflecting this range of concerns, 4 in 10 (42%) say the Government should continue to prioritise people’s health over the economic health by having more restrictions if the virus continues to spread, while 15% prioritise reducing restrictions to help the economy, and another 4 in 10 (38%, up from 32% in November) believing the two concerns should be given equal weight.  The pattern of opinion is broadly the same if people are asked what happens if the virus continues to spread after all adults have been offered a second dose of the vaccine.

Comparing 5 potential effects of the virus on the country, Britons are most likely to identify increased deaths as a direct result of catching COVID-19 as the most serious (34%). A quarter (25%) view increased deaths due to fewer healthcare resources to treat and identify medical conditions other than the coronavirus as the most serious issue facing the country while 16% name the effect the virus will have on the economy and jobs. Thirteen per cent say the effect the virus will have on mental health issue is a key issue for the country while 7% name the effect on children and education.  Compared with July last year, there has been a small increase placed in the emphasis on indirect deaths due to healthcare resources being prioritised for COVID-19, and on mental health issues, and slightly less emphasis given to direct deaths and the economy.

Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, said:

Compared with where we were a year ago, and with the success of the vaccine programme, Britons have become a bit more hopeful that the country will be able to recover when it gets through the pandemic.   However, many people are still wary, particularly about the chances of another variant leading to another wave of cases, although worries about the economy are not far behind, so this optimism is fragile at best.”

(Ipsos MORI)

6 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/britons-more-hopeful-country-stronger-after-pandemic-concerns-about-another-variant-remain-economy

 

702-43-07/Polls

One In Six Britons From Black, Asian And Minority Ethnic Communities (17%) Know A Victim Of Knife Crime Closely Or Have Been One Themselves

The Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, has warned that the lifting of coronavirus restrictions is likely to lead to an increase in knife crime. But the impact from rising knife crime will likely be felt to a greater extent among Britain’s ethnic minority communities, who YouGov data shows are disproportionally affected by it.

One in six Britons from Black, Asian and minority ethnic communities (17%) know a victim of knife crime closely or have been one themselves. This is nearly twice the rate as among the wider population, at 9%. Among those aged 25 to 49, the difference is more than two-fold, at 18% vs 8%.

Among ethnic minority Britons, 6% say a family member has been a victim of knife crime, while 8% say the same about a close friend and 4% have experienced it themselves. 

In contrast, of all people in Britain, only 3% have a family member who has been a knife crime victim, one in twenty (5%) have a close friend, and 2% have experience of it first-hand.

Young people from ethnic minorities aged 18-24 are the most likely to know several victims, including themselves, when comparing across age and with the general public. One in twenty (5%) say they have been a victim, while respectively 11% and 9% say a family member and/or close friend has.

In contrast, among all Britons aged 18 to 24, a statistical 0% say they have been a victim, while 4% have a family member who has, and 9% a close friend.

Ethnic minority parents are much more worried about knife crime

The impact of knife crime on ethnic minority communities is also evident in how many Britons from such backgrounds, and those with children under 18 in particular, worry about a loved one becoming involved.

A majority of ethnic minority Britons (58%) are scared that someone they care about will be a victim of knife crime, including three in ten (29%) who are very worried. This is much higher than among the 39% in the wider population, of whom 12% feel very anxious.

Parents from ethnic minority backgrounds with children under the age of 18 are the most prone to worrying, with seven in ten (70%) fearing that a loved one could become a victim of knife crime. This includes one in three parents (34%) who are very scared of the prospect.  

In contrast, just under half of all parents with children under 18 (47%) share the same fear, and only one in eight (13%) are very worried.

The public are generally much less anxious about someone they hold dear becoming a perpetrator of knife crime, with only 7% of people worrying about this. While the same is true for Britons from ethnic minorities, they are still three times as likely to be concerned about it, at 22%. This includes 10% who are very worried.

The same disparity is clear among parents. One in three ethnic minority parents with children under 18 (35%) are scared a loved one will become a perpetrator of knife crime, including one in seven (17%) who are deeply concerned.

This is more than twice the rate as among all parents with a child under the age of 18, of whom only 14% are concerned someone they care about could commit knife crime, including 8% who are very worried.

(YouGov UK)

August 06, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/08/06/knife-crime-much-greater-concern-among-ethnic-mino

 

702-43-08/Polls

21% Of French People Say They Often Go To A Cultural Place Such As A Museum Or A Foundation

Almost a third of French people say they go at least once a quarter to a cultural place such as a museum or a foundation (32%). Contrary to what many might think, 18-34 year olds are not the least inclined to visit the museum. 21% say they often go to a cultural place such as a museum or a foundation (vs. 9% of 55+).

Note: 49% of French people aged 18 to 24 know that French national museums are free for them.

Overall, French museums enjoy a good image among French people of all generations. Indeed, 49% consider that they are enriching and only 5% that they are boring.

The Louvre and the Center Pompidou are unbeatable

The Louvre Museum is the most famous museum (85%) and the most visited by the French (61%). Note that the branches of the most visited museum in the world (Louvre - Lens and Louvre - Abu Dhabi) remain much less known to the French (the same goes for the Messina branch of the Center Pompidou).

Nearly 4 in 10 French people have visited the Center Pompidou (43%) - a figure that is on the rise by men (48% vs. 38% of women). Note, despite its recent opening, nearly one in 10 French people say they know the Bourse de Commerce - Pinault Collection.

The French and private collections

Faced with the opening of major cultural venues by private actors, such as the Bourse de Commerce, we notice that the French rather favor the involvement of private figures: three quarters of French people (75%) find that this is a good thing, even if 33% of them believe that it should be more supervised in order to prevent art from being privatized.

Museums with strong local roots

In general, museums have a stronger influence on the territory in which they are located. Not only are the inhabitants of the region in which a museum is located are more likely to say they know it and visit it, but we also note that the French are attached to this territorial anchoring of heritage: indeed, 59% of the French believe that a museum must represent the city or territory in which it is located . An even higher score among people who frequent museums regularly (69%).

What the French think of the sponsorship of cultural places

More than two-thirds of French people consider it relevant for a brand to sponsor an exhibition or give its name to a cultural place (69%). Still in connection with anchoring in the territory, 33% think that this is relevant if this brand is a contributor to French or world heritage.

The vast majority of people who often visit museums or foundations say that they pay attention to partners in permanent exhibitions or collections (82%). Of these, 67% have a better image of partners in cultural venues.

(YouGov France)
August 2, 2021

Source: https://fr.yougov.com/news/2021/08/02/musees-et-fondations/

 

702-43-09/Polls

The Vaccination Pass: A Subject Of Contention Between Relatives For 41% Of French People

The health pass and vaccination are sensitive subjects: 41% of French people believe that having discussed with their relatives has caused tensions or serious conflicts between them and 31% do not intend to discuss these subjects in their entourage this summer.

60% say they are in favor of the health pass to access cafes, restaurants, shopping centers, planes, trains, long-distance coaches and medical establishments. They will a priori be tolerant if one of their companions has neither a health pass nor a PCR test to access the places where they will be requested: 73% say that they will not go either and will stay with him, knowing that the situations are very different between having a coffee or the train, which is less improvised!

It is mid-September that we will check whether 2/3 of French people will really give up an activity because someone around them does not have a pass or PCR  ; already, 21% do not hesitate to say that they would go to the restaurant or elsewhere… without him, which promises interesting exchanges between “friends” afterwards.

(Ipsos France)

4 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/le-passe-vaccinal-sujet-de-discorde-entre-proches-pour-41-des-francais

 

NORTH AMERICA

702-43-10/Polls

About 58% Of Households Headed By Black Or African American Adults Rent Their Homes

The nationwide moratorium on evictions – put in place nearly 11 months ago by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as an emergency measure – expired this past weekend, although President Joe Biden has proposed extending it. The end of the moratorium, which was intended to protect tenants who couldn’t make their rent payments because of the COVID-19 pandemic, has alarmed tenant advocates, housing experts and others who fear that potentially millions of renters could be put out of their homes.

Renters headed about 36% of the nation’s 122.8 million households in 2019, the last year for which the Census Bureau has reliable estimates. Because certain demographics – young people, racial and ethnic minorities, and those with lower incomes – are more likely to rent, those groups likely will be disproportionately affected when evictions resume.

But setting policies to help renters in need without hurting landlords is complicated. Landlords aren’t a homogenous group of faceless corporations. In fact, fewer than one-fifth of rental properties are owned by for-profit businesses of any kind. Most rental properties – about seven-in-ten – are owned by individuals, who typically own just one or two properties, according to 2018 census data. And landlords have complained about being unable to meet their obligations, such as mortgage payments, property taxes and repair bills, because of a falloff in rent payments.

One big disparity among renters is race and ethnicity. Nationwide, about 58% of households headed by Black or African American adults rent their homes, as do nearly 52% of Hispanic- or Latino-led households, according to Pew Research Center’s analysis of census data. By contrast, roughly a quarter of households led by non-Hispanic White adults (27.9%) are rentals, as are just under 40% of Asian-led households.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/FT_21.07.16_LandlordsRenters_1-1.png?w=640

White, non-Hispanic householders account for three-quarters of all owner-occupied housing units in the United States, but just over half of all renter-occupied units.

Younger people – those below the age of 35 – are far more likely to rent than are other age groups: About two-thirds (65.9%) of this age group lives in rentals. This compares with, for example, 42% of those ages 35 to 44, and less than a third (31.5%) of 45- to 54-year-olds.

Though renter-occupied households are almost evenly split between families (50.4%) and non-families (49.6%), people living alone account for the biggest single group of renters (38.1%, or nearly four-in-ten). (The Census Bureau defines a “family” as any group of two or more people related by birth, marriage or adoption who live together.)

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/FT_21.07.16_LandlordsRenters_2.png?w=310

Renters skew to the lower ends of income and wealth distributions, according to data from the Federal Reserve’s 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances. About three-fifths of people in the lowest income quartile (60.6%) rent their homes, as do 87.6% of people with net worths below the 25th percentile. In both cases, as one goes up the income or net worth distribution scale, the share of people who are renters falls: Only 10.5% of people in the top income quartile, for example, are renters.

If those are the renters, then who are the landlords? The Census Bureau counted nearly 20 million rental properties, with 48.2 million individual units, in its 2018 Rental Housing Finance Survey, the most recent one conducted. Individual investors owned nearly 14.3 million of those properties (71.6%), comprising almost 19.9 million units (41.2%). For-profit businesses of various sorts owned 3.7 million properties, or 18.8%, but their holdings totaled 21.7 million units, or 45% of the total. Entities such as housing cooperative organizations and nonprofits owned smaller shares of the total.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/FT_21.07.16_LandlordsRenters_3.png?w=420

Businesses own larger shares of units because individuals, while far more numerous, tend to own one or two properties at most, while businesses’ holdings are larger. In fact, 72.5% of single-unit rental properties are owned by individuals, while 69.5% of properties with 25 or more units are owned by for-profit businesses.

Most rental properties are owned by individuals, but only a small share of individuals own rental property, according to IRS income-tax data. In 2018, 6.7% of individual tax filers (about 10.3 million) reported owning rental properties. Those filers reported owning 1.72 properties on average.

There was a notable increase in both the number and share of individual filers reporting rental property during and after the 2007-08 mortgage crisis. In 2006, 8.3 million tax returns (6%) reported ownership of rental property. By 2014, that number had risen to nearly 10.7 million (7.2%). One researcher at the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has suggested that those figures reflect a surge of individuals buying foreclosed homes on the cheap and renting them out.

Tax data on businesses that own rental property is harder to come by. However, that same HUD researcher has estimated that there are fewer than 1 million “business entity” landlords, adding that they “likely own an average of more than 20 units, with many managing hundreds of units.”

Individual landlords received $353.7 billion in rental income in 2018, which sounds like (and is) a lot of money. But as any businessperson knows, top-line revenue doesn’t necessarily lead to bottom-line profit. Indeed, only about half of individual landlords reported net income in 2018, with the rest losing money on their properties. Such losses can, under certain conditions, be used to offset other taxable income.

Regardless of whether the landlord is making money, rent makes up a big chunk of many tenants’ expenses. Of the nearly 44.1 million renter households in 2019, more than 45% paid rent equal to 30% or more of their gross household income (30% being a common rule of thumb for how much of a person’s gross income should be spent on housing). That’s actually down from 2013, when nearly half (49.7%) of renter households were paying 30% or more in rent.

(PEW)

AUGUST 2, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/02/as-national-eviction-ban-expires-a-look-at-who-rents-and-who-owns-in-the-u-s/

 

702-43-11/Polls

Women Represent Attendees At 21% Of Mosques In US By 2020, Which Was 14% In 2011

Women continue to be less involved than men in mosque life in the United States, but the pattern appears to be changing, according to a recent survey of American houses of worship.

The share of mosques in which adult women account for more than a quarter of all attendees at the Friday Jumah prayer service grew between 2011 and 2020, according to the new study, conducted by Ihsan Bagby, an associate professor of Islamic studies, as part of the 2020 Faith Communities Today (FACT) study. Women represented more than a quarter of attendees at just 14% of U.S. mosques in 2011, a share that rose to 21% of mosques by 2020.

Despite the increase, men continue to account for the vast majority of attendees at Friday prayer services at most U.S. mosques. Men make up the majority of Jumah prayer attendees in 94% of mosques, and there were no mosques in which men make up fewer than three-in-ten attendees at Friday prayer. The survey also found that while 44% of mosques have no children at the Friday prayer service (which typically happens during the school day), children were present in 55% of mosques.

The relatively small share of women among Friday mosque congregants aligns with results from previous Pew Research Center surveys of Muslim American adults. The Center’s most recent study, conducted in 2017, found that Muslim women were less likely than men to attend religious services at a mosque each week (37% vs. 48%), and less likely to say they were satisfied with the quality of mosques where they live (67% vs. 78%) – despite being no less likely to pray all five daily prayers (45% vs. 39%).

At least in part, this may reflect a traditional understanding among many Muslims that attendance at the Friday services is required of men but not women. Indeed, around the world, Muslim men are often much more likely than Muslim women to say they regularly attend mosque, even though there is no such gender gap when it comes to frequency of prayer or the self-described importance of religion in Muslims’ lives in most countries surveyed.

A line chart showing that women now play bigger leadership role in most American mosques

Though women make up a relatively small share of the attendees at Friday prayer services, the new FACT study found that most U.S. mosques (55%) have a dedicated women’s group, and roughly three-quarters (77%) have activities or programs specifically for women. On both of these measures, mosques’ efforts have grown since 2011. At that point, only 29% of mosques had a women’s group, and seven-in-ten (69%) had activities or programs specifically for women.

Women also have been gaining more representation on mosque boards. About nine-in-ten U.S. mosques (88%) allow women on their board of trustees (or a similar administrative body), and 61% say that women have served on the board at some point in the last five years. By comparison, a decade ago about three-quarters of mosques (77%) allowed women to serve on their board of directors, and only about half (51%) said that women had served in the last five years.

(PEW)

AUGUST 4, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/04/women-are-becoming-more-involved-in-u-s-mosques/

 

702-43-12/Polls

30% Of American Adults Say They Own A Gun, While Another 11% Say Another Member Of Their Household Does

Gun owners in the United States have long favored more permissive gun policies while adults who do not own guns have tended to favor more restrictive policies. This pattern continues today. For example, 37% of gun owners favor banning assault-style weapons, compared with twice as many (74%) non-gun owners – and this gap has grown in recent years, according to a new analysis of Pew Research Center surveys conducted in April and June 2021.

How we did this

Yet these differences in opinion between gun owners and non-owners do not apply to all gun policies. Gun owners are roughly as likely as non-owners to support preventing people with mental illnesses from obtaining guns. And sizable majorities of adults who own guns and those who do not both favor background checks for private gun sales and sales at gun shows.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_01.png?w=420

Non-owners are 31 percentage points more likely than gun owners to say they favor creating a federal database to track all gun sales (77% vs. 46%), and there are similar sized gaps in opinion over banning high-capacity magazines and banning assault-style weapons, according to the analysis, which is based on an April 2021 survey on Americans’ attitudes about gun policy and a June 2021 survey on gun ownership.

The June 2021 survey, which was conducted June 14-27 among 10,606 adults, finds that 30% of adults say they own a gun, while another 11% say they personally do not own a gun but another member of their household does. Self-reported gun ownership has changed little in recent years.

Majorities of gun owners say they favor allowing concealed carry in more places and allowing teachers to carry guns in K-12 schools, but only about a third of non-owners support these policies. While gun owners are split over shortening waiting periods for those who legally want to buy guns (49% favor, 51% oppose), just 28% of non-owners support this. Most Americans – regardless of whether or not they own guns – oppose concealed carry without a permit, but gun owners (35%) are more likely than non-owners (13%) to support this.

Views on gun policies linked to both gun ownership and partisanship

While gun ownership is associated with views on gun policies, the sizable partisan differences in these policy attitudes are reflected among owners and non-owners as well. In general, Republican gun owners are less likely than GOP non-owners – and both Democratic owners and non-owners – to favor policies that restrict access to guns. Democratic non-owners are more likely than others to favor restrictions.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_02.png?w=420

Gun owners and non-owners within each party differ on their views on gun policies. However, these differences are more pronounced among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents than they are among Democrats and Democratic leaners. (Note: Republicans are about twice as likely as Democrats to say they own a gun.)

Among Republicans, a 57% majority of those who don’t own a gun say they favor creating a federal government database to track all gun sales. By comparison, three-in-ten Republican gun owners say the same. There is a similar-sized gap among Republicans who own guns and those who do not on banning assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines.

On proposals to expand access to guns, Republicans who own guns are much more likely to support these proposals than are non-owners. For example, an overwhelming majority of Republican gun owners (87%) say they favor allowing people to carry concealed guns in more places, while a smaller majority of those who don’t own a gun (57%) say the same.

There are modest differences among Democrats on gun policies by gun ownership. For instance, while majorities of Democratic gun owners and non-owners both favor banning assault-style weapons and banning high-capacity magazines, Democratic gun owners are about 20 percentage points less likely to say this. Democrats who own guns (39%) also are more likely than those who do not (16%) to say people should be allowed to carry concealed guns in more places.

While there has been a modest decline in support for an assault weapons ban among the public overall, much of this change is attributable to declining support for the policy among Republican gun owners and non-owners alike.

Among Republican gun owners, there has been a 15 percentage point decrease in support for banning assault-style weapons since 2017 (down from 38% to 23% today). There has been a similar 16-point decrease among Republicans who don’t own a gun on this proposal.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_03.png?w=420

Democrats – both owners and non-owners – are about as likely as they were in 2017 to say they favor banning assault-style weapons.

While Republican gun owners and non-owners are both more likely to say they favor shorter waiting periods for people who want to buy guns legally today than they were in 2018, current opinions are similar to views in 2017.

By contrast, support for shorter waiting periods has declined among Democratic gun owners. In 2017, 41% of Democrats who owned a gun said they favored this policy. Today, about a quarter (24%) say this. Just 20% of Democrats who don’t own guns favor shorter waiting periods, which has remained virtually unchanged over the last few years.

Gun ownership more common among men, rural and White adults

Four-in-ten U.S. adults report that there is a gun in their household: Three-in-ten say they personally own a gun, while 11% say that they don’t own a gun, but someone else in their household does.

Gun ownership varies across demographic groups. About four-in-ten men say they personally own a gun, compared with 22% of women.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/FT_21.08.02_GunOwnership_04.png?w=310

While 36% of White adults say they personally own a gun, smaller shares of Black (24%), Hispanic (18%) and Asian (10%) adults report owning a gun.

Adults under 30 are less likely to own a gun than those in older age groups: 18% of 18- to 29-year-olds own a gun, compared with a third of those ages 30 and older.

Americans who live in the Northeast are the least likely to say they own a gun, with 20% saying this. Americans who live in the South (35%), Midwest (31%) and the West (28%) are more likely to report owning a gun.

Gun ownership also widely varies by community type, with those who live in rural areas much more likely to say they own a gun. Overall, 41% of Americans who live in rural areas own a gun, compared with 29% of those in suburban areas and 20% of Americans who live in urban areas.

There are clear partisan divides when it comes to gun ownership: 54% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents either personally own a gun (44%) or live in a house where someone else owns one (10%). By comparison, about three-in-ten (31%) Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents live in a household with a gun, with 20% reporting personally owning a gun.

While there are ideological differences on gun ownership in both parties, they are wider among Republicans. Nearly half of conservative Republicans say they own a gun (49%), while 34% of moderate and liberal Republicans say they do. Conservative and moderate Democrats are slightly more likely than liberal Democrats to say they own a gun (22% vs. 17%).

(PEW)

AUGUST 4, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/04/wide-differences-on-most-gun-policies-between-gun-owners-and-non-owners-but-also-some-agreement/

 

702-43-13/Polls

Most Black Americans, 58%, Do Not Have A Preference Between The Terms "Black" And "African American" As A Term They Would Rather People Use To Describe Their Racial Group

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Most Black Americans, 58%, do not have a preference between the terms "Black" and "African American" when asked which term they would rather people use to describe their racial group. The one in three who express a preference divide evenly between preferring each term.

Black Americans' Preferred Term for Their Racial Subgroup

The terms "Black" and "African American" are both used to refer to this racial subgroup of Americans. Which term do you think should generally be used -- Black, African American, another term, or does it not matter to you either way?

June 1-July 5, 2021

%

Black

17

African American

17

Does not matter

58

Another term/Other

6

No opinion

2

GALLUP, JUN 1-JUL 5, 2021

These findings from a June 1-July 5 Gallup poll are similar to Gallup's prior tracking of Black Americans' preferred terms using a differently worded question asked from 1991 to 2019. The new wording makes it clear that the question is asking what the group should be called -- not how the respondent prefers to be referred to, themselves. The earlier surveys also found majorities saying it didn't matter to them which term was used, and usually, no clear preferred term was identified among those who did have a preference.

Although the term "African American" was used as early as 1782, it was popularized in the late 1980s by a group of Black leaders, including Rev. Jesse Jackson, who argued that this term had "cultural integrity." But like Gallup's findings today, the Black public mostly had no preference between the two terms in the early 1990s and the following decades, while similarly sized minorities preferred one over the other.

RaceTerm-Historic

Line graph. Black Americans' preferred term for their race, from 1991 through 2019. In 2019, 64% of Black Americans did not have a preference between "Black" and "African American," while 18% favored "African American" and 17% preferred "Black."

Style guides of the Associated Press and the National Association of Black Journalists say that both "Black" and "African American" are acceptable terms -- but not necessarily interchangeable ones -- and advise reporters use the preferred terms of their subjects.

Societally accepted terms do change over time. Gallup found in 1969 that "negroes" was the most popular term among Black Americans at the time, while "colored people" and "Blacks" were about equally as preferred, each by about one in five, and "Afro-Americans" were favored by one in 10.

Gallup primarily used the term "negro" in early decades of polling, including its very first question about Black people in 1939, though the term "colored people" was used as well. Both terms were retired by the company in the early 1970s, when "Black" became a staple term Gallup used to poll about Black Americans thereon.

If They Had to Choose, Most Black Adults Would Choose "Black"

In the current survey, for the first time, Gallup asked a follow-up question of Black respondents who did not have a preference whether they lean toward one term over the other if they had to choose.

Black Americans were fairly mixed on the question, with a slight preference for "Black" (52%) over "African American" (44%). Four percent had no opinion either way.

Black Americans' Preferred Term for Their Racial Subgroup, if They Had to Choose

If you had to choose, which term do you lean toward -- "African-American" or "Black"?

Black

African-American

No opinion

%

%

%

June 1-July 5, 2021

52

44

4

Question asked of those with no preference for "Black" or "African-American" as the racial group description. Figures above represent combined results.

GALLUP, JUN 1-JUL 5, 2021

Most Hispanic Adults Have No Preference on Subgroup Label

Hispanic respondents were asked a similar question about their preference among the terms "Hispanic," "Latino" and "Latinx" -- with this final option being a newer, gender-neutral term favored by some Hispanic Americans.

Most Hispanic adults (57%) say it does not matter to them which term is used, though nearly one in four (23%) prefer "Hispanic" and 15% prefer "Latino." Few expressed a preference for "Latinx" (4%).

Hispanic Americans' Preferred Term for Their Ethnic Subgroup

The terms "Hispanic," "Latino," and "Latinx" are used to refer to this ethnic subgroup of Americans. Which term do you think should generally be used -- Hispanic, Latino, LatinX, another term, or does it not matter to you either way?

June 1-July 5, 2021

%

Hispanic

23

Latino

15

Latinx

4

Does not matter

57

Another term/Other

1

No opinion

0

GALLUP, JUN 1-JUL 5, 2021

These findings are fairly consistent with a differently worded question Gallup polled among Hispanic Americans in 2013 that also found that most said the term used did not matter, though "Hispanic" was slightly preferred over "Latino."

"Hispanic" the Most Preferred Term by Hispanic Adults When Asked to Choose

In the follow-up question in which Hispanic respondents were asked which term they lean toward, most prefer "Hispanic" (57%), while more than a third choose "Latino" (37%). Five percent prefer "Latinx."

Hispanic Americans' Preferred Term for Their Ethnic Subgroup, if They Had to Choose

If you had to choose, which term do you lean toward -- Hispanic, Latino or Latinx?

Hispanic

Latino

Latinx

No opinion

%

%

%

%

June 1-July 5, 2021

57

37

5

2

Question asked of those with no preference for "Hispanic," "Latino," or "Latinx" as the racial group description. Figures above represent combined results.

GALLUP, JUN 1-JUL 5, 2021

Bottom Line

American language and terminology evolve, as do the terms certain groups use to refer to themselves.

As for the terms "Black" and "African American," however, both terms have been accepted by most Black Americans for at least three decades -- though sizable and roughly equal, minorities of Black adults have had a preference for one of the terms in particular. Today, when they must choose one, "Black" enjoys a slight preference, though many opt for "African American" as well.

Most Hispanic Americans, too, are content with the use of multiple terms to describe their subgroup. Most favor "Hispanic," though many prefer "Latino," while few have adopted "Latinx" as their preferred term. Gallup's historical polls illustrate the extent to which preferences can change over time, however, and future updates will tell if this new, lesser-used term is on the rise -- and also if even newer labels have emerged to rival it.

(Gallup)

AUGUST 4, 2021

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/353000/no-preferred-racial-term-among-black-hispanic-adults.aspx

 

AUSTRALIA

702-43-14/Polls

Inflation Expectations increase to 4.1% in July, highest for nearly 2 years since Oct 2019

In July 2021 Australians expected inflation of 4.1% annually over the next two years, up 0.1% and the highest Inflation Expectations for nearly two years since October 2019. Inflation Expectations are now up 0.9% points since the pandemic low of 3.2% a year ago in August 2020.

Inflation Expectations are still 0.6% points below their long-term average of 4.7% but are now 0.6% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5% and 0.7% points higher than a year ago in July 2020 (3.4%).

A look at Inflation Expectations by occupation and employment category compared to a year ago shows increases across the board. Inflation Expectations for employed Australians increased by 0.8% points to 4.0% but still trail those of Australians who are not employed at 4.3%, an increase of 0.6% points from July 2020.

Private industry workers have much higher Inflation Expectations than workers in the public service

Self-Employed Australians now have the highest Inflation Expectations of any employment category at 4.4% in July, up a large 0.9% points since July 2020 while there has been a similar increase for Australians employed in private industry with Inflation Expectations of 4.1%, up 0.9% points. However, those in the public service have a different view and their Inflation Expectations have only increased 0.3% points to 3.5%.

For occupation types it is Semi/Unskilled workers who again have the highest Inflation Expectations at 4.8%, up 0.4% points from a year ago while the lowest is held by Skilled workers at 3.5% (up 0.1% points) and Professionals/Managers at 3.6% (up 0.9% points).

Inflation Expectations by Occupation & Employment Category: July 2020 cf. July 2021

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8761-c1.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan Single Source: July 2020, n=5,803; July 2021, n=6,045. Base: Australians aged 14+.

Inflation Expectations are now highest in Queensland and Tasmania and again lowest in SA

On a State-based level Inflation Expectations are slightly higher than the national average and now highest in Queensland and Tasmania at 4.2% in July.

Inflation Expectations are in-line with the national average in both NSW and Western Australia at 4.1% in July. These are the highest Inflation Expectations for folks in Western Australia for exactly two years since July 2019.

Slightly below the national average are South Australia and Victoria which have Inflation Expectations of 4% in July. Despite being lower than most other States this is the highest Inflation Expectations have been in Victoria for nearly two years since October 2019.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for July was at 108.6, an increase of 17.8pts (+19.6%) from July 2020 a year ago. The figure for the month of July is higher than the current figure for the first week of August which is at 101.8 after the extension of Sydney’s month-long lockdown and recent lockdowns of at least a week in Melbourne, Adelaide, and now Brisbane.

Inflation Expectations Index long-term trend – Expected Annual Inflation in next 2 years

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8761-c2.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan Single Source: Interviewing an average of 4,500 Australians aged 14+ per month (April 2010 – July 2021).

See below for a comprehensive list of RBA interest rate changes during the time-period charted above.

Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says Inflation Expectations increased to 4.1% in July – their highest for nearly two years since October 2019, but the current lockdowns in Greater Sydney and SE Queensland are set to dent the economic recovery:

“Inflation Expectations increased by 0.1% points to 4.1% in July and are up 0.9% points from the low-point reached in August 2020 (3.2%) during Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19. Inflation Expectations are now 0.6% points above the yearly average of 3.5% for 2020 and have been driven higher by increases across a diverse range of employment categories over the last year.

“One of the biggest differences to emerge is the diverging view on Inflation between those who work in the public service and those working in private industry or self-employed.

“The Inflation Expectations of the self-employed have increased by 0.9% points over the last year to now be at 4.4% - well above the national average of all Australians. There has been a similar trend for those working in private industry who now have Inflation Expectations of 4.1% - an increase of 0.9% points from a year ago.

“These big increases in Inflation Expectations have been larger than that for the population at large and this is explained when one considers those working in the public service. For public servants Inflation Expectations have only increased by 0.3% points to 3.5% - well below those of average Australians.

“These figures give an indication about who is feeling the rise in prices most keenly and it is those working in private sector jobs who are most at risk from repeated lockdowns and border closures that disrupt their ability to conduct their business.

“Since mid-May there have now been eight lockdowns around Australia including two lockdowns in Melbourne and Brisbane, short lockdowns in Perth, Darwin and South Australia, and an extended lockdown of over a month in Greater Sydney.

“Unfortunately for private industry these lockdowns are set to remain an ever-present possibility over the next few months as Australia’s vaccine rollout continues. The latest figures from the Department of Health show about 12.5 million vaccine doses have been administered in Australia covering just over 40% of Australians aged 16+.”


The data for the Inflation Expectations series is drawn from the Roy Morgan Single Source which has interviewed an average of 4,500 Australians aged 14+ per month over the last decade from April 2010 – July 2021 and includes interviews with 6,045 Australians aged 14+ in July 2021.

 

The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Report – Including Inflation Expectations

To learn more about the trends for Inflation Expectations as well as Consumer Confidence for different segments and demographics throughout the Australian community, purchase the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report.

The questions used to calculate the Monthly Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index.

1) Prices: “During the next 2 years, do you think that prices in general will go up, or go down, or stay where they are now?”


2a) If stay where they are now: “Do you mean that prices will go up at the same rate as now or that prices in general will not go up during the next 2 years?


2b) If go up or go down: “By about what per cent per year do you expect prices to (go upgo downon average during the next 2 years?”


3) “Would that be (x%) per year, or is that the total for prices over the next 2 years?”

The Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index is a forward looking indicator unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and is based on continuous (weekly) measurement, and monthly reporting. The Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index is current and relevant.

Monthly Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index (2010 – 2021)

Year

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Yearly

Average

2010

n/a

n/a

n/a

5.9

5.8

5.5

5.6

5.4

5.5

5.8

5.6

5.8

5.7

2011

6.6

6.4

6.4

6.2

6.1

6.2

6.1

5.8

5.7

5.8

5.5

5.5

6.0

2012

5.4

5.5

5.9

5.9

6.0

6.2

5.9

5.9

5.8

5.7

5.6

5.4

5.8

2013

5.2

5.1

5.3

4.9

5.2

4.9

5.3

5.0

4.8

4.9

4.8

5.0

5.0

2014

5.1

5.2

5.2

5.1

5.1

5.3

5.0

4.8

5.0

4.8

4.9

4.4

5.0

2015

4.4

4.3

4.5

4.5

4.2

4.4

4.4

4.5

4.5

4.2

4.4

4.5

4.5

2016

4.3

4.2

4.2

4.2

4.0

4.0

4.1

3.9

4.1

4.1

3.9

4.2

4.1

2017

4.5

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.3

4.2

4.3

4.5

4.4

4.5

4.5

4.5

4.4

2018

4.5

4.4

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.2

4.4

2019

4.2

4.0

4.0

3.7

4.1

3.8

4.1

3.9

4.0

4.1

3.9

4.0

4.0

2020

3.9

4.0

4.0

3.6

3.3

3.2

3.4

3.2

3.3

3.5

3.4

3.6

3.5

2021

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.7

3.7

4.0

4.1

3.8

Monthly
Average

4.7

4.8

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.6

4.7

Overall Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Average: 4.7

RBA interest rates changes during the time period measured: 2010-2020.

(Roy Morgan)

August 03 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8761-australian-inflation-expectations-july-2021-202108030239

 

702-43-15/Polls

Australian Employment Dropped By 176,000 In July As All Five Mainland States Experienced Lockdowns

Latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows 1.42 million Australians were unemployed in July, up 28,000 on June, for an unemployment rate of 9.7% (up 0.3% points), while 1.33 million, up 77,000 on June, were under-employed, an under-employment rate of 9.1% (up 0.6% points).

  • There were 13.2 million Australians employed in July, down 176,000 on June as all five mainland States experience lockdowns:

    Australian employment was down by 176,000 to 13,198,000 in July including 8,765,000 workers employed full-time, a drop of 61,000 from June. There was also a decrease in part-time employment, down by 115,000 to 4,433,000.
  • Unemployment increased in July with more Australians looking for full-time work:

    1,422,000 Australians were unemployed (9.7% of the workforce), up 28,000 from June. Driving the increase was more people looking for full-time work (up 49,000 to 619,000) while there were fewer people looking for part-time work (down 21,000 to 803,000).
  • The workforce was at 14.62 million in July, down 148,000 from the record high in June:

    The workforce in July was 14,620,000 – comprised of 13,198,000 employed Australians (a drop of 176,000) and 1,422,000 unemployed Australians looking for work (up 28,000).

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment (2019-2021)

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8762-c1.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2019 – July 2021. Average monthly interviews 5,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

Roy Morgan’s unemployment figure of 9.7% for July is nearly 5% points higher than the current ABS estimate for June 2021 of 4.9%. However, the ABS figure for June counts as employed an additional 157,000 Australians who were working zero hours for ‘economic reasons’. If these non-workers are added back the ABS unemployment estimate for June increases to 836,000 (6.0%). The ABS also claims there are nearly 1.1 million Australians (7.9%) under-employed for a total of over 1.93 million unemployed or under-employed (14.0% of the workforce).

  • Under-employment was up in July, highest since April 2021:

In addition to those who were unemployed, 1.33 million Australians (9.1% of the workforce) were under-employed – working part-time but looking for more work, an increase of 77,000 (up 0.6% points) from June.


In total 2.76 million Australians (18.8% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in July, an increase of 105,000 on June. The increase was driven by increases in both unemployment and under-employment.


Compared to February 2020, before the nation-wide lockdown was implemented, in July 2021 there were over 300,000 more Australians either unemployed or under-employed (+1.5% points) even though overall employment (13,198,000) is now higher than it was pre-COVID-19 (12,913,000).

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says the series of lockdowns around Australia over the past few months are creating headaches for many industries with an extended NSW lockdown, and multiple lockdowns in Victoria, Queensland and elsewhere to deal with:

 

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates for July show unemployment up 0.3% points to 9.7% and under-employment up 0.6% points to 9.1%. This means a total of 2.76 million Australians (18.8% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in July, the highest monthly figure since February 2021 (3.07 million, 21.0% of the workforce).

 

“The increases in both unemployment and under-employment in July are not surprising when one considers the number of lockdowns around Australia over the last few months. There have been three lockdowns of Victoria, two lockdowns in Queensland, a lockdown of South Australia, a lockdown of Greater Perth, a lockdown of Darwin and an extended lockdown in Greater Sydney which began in late June and is set to continue until at least the end of August.

“The multiple lockdowns are especially detrimental to travel and tourism industries and for those in the retail and hospitality sectors. Already Qantas has stood down 2,500 staff as hundreds of flights are cancelled due to the lockdowns and State border closures and the damage to the retail and hospitality sectors continues with trade disrupted and stores forced to close again.

“The renewed lockdowns in SE Queensland and Victoria, as well as the extended Greater Sydney lockdown, will cause more economic damage and higher unemployment and under-employment in August with more than half of the population now in lockdown. The contagiousness of the ‘Delta variant’ means these lockdowns could continue throughout August and beyond.

“Nevertheless, the increasing support provided by Federal and State Governments to businesses and employees forced to deal with the lockdowns and border closures is having an impact. The July 2021 unemployment estimate of 9.7% is well down from July 2020 (12.5%) and during the remainder of 2020 unemployment only dipped below 12% once – after Victoria’s long second lockdown ended.

 

“Of course, the key to ending the lockdowns is a high enough vaccination coverage of the population to prevent the spread of COVID-19 getting out of control. The latest projections show Australia is not likely to reach the target of at least 70% of adults fully vaccinated until around the end of the year.

 

“The latest Health Department figures show 13 million vaccine doses have been administered to 42% of Australians aged 16+. To reach the threshold of 70% fully vaccinated approximately 29 million vaccine doses need to be administered. Australia is still around 16 million vaccine doses short of this mark and at the rate of 1 million vaccine doses a week will reach this level in early December.

 

“Until then, the next four months are set to be an unpredictable period for businesses with the chance of snap lockdowns ever-present. Just this week there has been a new outbreak of cases in Victoria and the State has been plunged into an unprecedented sixth lockdown.

 

“As lockdowns are now the preferred policy response of both the Federal & State Governments to deal with the highly contagious Delta variant it is imperative that both levels of Government are on the front foot to offer businesses impacted by these lockdowns all the support they require.

 

“Australia’s largely successful management of the COVID-19 pandemic has been one of the best in the world over the last 18 months and there is no point letting all the good work we’ve undertaken so far be undone by decisions made in the final months of the vaccination push.”

 

This Roy Morgan survey on Australia’s unemployment and ‘under-employed* is based on weekly interviews of 770,676 Australians aged 14 and over between January 2007 and July 2021 and includes 5,992 telephone and online interviews in July 2021. *The ‘under-employed’ are those people who are in part-time work or freelancers who are looking for more work.

Contact Roy Morgan to learn more about Australia’s unemployed and under-employed; who and where they are, and the challenges they face as they search for employment opportunities.

Visit the Roy Morgan Online Store to purchase employment profiles, including for Australians who are employedunemployedunder-employedemployed part-timeemployed full-timeretiredstudying and many more.

Roy Morgan Unemployed and ‘Under-employed’* Estimates

Unemployed or

‘Under-employed’*

Unemployed

Unemployed looking for

‘Under-employed’*

Full-time

Part-time

2020

‘000

%

‘000

%

‘000

‘000

‘000

%

Jan-Mar 2020

2,692

19.1

1,417

10.1

638

779

1,275

9.0

Apr-Jun 2020

3,466

24.6

2,099

14.9

937

1,162

1,367

9.7

Jul-Sep 2020

3,237

22.7

1,865

13.1

769

1,096

1,373

9.6

Oct-Dec 2020

3,064

21.5

1,738

12.2

789

949

1,326

9.3

2021

Jan-Mar 2021

2,971

20.6

1,750

12.1

717

1,033

1,222

8.5

Apr-Jun 2021

2,688

18.3

1,398

9.5

574

824

1,290

8.8

Months

June 2020

3,454

24.5

2,048

14.5

904

1,144

1,406

10.0

July 2020

3,284

23.0

1,786

12.5

807

979

1,498

10.5

August 2020

3,270

22.8

1,980

13.8

768

1,212

1,290

9.0

September 2020

3,158

22.3

1,828

12.9

732

1,096

1,330

9.4

October 2020

3,147

22.2

1,810

12.8

790

1,020

1,337

9.4

November 2020

2,964

21.0

1,680

11.9

779

901

1,284

9.1

December 2020

3,081

21.4

1,724

12.0

797

927

1,357

9.4

January 2021

3,118

21.7

1,680

11.7

692

988

1,438

10.0

February 2021

3,068

21.0

1,930

13.2

790

1,140

1,138

7.8

March 2021

2,728

19.0

1,639

11.4

668

971

1,089

7.6

April 2021

2,664

18.3

1,307

9.0

593

714

1,357

9.3

May 2021

2,749

18.9

1,493

10.3

558

935

1,256

8.6

June 2021

2,651

17.9

1,394

9.4

570

824

1,257

8.5

July 2021

2,756

18.8

1,422

9.7

619

803

1,334

9.1

*Workforce includes those employed and those looking for work – the unemployed.

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8762-c2.png?la=en
Source: 
Roy Morgan Single Source October 2006 – July 2021. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8762-c3.png?la=en
Source:
 Roy Morgan Single Source January 2000 – July 2021. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/august/8762-c4.png?la=en
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source April 1995 – July 2021. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

(Roy Morgan)

August 06 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8762-australian-unemployment-estimates-july-2021-202108060502

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

702-43-16/Polls

Seven In Ten Britons Believe “All Banks Are Basically The Same”, Compared To Just Over Half Of Americans (53%)

Data from YouGov Profiles allows us to look at how consumers perceive banks in markets all over the world. Zeroing in on four major financial centres – Great Britain, the US, the United Arab Emirates, and Switzerland – reveals a range of different attitudes.

Seven in ten Britons, for example, believe “all banks are basically the same”, compared to just over half of Americans (53%), nearly half of Emiratis (48%), and three in ten Swiss consumers (29%). While each of these countries boasts a major financial services hub for its respective region, in Switzerland – where the banking sector is tied up with national identity – they may seem less homogenous than they do elsewhere. In Britain, then, financial services companies may need to do more to differentiate themselves from the competition.

But if Swiss customers don’t think all banks are the same, this may not necessarily be to the banks’ advantage. Among all four markets, they are the most likely to be suspicious of these organisations: just three in ten (29%) say banks and financial services providers can be trusted compared to over half of Americans (54%) and Britons (51%), and nearly as many Emirati customers (48%). Swiss consumers are also most likely to say that banks try to trick people out of their money (49%) compared to just a third (34%) of Britons. It seems likely that major banking scandals such as SwissLeaks – most recently including reputational damage to institutions such as Credit Suisse from the Greensill and Archegos affairs – could be having an effect on popular perceptions of an important industry.

(YouGov UK)

August 02, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/consumer/articles-reports/2021/08/02/perceptions-banking-four-major-hubs

 

702-43-17/Polls

Global views on sports: 58% globally would like to practice more

A new Global Advisor study reveals that people from the Netherlands are the most physically active of 29 nations. On average they report spending 12.8 hours a week (almost two hours per day) doing physical exercise or team sports, double the average of 6.1 across 29 markets. People from Germany and Romania are the next most active, carrying out 11.1 and 11 hours of exercise per week respectively.
At the other end of the scale, Brazilians are the least physically active, spending three hours per week doing physical exercise on average (26 minutes per day). Four other countries report doing less than four hours of physical exercise on average per week – France (3.7), Chile (3.7), Italy (3.6) and Japan (3.3).
One third of Japanese citizens report doing no exercise at all in an average week (34%), more than double the average across 29 countries (14%). Three in ten Brazilians (31%) and a quarter of Poles and Italians (both 26%) also report doing no exercise at all. Among those from the Netherlands just four per cent say they do no exercise at all in a week.

Most commonly practiced sports

The five most frequently practiced team sports and activities across the 29 markets in a normal week are fitness (20%), running (19%), cycling (13%), soccer (10%) and swimming (9%). However, the largest proportion say they do no team sport (38%).

  • Americans and Britons are the most likely to say they do no team sports, with six in ten of their populations saying this is the case (61% and 59% respectively). Other Anglophone countries – Canada (56%) and Australia (55%) – are next most likely to agree, along with Japan (55%).
  • Swedes are the least likely to report playing now team sports in a normal week, with just 15% saying this is the case.

Barriers to further participation

Almost six in ten citizens across the 29 markets say they would like to play more sports than they currently do (58%). The top three nations where people are most likely to say they would like to play more sport than they currently do are all in Latin America – Peru (81%), Chile (79%) and Colombia (78%). Americans are least likely to say they would like to play more sports than they currently do (35%), while more than six in ten say they are happy with the amount of sport they currently play (62%).


The biggest obstacle to further participation across all counties is a lack of time: 37% say this is a barrier. The next biggest barriers are a lack of money (cited by 18%) and the weather being too hot or too cold (17%). Just over one in five say there are no barriers to their participation in sport (22%).

  • Lack of time is a particular issue in Saudi Arabia (51%), Peru (48%) and Russia (47%)
  • People in Turkey and Argentina are especially likely to cite a lack of money (33% and 30% respectively), followed by South Africans and Russians (25%)
  • Citizens of Saudi Arabia and South Africa are most likely to say weather that is too hot (or cold) is a barrier to participating in more sport (both 38%). Just seven per cent of Britons say the same.
  • Four in ten Japanese people say there are no barriers to their participation in sport and they simply do not want to participate (40%), almost double the global country average score of 22%. Those from the United States are second-most likely to say this (37%), followed by a third of Britons (33%) and Canadians (32%).

(Ipsos Canada)

3 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/global-views-to-sports-2021

 

702-43-18/Polls

The Dutch Are The Most Physically Active Nation (Exercising 12.8 Hours Per Week) , The Brazilians Are The Least

A new global Ipsos study reveals that people from the Netherlands are the most physically active of 29 nations. On average they report spending 12.8 hours a week (almost two hours per day) doing physical exercise or team sports, double the average of 6.1 across 29 markets. People from Germany and Romania are the next most active, carrying out 11.1 and 11 hours of exercise per week respectively.

At the other end of the scale, Brazilians are the least physically active, spending three hours per week doing physical exercise on average (26 minutes per day). Four other countries report doing less than four hours of physical exercise on average per week – France (3.7), Chile (3.7), Italy (3.6) and Japan (3.3).

One third of Japanese citizens report doing no exercise at all in an average week (34%), more than double the average across 29 countries (14%). Three in ten Brazilians (31%) and a quarter of Poles and Italians (both 26%) also report doing no exercise at all. Among those from the Netherlands just four per cent say they do no exercise at all in a week.

Most commonly practiced sports

The five most frequently practiced team sports and activities across the 29 markets in a normal week are fitness (20%), running (19%), cycling (13%), soccer (10%) and swimming (9%). However, the largest proportion say they do no team sport (38%).

  • Americans and Britons are the most likely to say they do no team sports, with six in ten of their populations saying this is the case (61% and 59% respectively). Other Anglophone countries – Canada (56%) and Australia (55%) – are next most likely to agree, along with Japan (55%).
  • Swedes are the least likely to report playing now team sports in a normal week, with just 15% saying this is the case.

Barriers to further participation

Almost six in ten citizens across the 29 markets say they would like to play more sports than they currently do (58%). The top three nations where people are most likely to say they would like to play more sport than they currently do are all in Latin America – Peru (81%), Chile (79%) and Colombia (78%). Americans are least likely to say they would like to play more sports than they currently do (35%), while more than six in ten say they are happy with the amount of sport they currently play (62%).

The biggest obstacle to further participation across all counties is a lack of time: 37% say this is a barrier. The next biggest barriers are a lack of money (cited by 18%) and the weather being too hot or too cold (17%). Just over one in five say there are no barriers to their participation in sport (22%).

  • Lack of time is a particular issue in Saudi Arabia (51%), Peru (48%) and Russia (47%)
  • People in Turkey and Argentina are especially likely to cite a lack of money (33% and 30% respectively), followed by South Africans and Russians (25%)
  • Citizens of Saudi Arabia and South Africa are most likely to say weather that is too hot (or cold) is a barrier to participating in more sport (both 38%). Just seven per cent of Britons say the same.
  • Four in ten Japanese people say there are no barriers to their participation in sport and they simply do not want to participate (40%), almost double the global country average score of 22%. Those from the United States are second-most likely to say this (37%), followed by a third of Britons (33%) and Canadians (32%).

(Ipsos MORI)

3 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/dutch-are-most-physically-active-nation-brazilians-are-least

 

702-43-19/Polls

Spain (89%) Is The European Country, And The Sixth In The World, That Is Most In Favor Of Including This Measure In Products

In an increasingly globalized environment, companies carry out the production of their products using the best materials, with the aim of guaranteeing quality and meeting consumer demand. However, many companies use natural resources such as trees or water. Resources widely used throughout history, but in addition to being limited, right now they are already classified as scarce. This has led the market to adopt new measures that promote sustainability and the responsible use of natural resources, such as eco-labeling of products, in order to minimize the environmental impacts generated by production with these raw materials. 

To better understand the relationship of citizens with the production methodology of companies, Ipsos, together with the World Economic Forum, has prepared a study in 28 countries to find out the perceptions of new measures in this regard, such as taxation and labeling of products that use scarce natural resources.

Globally, on average, 71% of citizens agree that companies have to pay a tax for using scarce natural resources, even if this means that consumers have to pay more for products. This percentage is in line with Spain (72%), which ranks as the second European country where this idea is most supported, just behind Italy (73%). After Spain we find Belgium (70%), the United Kingdom (69%) and the Netherlands (67%).

The greatest support for this tax is registered in emerging countries such as China (85%), India (84%) or Colombia (84%), unlike in countries such as the United States (60%), Poland (50%) and Japan (47%), who are the least supportive of this idea. 

New labeling on the use of scarce natural resources

When asking respondents if they would agree to add information labels to those products that use scarce natural resources, globally, on average, there is broad consensus, since 85% of citizens are in favor of implementing this idea. Support is even higher in Spain (89%), being the first European country, and the sixth worldwide, which is most in favor of including these labels. Behind the Spanish population is Hungary (89%), Sweden (84%) and France (83%). For its part, Germany (73%) is the European country that most rejects the use of this measure.

Scarce natural resources

According to Antonio Hernando, Director of Clients of Ipsos in Spain , “the data from this survey show that clients increasingly demand greater transparency from companies in all areas, but especially with regard to the manufacture of their products. Consumers pay more attention to labeling, they are informed about what they buy to make sure they make sustainable decisions, thus responding to their need to be respectful with the environment, a trend that already existed before the pandemic but that in recent months we have seen that it has increased. Companies must respond to this demand and offer the information and transparency that their clients are demanding, only in this way will their future be guaranteed ”.

(Ipsos Spain)

4 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/global-views-taxing-and-labelling-products-using-scarce-natural-resources

 

702-43-20/Polls

Only 7% Citizens Believe Their Country's Economy Has Already Recovered

New York, NY, August 5, 2021 — A new Ipsos survey for the World Economic Forum finds that, on average, about three in four adults across 29 countries believe it will take at least two more years for their country's economy to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. Only seven percent believe their country's economy has already recovered from the pandemic and 19% that it will have recovered one year from now. Optimism is most prevalent in China where 56% think their economy has already recovered and most scarce in Russia where 66% say recovery will take more than three years.
Citizens tend to expect their country’s government and large/multi-national businesses to lead their economy’s recovery. On average, in the 29 countries, the government and major companies are both cited by majorities of those surveyed as the entities they trust most to take primary responsibility for recovering their national economy, ahead of consumers, small businesses, and non-governmental organizations. However, one in seven don't trust any of these groups to help recover the economy rebound.
The three developments that are most widely seen as indicators that the local economy is recovering from the pandemic are: (1) people one knows getting called back to work or getting new jobs, (2) new businesses opening, and (3) increased tourism.


Detailed Findings

How long until the economy recovers from the pandemic

In the 29-country survey, Ipsos asked the global public whether their local economy had already recovered from the pandemic or how long they thought it would take for it to do so.
On average, globally:

  • Only 7% believe their country's economy has already recovered; this view is most widely held in China (the only country where it is by a majority of those surveyed—56%) and in Saudi Arabia (by 25%).
  • 19% believe their economy will have recovered in a year from now – a sentiment that is most prevalent in Saudi Arabia (38%), the United States (32%), and South Korea (31%).
  • 35% say it will take their country's economy two or three years to recover; adults in Japan (52%), Chile (46%), Italy and Malaysia (both 44%), and the Netherlands (42%) are most likely to think so.
  • 39% believe it will take their economy more than three years to recover from the pandemic, with those in Russia (66%), South Africa (62%), Argentina (59%), and Romania (58%) most likely to hold this view.

 

Who to trust to lead economic recovery

When asked which group or institution they trust most to take primary responsibility for recovering the economy in their countries, citizens tend to cite their country’s government ahead of other options: on average, across the 29 countries, it is mentioned of 53% of those surveyed, including 34% for whom it is the first answer. Large/multinational businesses are mentioned nearly as often overall (by 52%), but not as often as a first answer (17%).
“Individuals themselves”, i.e., consumers, are cited by 40% (including 17% as their first answer). They are followed by small businesses (37% overall, including 13% of first answers), and non-governmental organizations and associations (24% overall, including 6% of first answers). Finally, 14% do not trust any of these five entities to lead the economic recovery in their country, and 11% only trust one or two of them.

 

Expectations about the various entities to drive the economic recovery vary widely across countries.

  • The government is cited most in Russia (91%), Hungary (88%), and South Korea (86%), and least so in Colombia (30%), Poland (32%), and Romania (34%).
  • Large or multi-national businesses are mentioned most in China (83%), South Korea (78%), Russia (71%), and Hungary (68%), and least in Belgium (34%), the United States (35%) and the Netherlands (36%).
  • The pattern is exactly the opposite for individuals themselves, who are mentioned most in the Netherlands (71%), the U.S. (60%), and Belgium (54%), and least in Hungary (11%), South Korea (18%), and China (19%).
  • Small businesses are mentioned most in Colombia (60%), Spain (58%), and Argentina (57%), and least in Russia (7%), South Korea (10%), and Hungary (14%).
  • NGOs are most cited in Turkey (41%), South Africa and Malaysia (both 39%), and Saudi Arabia (33%) and least so in Russia (8%), the Netherlands (13%), and Spain (13%).

In general, high expectations from the government to lead the recovery tend to align with high expectations from large/multi-national businesses and with lower expectations from both consumers and small businesses. Conversely, lower expectations from government and big businesses align with higher expectations from both consumers and small businesses.

Signs of economic recovery

Survey respondents were presented with nine occurrences and asked, for each occurrence, to what extent they would view it as an indicator of recovery of their local economy. Those most widely seen as a sign the local economy has at least partly recovered are people getting called back to work or getting new jobs (global country average of 79%), new businesses opening (78%), and more tourists (72%).
Each of the other six occurrences would also be considered to be a signal of a full or partial local economic recovery by a majority of those surveyed, most of all new roads, bridges, and buildings (68%), followed by acquaintances taking vacations or planning trips (65%), fewer homeless people living on the streets (64%), local businesses announcing changes to make their activities more carbon-neutral or sustainable (also 64%), more road traffic (61%), and cleaner air (55%).

(Ipsos Egypt)

5 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/local-economic-recovery-wef-ipsos-global-advisor-survey

 

702-43-21/Polls

Globally, on average, 70% of citizens are very or quite satisfied with the lifestyle they lead

Physical exercise is associated with multiple benefits on our health and helps us lead a healthy and balanced lifestyle. Whether in a gym, hiking in the mountains or swimming in the pool, the arrival of summer and holidays encourage sport to be a good leisure option to beat the heat and stay in shape. 

To better understand the relationship of citizens with sport, Ipsos, together with the World Economic Forum, has prepared a study on the practice of exercise and team sports in 29 countries. 

Globally, on average, 70% of citizens are very or quite satisfied with the lifestyle they lead. This percentage is repeated in Spain, which, compared to neighboring countries, ranks as the third European country that is least satisfied with its lifestyle , only ahead of Hungary (62%) and Italy (59%). On the opposite side are the Netherlands (85%) and the United Kingdom (81%), as the most satisfied at European level. 

When asked about the hours they dedicate weekly to exercising, on a global level, on average, citizens dedicate 6.1 hours. In the case of Spaniards, the average drops to 5.2 hours. Furthermore, Spain ranks as the fourth European country where there is a higher percentage of the population that does not do any sport (15%). Ahead of Spain are Italy and Poland (both 26%) and France (22%). For its part, the Netherlands (12.8 hours) tops the list of countries interviewed where they dedicate the most hours to sport per week, as well as the one with the least population declaring that they do not exercise at all (4%).

What kinds of sports do citizens choose 

The sports most practiced globally are fitness (20%), running (19%), cycling (13%) and soccer (10%). In Spain, fitness also ranks first with the same percentage (20% ), being the fourth European country that most performs this activity, behind Sweden (26%), Germany (21%) and the Netherlands (21% ). In addition to fitness, Spaniards also practice swimming (11%), running and cycling (9%) and soccer (8%).

Expectations and barriers when playing sports

When it comes to knowing if respondents are satisfied with the level of physical activity they do, globally, on average, 58% of people say they would like to do more sport, a percentage that rises one point in Spain (59% ), being the second European country with the largest population that confirms this desire, only behind Poland (61%).

In the same way, 37% of those surveyed globally, on average, are happy with the exercise they do. In the case of the Spanish population, 36% of citizens are happy with the sport they practice, being the second least satisfied country in Europe , behind Poland (33%). The European countries that are most satisfied are the United Kingdom (55%), the Netherlands (51%) and Germany (49%), where half of their population is happy in that sense.

If the desire to do more sport is present, what is it that prevents you from practicing it? Globally, the most prominent reason is lack of time (37%), followed by lack of money (18%) and weather conditions (17%). In the case of Spain, this same trend continues, where the Spanish population blames lack of time (34%) as the main cause for not doing more sport, followed by lack of money (15%) and weather conditions (14 %) . Some percentages that place Spain in a medium term at the European level, where the lack of time is the most indicated in countries such as Hungary (44%), while the lack of money is the most pronounced in Belgium (18%) or the Environmental conditions affect the most in Hungary (18%).

(Ipsos Spain)

6 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/espana-cuarto-pais-europeo-con-mas-poblacion-sedentaria