BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 784-785

 

 

Week: March 27 – March 12, 2023

 

Presentation: March 17, 2023

 

 

Contents

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS                                                                                                              6

 

ASIA

            Inside Afghanistan: Record Numbers Struggle to Afford Basics                                                                       11

 

MENA                                                                                                                                       13

            UAE Parents Have High Concerns over Their Child’s Exposure To Inappropriate Online Content          13

 

AFRICA                                                                                                                                    15

            Health Insurance Coverage for Nigerians Still Abysmal; An Urgent Call For New Strategy.                     15

 

WEST EUROPE                                                                                                                        17

            Labour Voters More Wary about Politics of Child’s Spouse                                                                              17

            Most Brits Expect Recession, As Consumer Confidence Dips To Six-Year Low                                          19

            Half of Leave Voters Doubt Johnson Can Secure New Brexit Deal                                                                 21

            Few Believe the Government's Explanation of Why Parliament Is To Be Suspended                                  23

            Brits Oppose Parliament Suspension By 47% to 27%                                                                                         24

 

NORTH AMERICA                                                                                                                  25

            5 Facts about the Abortion Debate In America                                                                                                     25

            U.S. Concern about Climate Change Is Rising, But Mainly Among Democrats                                            28

            Most Americans Say Science Has Brought Benefits to Society and Expect More to Come                         31

            Parents' Concern about School Safety Remains Elevated                                                                                   34

            As Labor Day Turns 125, Union Approval Near 50-Year High                                                                         36

            Americans' Satisfaction with U.S. Education at 15-Year High                                                                          38

            Most Cannabis Consumers Use on a Weekly Basis or More                                                                              41

 

AUSTRALIA                                                                                                                             43

            Ride-Sharing App Uber Overtakes Taxis as Preferred Private Transport Service                                          43

            Rising Numbers of Australians Looking At Electric and Hybrid Vehicles for Their Next Set of Wheels 45

            Toyota And Mazda Drivers Most Brand Loyal; Have The Luxury Brands Lost Their Lustre?                   48

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES                                                                                                   50

            Britons Make Worst Tourists, Say Britons (And Spaniards And Germans)                                                    50

            Brazilians Least Satisfied in Amazon With Environment                                                                                   55

            India Ranks 9th on Happiness among 28 Global Markets: Ipsos Global Happiness Survey                        58

            The Biggest Beauty Influencer Isn’t Who You Think It Is                                                                                 59

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of thirty-five surveys. The report includes eight multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

784-785-43-36/Commentary: Out Of The 64 Countries That Were Surveyed, South Korea Tops Security Preference For US, Pakistan Tops Preference For China, While Serbia Tops The Preference For Russia And Sweden For EU For Security Partnership: GIA And Gallup & Gilani Pakistan

According to a survey conducted by Gallup International Association, out of the 64 countries that

were surveyed, South Korea tops security preference for US, Pakistan tops preference for China, while Serbia

tops the preference for Russia and EU for security partnership

An opinion poll was conducted by GIA in 64 countries covering over two thirds of the global

population (and more than 90% of those countries which are free to conduct and publish opinion

research). This press release sheds light on the findings of the survey regarding perceptions on strategic

partnerships between countries.

The question asked was “Which of the following would you prefer your country to partner with for

security – the US, China, Russia, or The EU?” 84% people from South Korea said USA, 54% from

Pakistan said China, 53% from Serbia said Russia and 69% from Serbia said EU.

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded USA were:

1. South Korea – 84%

2. Israel – 79%

3. Kosovo – 77%

4. Japan – 65%

5. Philippines – 63%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded China were:

1. Pakistan – 54%

2. Russian Federation – 50%

3. United Arab Emirates – 36%

4. Thailand – 25%

5. Palestinian Territories – 24%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded Russia were:

1. Serbia – 53%

2. Ethiopia – 46%

3. Syria – 45%

4. Armenia – 42%

5. Ivory Coast – 40%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded EU were:

1. Sweden – 69%

2. Ireland – 62%

3. Slovenia – 58%

4. Portugal – 54%

5. Switzerland – 52%

Results by Demography (Security Partnership):

Age Differences in popularity of Partnership on Security

• Younger and middle-aged populations are more amiable towards US when it comes to striking

Security Partnership while the older aged population prefers US and EU equally.

• Across all age groups US was the top preference across all the different parts of the world.

Popularity Gap in terms of security partnership between China and US

• Among different religious groups, US is ahead of China in preference for security partnership.

• Hindu respondents most upbeat about security partnership with US

• After US, Christians and Hindus prefer EU while Muslims prefer Russia

Popularity of Security Partnership by Per-capita Income.

• Interesting to note that just like economic preference, low-income economies prefer China for

security partnership.

• High-Income economies prefer EU for security partnership, this could perhaps be explained by

the fact that most high-income economies belong to the EU while lower-middle income

economies have the highest preference for US as 39% responded so.

Results by Region (Security Partnership):

Popularity of Security Partnership with China

• Popularity of security partnership with China was found to be highest in South Asia followed by

MENA region. The least support was found in EU (with 3% saying they would prefer that)

• Interestingly populations among G7 countries, the support for partnership with China is highest

in US where 16% seek security partnership with China. The lowest in G7 country is Japan in its

preference for China for security partnership

• Widespread support for security partnership with US exists in East Asia and Oceania where 3 in

5 seek partnership. The lowest support is non-EU Europe East (they seek partnership with EU

and Russia)

These interesting findings have emerged out of an annual, 64 country research conducted by Gallup

International (founded by the world-renowned scholar and pollster Dr. George Gallup in 1947). The

survey in Pakistan was done by Gallup Pakistan, Pakistan’s oldest and trusted survey firm, working since

1979.

(Gallup Pakistan)

March 08, 2023

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/08-March-GIA-PR_merged.pdf

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Japan)

Japan Activists Demand Dual-Surname Option On Women’s Day

Women’s rights activists in Japan renewed their demand Wednesday for the government to allow married couples the option to keep both of their surnames, saying the current practice in which most women face social pressure to adopt their husbands’ surnames--a prewar tradition based on paternalistic family values--widens gender inequality. “We strongly urge the parliament to face the issue and promptly achieve a revision to the civil code,” the activists said in a statement they handed to lawmakers who also attended the rally in Tokyo.

(Asahi Shimbun)

March 9, 2023

 

MENA

(UAE)

Inflation Is Changing Consumer Priorities And FMCG Spend In The UAE

Inflation and the resulting price rises are putting pressure on consumers in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Spending has remained high since 2019 and this ongoing financial strain is leading consumers to change the way they shop. But despite this, the UAE economy ended 2022 solidly and signs suggest this growth will continue, but might slow in the first half of 2023. Despite the inflationary pressures, the FMCG industry grew in 2022. Spend on beverages tumbled by -4% and personal care by -5% due to shoppers shifting their spend to food and home care products, which grew by 5% and 7%, respectively.

(Kantar)

09 March 2023

 

AFRICA

(South Africa)

Despite Growing Evidence, Climate Change Is Still Unknown To Many South Africans

About half (49%) of South Africans said they had heard of climate change, a 7- percentage-point increase since 2018. Awareness of climate change was particularly low among citizens with less than a secondary education (36%%), the poor (37%), and rural residents (42%). o Awareness was slightly above average among citizens who get daily news from the Internet (58%), newspapers (56%), and social media (55%). Among those who were aware of climate change, more than six in 10 (62%) said it is making life in South Africa “somewhat worse” (30%) or “much worse” (32%).

(Afrobarometer)

9 March 2023

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

A Quarter Of Britons Say They Have A Phobia Of Heights

According to the Cambridge Dictionary, a phobia is “an extreme fear or dislike of a particular thing or situation, especially one that is not reasonable”. The NHS states that severe phobias can cause a person to “organise their life around avoiding the thing that's causing them anxiety.” Five in ten Britons (21%) say they suffer from arachnophobia, more widely known as an extreme or irrational fear of spiders. This phobia is more common among women, with a quarter (26%) saying they suffer from it compared to 16% of men.  

(YouGov UK)

February 27, 2023

 

Half Of Britons Say Feminism Is Still Needed In The UK In 2023

Despite generations of women and their male allies battling to achieve equality of the sexes, Britons generally still think there’s work to be done in the UK. The large majority of the public maintain equality for women and girls has not yet been achieved across several key areas, from home and family life to work, education, media representation, crime and politics. One in ten Britons (10%) think there’s equality for women and girls in the workplace, while 41% say the country is close to achieving equality and 38% say it’s not close.

(YouGov UK)

March 08, 2023

 

Four In Ten Britons Say They’ve Witnessed Drug Deals In Their Neighbourhoods

According to a new YouGov poll, four in ten Britons (41%) have seen suspected drug deals close to their doorsteps at least once or twice – including 8% who say they’ve witnessed dealing “many times”. Young people are more likely to suspect dealing is going on in their neighbourhoods, with half of 18 to 24-year-olds (51%) saying they think they’ve witnessed at least one deal in progress, including 14% who’ve seen suspected drug deals on many occasions.

(YouGov UK)

March 10, 2023

 

Rising Energy Costs And Long-Term Price Pressures On UK Farmers Most Likely To Be Seen As Causes For Fruit And Vegetables Shortages

As fruit and vegetable shelves go empty in supermarkets across the UK, new research by Ipsos shows rising energy costs and long-term price pressures on UK farmers are most likely to be seen as key contributors to the shortages with 76% and 73% saying each respectively has contributed a great deal or fair amount. Other key contributors, according to people in the UK, include climate change/weather challenges in countries from which food is imported (65%), agricultural labour shortages (61%) and Britain leaving the EU (58%).

(Ipsos MORI)

6 March 2023

 

7 In 10 Britons Do Not Think The Government’s Policies Will Improve Public Services

Almost two-thirds think Sunak’s government has done a bad job managing the economy. The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken, February 22nd to March 1st shows 70% of British adults do not believe that the government’s policies will improve the state of public services in the long term, with just 23 per cent thinking they will. This marks a sharp fall in figures from March last year (2022) where 60% disagreed and 31% agreed, and is the worst set of results for a government since Ipsos started asking this question in 2001.

(Ipsos MORI)

7 March 2023

 

How Can Advertising Drive Gender Equality

Women had a difficult time during COVID-19 – more women lost jobs, had to give up income, or handled home education while continuing to work. And with the current cost of living crisis, Kantar’s Global Issues Barometer shows that women are more susceptible to the implications of recession and inflation, and also felt a lower sense of wellbeing. Among the ads that men enjoy compared to women we saw higher numbers of ads with rational messages (+3%) and more use of continuous voiceovers (+2%) and ads with promotions (+2%).

(Kantar)

07 March 2023

 

(Russia)

Romir/M-Holding Research: Results Of 2022 For The Three Leaders Of The Fast Food Market

The research holding "Romir" (part of "M-Holding") analyzed how the purchasing behavior of Russians changed towards the most popular fast food restaurants (QSR) in 2022: Tasty, KFC, Burger King. In total, the top three fast food restaurants maintained turnover in 2022 (compared to 2021, turnover increased by 1%). However, the number of visits at the same time decreased by 16% in annual dynamics, which indicates an increase in prices or the average receipt.

(Romir)

01 March 2023

 

(Germany)

Almost Two Out Of Five Germans Use Account Sharing For Their Streaming Subscriptions

Almost two out of five Germans (38 percent) share their streaming accounts, including 23 percent within their own household, 8 percent outside the household and 7 percent both. Overall, men use account sharing more frequently than women (40 vs. 35 percent). 16 percent of all respondents in Germany say that they do not share their video or audio streaming accounts with others; men also make this statement more frequently than women (18 vs. 14 percent). These are the results of a survey by YouGov in cooperation with Statista.

(YouGov Germany)

March 09, 2023

 

Every Fourth German Can Imagine A Workation For Himself

25 percent of Germans have not yet done any workation, but can imagine doing so in the future. The “potential workationers” are significantly more common between the ages of 45 and 54 compared to the general population (25 vs. 20 percent). In this potential group, 36 percent have a university or technical college degree (vs. 30 percent of the total population). 75 percent of "potential workationers" say that stress makes them ill (vs. 66 percent), 51 percent like to volunteer for a good cause in their free time (vs. 44 percent). 88 percent say it's okay to be a father these days (vs. 78 percent), and 79 percent say it's important to be physically attractive (vs. 69 percent of the general German population).

(YouGov Germany)

March 09, 2023

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

Immigrants And Children Of Immigrants Make Up At Least 15% Of The 118th Congress

Immigrants and children of immigrants account for at least 15% of the 118th Congress, a share that has steadily grown over the past three Congresses. At least 81 voting members of Congress are foreign born or have at least one parent who was born in another country, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of members’ biographical information gathered from the Congressional Research Service, news articles, congressional offices and other sources.

(PEW)

FEBRUARY 28, 2023

 

Gender Pay Gap In U.S. Hasn’t Changed Much In Two Decades

The gender gap in pay has remained relatively stable in the United States over the past 20 years or so. In 2022, women earned an average of 82% of what men earned, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of median hourly earnings of both full- and part-time workers. These results are similar to where the pay gap stood in 2002, when women earned 80% as much as men. In 2022, women ages 25 to 34 earned an average of 92 cents for every dollar earned by a man in the same age group – an 8-cent gap. By comparison, the gender pay gap among workers of all ages that year was 18 cents.

(PEW)

MARCH 1, 2023

 

Mental Health And The Pandemic: What U.S. Surveys Have Found

At least four-in-ten U.S. adults (41%) have experienced high levels of psychological distress at some point during the pandemic, according to four Pew Research Center surveys conducted between March 2020 and September 2022. Young adults are especially likely to have faced high levels of psychological distress since the COVID-19 outbreak began: 58% of Americans ages 18 to 29 fall into this category, based on their answers in at least one of these four surveys. Women are much more likely than men to have experienced high psychological distress (48% vs. 32%), as are people in lower-income households (53%) when compared with those in middle-income (38%) or upper-income (30%) households.

(PEW)

MARCH 2, 2023

 

Black Americans View Capitalism More Negatively Than Positively But Express Hope In Black Businesses

Today, most Black adults say the U.S. economic system does not treat Black people fairly. And though they are increasingly dissatisfied with capitalism, most Black adults say supporting Black businesses will help achieve equality, according to recent Pew Research Center surveys. Four-in-ten Black adults held a very or somewhat positive view of capitalism in 2022, down from 57% in 2019. Views of capitalism also grew more negative among other racial and ethnic groups during this period, but the movement was particularly pronounced among Black Americans.

(PEW)

MARCH 8, 2023

 

(Canada)

Eight In Ten (79%) Canadians Believe Acts Of Violence Will Increase In Canada In The Future

A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News finds that Canadians feel more violence in the country may be on the horizon (79%). For the six in ten (58%) who report feeling that there has been an increase in violence in their community since the COVID-19 pandemic began, the pandemic’s impacts on mental health (65%), the breakdown of common values (51%), and economic uncertainty (48%) are believed to be the main causes.

(Ipsos Canada)

9 March 2023

 

Public Purists, Privatization Proponents And The Curious: Canada’s Three Health-Care Mindsets

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadians divided about privatization – and disagreement over how to define it. Two-in-five (39%) are Public Health Purists: they see little to no place for privatization and say any movement in this direction only exacerbates current challenges within the system. On the other end of the spectrum, approximately three-in-ten (28%) are Private Care Proponents: they say increasing privatization is a necessary evolution in Canadian health care and are supportive of seeing a host of hybrid care options from other countries such as Australia, Germany, and Britain brought to their own provinces.

(Angus Reid Institute)

February 27, 2023

 

China, Canada And Challenging Diplomacy: Two-In-Three Canadians Believe Beijing Did Attempt Election Interference

Amid allegations Beijing attempted to influence the outcomes of both the 2019 and 2021 elections to ensure the federal Liberal Party formed a minority government over the opposition Conservatives, two-thirds of adult Canadians express belief that Beijing “definitely” (32%) or “probably” (33%) tried to meddle. Majorities across the political spectrum are of this view, while half of Canadians say this attempted interference represents a serious threat to democracy (53%).

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 1, 2023

 

Lacking The Will: Half Of Canadians Say They Don’t Have A Last Will And Testament, Including One-In-Five Aged 55+

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds 50 per cent of Canadians in a similar boat as Harris before his tragic accident. Half of adults in this country say they don’t have a last will and testament; a proportion that remains consistent since ARI surveyed on this subject five years ago. As one might expect, younger Canadians are less likely to have one. Four-in-five Canadians younger than 35 say they do not have a will, but even half of those between the ages of 45 and 54 say the same.

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 7, 2023

 

Islamophobia In Canada: Four Mindsets Indicate Negativity Is Nationwide, Most Intense In Quebec

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds unfavourable views of Islam prevalent across the country at varying levels and highest in Quebec. Indeed, two-in-five Canadians outside of Quebec (39%) hold an unfavourable view of Islam. In Quebec that number reaches half (52%). These views take more concrete forms, however, than just the overall sentiment that the religion receives. Its followers face the risk of being unwelcome in a number of areas of Canadian society.

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 13, 2023

 

AUSTRALIA

Think News Brands And Roy Morgan Total News Figures Show 20.6 Million Australians Over The Age Of 14 Engage With News Every Month

The readership figures, produced by Roy Morgan for ThinkNewsBrands, refer to the 12 months to December 2022 and show that Total News reaches 97 per cent of the population over the age of 14. Total News represents all news brands across print and digital as well as standalone news websites. The latest release of Total News readership shows a slight softening for news consumption, down 0.5 per cent compared to the same period in 2021 with 20.6 million Australians continuing to consume news in a four-week period.

(Roy Morgan)

February 27, 2023

 

Four In Five Shoppers Believe Buying Australian-Made Is Important

New research shows Australians’ preference for Australian-made goods hasn’t wavered. The data collected by Australian market research company, Roy Morgan, found that more than four in five (86%) Australians say buying Australian-made products is important to them. While very few people, only 2%, said buying Australian-made wasn’t important to them. Most Australians (67%) stated in the survey that they ‘often’ or ‘always’ buy Australian-made products, citing supporting local jobs and the economy as their reason for doing so, followed by the quality or reliability of Australian-made products.

(Roy Morgan)

February 27, 2023

 

‘Mortgage Stress’ Increases To Its Highest Since April 2012 With 24.9% Of Mortgage Holders Now ‘At Risk’

The proportion of mortgage holders now considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress in the three months to January 2023 (24.9%) is the highest for over a decade since June 2012 and is now significantly above the long-term average of 22.8% stretching back to early 2007. The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 486,000 over the last year as the RBA increased interest rates for nine consecutive monthly meetings. Official interest rates are now at 3.35% in February 2023, the highest official interest rates since October 2012 over a decade ago.

(Roy Morgan)

February 28, 2023

 

Australian Full-Time Employment Hit A Record High Above 8.9 Million In February As Unemployment Falls 0.6% To 10.1%

Australian employment increased by 99,000 to 13,517,000 in February. The increase was driven by an increase in full-time employment, up 48,000 to a new record high of 8,949,000 while part-time employment also increased, up 51,000 to 4,568,000. 1,521,000 Australians were unemployed (10.1% of the workforce) in February, a decrease of 86,000 from January with fewer people looking for full-time work, down 42,000 to 602,000 and fewer people looking for part-time work, down 44,000 to 919,000.

(Roy Morgan)

March 06, 2023

 

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence At 79.9 – Virtually Unchanged For Second Straight Week In Early March

Consumer Confidence had mixed results around the country and was up in Queensland and South Australia, down in New South Wales and Western Australia and unchanged in Victoria. Now 21% of Australians (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to 48% (unchanged) that say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. Looking forward, under a third of Australians, 32% (unchanged), expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year while just over a third, 35% (unchanged), expect to be ‘worse off’.

(Roy Morgan)

March 07, 2023

 

Over Half Of APAC’s Consumers (54%) Say That Better Money Management Is On Their List Of Goals For This Year

Close to half (47%) of all Australian residents say there has been no change in their household finances compared to one month ago. Data from YouGov Profiles reflect cumulative responses over the past 52 weeks. Three in ten (31%), however, report worsening household finances, while less than one in five (18%) say their financial situation has improved. Higher income households are significantly more likely to report that their financial situation has improved (11-15 percentage points higher on average than middle to lower income households) and significantly less likely to say their finances have worsened.  

(YouGov Australia)

February 28, 2023

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Confounding And Confirming Expectations On The “Care Economy” In MENA, A Survey In 12 Arab Nations

Arab Barometer findings from 12 countries surveyed in the seventh wave (2021-2022) partially confound expectations on unpaid care work in the region. Where it is often assumed that childcare—including help with schoolwork—is relegated exclusively to women, survey results instead suggest that most citizens believe helping children study is a responsibility that should be shared by both male and female household heads, regardless of who currently completes this responsibility. Nearly half of citizens or more in nine out of 12 countries say household heads should be equally responsible for helping children study.

(Arabbarometer)

March 6, 2023

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2023/03/confounding-and-confirming-expectations-on-the-care-economy-in-mena/

 

Female Political Participation Inspires Confidence In Female Political Leadership In MENA, An 8 Country Survey

Eight of the countries Arab Barometer surveyed during its seventh wave were also surveyed at least ten years ago during the first or second wave.[2] This allows us to compare a nationally representative cross-section of different age groups to see how their opinions have changed since they were first surveyed. For this analysis, we broke the population up into three age cohorts. Cohort I consists of citizens who were 18 to 29 the first time they were surveyed; Cohort II is citizens originally aged 30 to 39; and Cohort III is citizens originally aged 40 to 49.[3] Except for a small overlap in Cohort I, the citizens in question have now [4] aged out of their original cohort.

(Arabbarometer)

March 6, 2023

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2023/03/mena-citizens-change-their-views-on-gender-political-roles-as-they-age-2/

 

International Women's Day: Global Opinion Remains Committed To Gender Equality, But Half Now Believe It Is Coming At The Expense Of Men, A 32-Country Survey

A new global study conducted in 32 countries by Ipsos in collaboration with the Global Institute for Women’s Leadership at King’s College London for International Women’s Day shows that: Two-thirds (68% globally, 63% in the U.S.) agree there is currently inequality between men and women in terms of social, political, and/or economic rights in their country, down slightly from 2017. However, 1 in 2 globally (54%) and more than 1 in 3 in the U.S. (37%) say that when it comes to giving women equal rights with men, things have gone far enough in their country – proportions that have gradually increased since 2019.

(Ipsos USA)

7 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/international-womens-day-global-opinion-remains-committed-gender-equality-half-now-believe-it

 

Out Of The 64 Countries That Were Surveyed, South Korea Tops Security Preference For US, Pakistan Tops Preference For China, While Serbia Tops The Preference For Russia And Sweden For EU For Security Partnership: GIA And Gallup & Gilani Pakistan

According to a survey conducted by Gallup International Association, out of the 64 countries that were surveyed, South Korea tops security preference for US, Pakistan tops preference for China, while Serbia tops the preference for Russia and EU for security partnership. The question asked was “Which of the following would you prefer your country to partner with for security – the US, China, Russia, or The EU?” 84% people from South Korea said USA, 54% from Pakistan said China, 53% from Serbia said Russia and 69% from Serbia said EU.

(Gallup Pakistan)

March 08, 2023

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/08-March-GIA-PR_merged.pdf

 

Reflections On Ramadan, A Look Into Changing Habits Of KSA, UAE And Egypt

Ramadan is a significant month for Muslims in the MENA region, and while it is a time of spiritual reflection and self-discipline, it is also a time of celebration and community. It’s touted as a period for personal spiritual growth and development, but it is also a time to strengthen family and community bonds. In the MENA region, there has historically been a significant increase in media consumption during the month of Ramadan. Partly due to the fact that many popular television shows and dramas are broadcast during this time, and so viewership naturally increases.

(Ipsos UAE)

8 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ae/reflections-ramadan

 

Data Dive: Looking Back At How The World Was Feeling As The COVID-19 Era Dawned, A Survey In 12 Countries

The coronavirus crisis seemed small and contained at first, but like a snowball rolling down a hill it quickly grew in speed and size. In the days and weeks to come, citizens around the globe started doing things that only a few months prior would’ve seemed like something out of a cheesy sci-fi movie. People were wiping down and quarantining groceries, fighting over dwindling supplies of hand sanitizer and toilet paper and knocking pots and pans together nightly in honour of healthcare heroes … not to mention that video of Gal Gadot and other celebs singing “Imagine.”

(Ipsos USA)

10 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/data-dive-looking-back-how-world-was-feeling-covid-19-era-dawned

 

According To Yougov Data, Around 44% Of The World's Consumers Say They Try To Buy Only From Socially And Environmentally Responsible Companies, A Survey Across 18 Global Markets

According to YouGov data, around 44% of the world's consumers say they try to buy only from socially and environmentally responsible companies. But how much can consumers trust a brand's claims, given apparent high-profile shortcomings, such as those highlighted by recent reports on fast-fashion brand H&M? The survey data reveals that the majority of respondents globally (60%) are skeptical of brands' green claims, suggesting that brands need to do better if they are to earn their trust. While more than a quarter are undecided (28%), the proportion of consumers who disagree with this statement is less than one in ten (7%).

(YouGov Spain)

March 10, 2023

Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2023/03/10/global-desconfian-los-consumidores-de-las-afirmaci/

 

Women Worldwide Still Facing Uphill Battle For Equality And Safety, A 39 Country Survey

Only 39% of people globally believe that women have the same opportunities as men career-wise. This number has improved from 2021 when an even lower 37% of respondents globally answered positively. In some countries, the way to equality feels longer than in others. In Chile, 62% of respondents perceive that women have fewer job opportunities than men, and generally in the Americas, 46% of people are feeling the same. Leading the discontent is Europe, where over 52% of respondents think that women’s opportunities are limited. Italy (67%), Croatia (64%) and France (58%) feel the most disparity.

(WIN)

11 Mar 2023

Source: https://winmr.com/women-worldwide-still-facing-uphill-battle-for-equality-and-safety/

 

ASIA

784-785-43-01/Polls

Japan Activists Demand Dual-Surname Option On Women’s Day

Women’s rights activists in Japan renewed their demand Wednesday for the government to allow married couples the option to keep both of their surnames, saying the current practice in which most women face social pressure to adopt their husbands’ surnames--a prewar tradition based on paternalistic family values--widens gender inequality.

At a rally marking International Women’s Day, representatives from dozens of women’s rights groups delivered a joint statement to lawmakers urging them to do more to change the 125-year-old civil code, which forces married couples to choose one surname.

“We strongly urge the parliament to face the issue and promptly achieve a revision to the civil code,” the activists said in a statement they handed to lawmakers who also attended the rally in Tokyo.

Public support for a dual-surname option has grown, with surveys showing a majority now supports the option for married couples to keep separate surnames. Some couples have also brought lawsuits saying the current law violates the constitutional guarantee of gender equality since women almost always sacrifice their surnames.

Under the 1898 civil code, a couple must adopt “the surname of the husband or wife” at the time of marriage--which experts say is the only such legislation in the world. Although the law does not specify which name, 95% of women adopt their husbands’ surnames, as paternalistic family values persist and women are generally seen as marrying into their husband’s household.

A 1996 government panel recommendation that would allow couples the option to keep separate surnames has been shelved for nearly three decades due to opposition by the governing Liberal Democratic Party.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s conservative governing party faces growing calls to allow more diversity in family values and marriage. Many in his Liberal Democratic Party support traditional gender roles and a paternalistic family system, arguing that allowing the option of separate surnames would destroy family unity and affect children.

Rally organizer Yoko Sakamoto, a long-time activist calling for the change, said it’s time to push harder. “We should even think about not voting for candidates who oppose the change in next elections,” she said.

Activists say the one-surname requirement almost always forces women to compromise and go through the trouble of changing their names in official documents and identification cards at work or elsewhere.

As more women pursue careers, a growing number want to keep using their maiden names at work, while using their registered surnames in legal documents. Some companies and government offices now allow female employees to use their maiden names at work, but they are a minority and the measure is voluntary.

Because of outdated social and legal systems surrounding family issues, younger Japanese are increasingly reluctant to get married and have children, contributing to a low birthrate and shrinking population. Some experts say Japan’s one-surname-only policy is among the reasons women hesitate to get married.

A 2015 Supreme Court ruling urged parliament to discuss the surname issue instead of issuing a legal judgement, but parliamentary deliberation has stalled amid opposition by conservative members of the governing party.

The rights gap between men and women in Japan is among the world’s largest. Japan ranked 116th in a 146-nation survey by the World Economic Forum for 2022 that measured progress toward gender equality based on economic and political participation, as well as education, health and other opportunities for women.

(Asahi Shimbun)

March 9, 2023

Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14857297

 

MENA

784-785-43-02/Polls

Inflation Is Changing Consumer Priorities And FMCG Spend In The UAE

Inflation and the resulting price rises are putting pressure on consumers in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Spending has remained high since 2019 and this ongoing financial strain is leading consumers to change the way they shop. But despite this, the UAE economy ended 2022 solidly and signs suggest this growth will continue, but might slow in the first half of 2023.

Changing consumer priorities

The FMCG market in the UAE continued to thrive in 2022, partly driven by the expansion of the expatriate population in the latter part of the year. However, FMCG spend shifted in a way that suggested a change in consumer priorities and spending behaviour.

People are shopping less often, but spending more, and the gap between the two widened throughout 2022. This was driven by a rising basket value which was sparked by the global pandemic and compounded by the war in Ukraine and inflation. At the end of 2022, spend per trip reached the highest level since COVID.

UAE FMCG Landscape Annual Review 1

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Shoppers prioritise food and home care

Despite the inflationary pressures, the FMCG industry grew in 2022. Spend on beverages tumbled by -4% and personal care by -5% due to shoppers shifting their spend to food and home care products, which grew by 5% and 7%, respectively. Dairy struggled the most and also experienced the biggest price rises. But not only are brands in the personal care and beverage losing out to other segments, they also face tougher competition and so it’s vital for them to adopt fresh marketing strategies so they stand out in the market.

UAE FMCG Landscape Annual Review 2

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It's time to take a fresh look at the traditional promotional strategy

Promotions no longer have the power they once had. Their impact has dwindled over the past two years leading many brands to cut their promotional spend. Alternative marketing strategies and tactics may produce better results, such as improving the in-store experience, enhancing the product offering, leveraging social media and influencer marketing, and personalising the customer journey through data-driven insights.

But while promotions declined, the popularity of online shopping continued to grow in 2022. Consumers purchased nearly 6% of all FMCG products online, showing a preference for larger pack sizes and higher purchase quantities compared to offline shopping.

UAE FMCG Landscape Annual Review 3

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Adapting strategy to changing shopper behavior and going online is essential for brand growth.

As the UAE economy faces a slowdown, it's becoming increasingly important for retailers and manufacturers to adapt their strategies to keep pace with the changing spending patterns of consumers. In particular, the growing popularity of online shopping is something that cannot be ignored - this trend has only been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic.

To succeed in this environment, better targeting is crucial. This could mean renewing the appeal of premium brands to affluent segments or offering the right product assortment and bundles to attract middle-class shoppers. By identifying and responding to the unique needs and preferences of different customer segments, retailers and manufacturers can position themselves for growth and success.

(Kantar)

09 March 2023

Source: https://www.kantar.com/inspiration/fmcg/inflation-is-changing-consumer-priorities-and-fmcg-spend-in-the-uae

 

AFRICA

784-785-43-03/Polls

Despite Growing Evidence, Climate Change Is Still Unknown To Many South Africans

In recent years, South Africa has experienced several catastrophic climate-related events, most notably the Orange River floods in 2011, the worst drought on record in 2015, the Knysna fires in 2017 (World Bank, 2021; Khoza, 2019), and the recent floods that wreaked havoc in the coastal city of Durban and its surrounds, claiming more than 400 lives and leaving thousands displaced (Ogunmodede, 2022). Climate change is making its presence felt in the country, impacting South African ecosystems, economies, and livelihoods (USAID, 2021). Despite the country’s standing as the most developed economy in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), it is not insulated from the severe harms that the range of climate-change impacts adds to its challenges of constrained financial resources, a sluggish economy, and persistent unemployment (King, 2021). In response, the national government has approved critical actions that prioritise climate mitigation and adaptation strategies, emissions reductions, and waste management. The South African Cabinet has forged ahead with the creation of a Presidential Climate Change Coordinating Commission, a Low Emissions Development Strategy, a National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy, a National Waste Management Strategy 2020, a carbon tax, and a draft Climate Change Bill (South African Government, 2020). What are South Africans’ experiences and perceptions of climate change? Findings from the most recent Afrobarometer survey in South Africa, in 2021, show that popular awareness of climate change, though increasing, remained relatively low. Among those who were aware of it, a growing number said climate change is making life in the country worse.

Key findings § About half (49%) of South Africans said they had heard of climate change, a 7- percentage-point increase since 2018.

o Awareness of climate change was particularly low among citizens with less than a secondary education (36%%), the poor (37%), and rural residents (42%). o Awareness was slightly above average among citizens who get daily news from the Internet (58%), newspapers (56%), and social media (55%). § Among those who were aware of climate change, more than six in 10 (62%) said it is making life in South Africa “somewhat worse” (30%) or “much worse” (32%). § Compared to 2018, the proportion of citizens who said climate change is making life worse increased by 9 percentage points. Do South Africans know about climate change? About half (49%) of South Africans said they had heard of climate change, while the other half said they were unfamiliar with the concept (43%) or didn’t know how to answer the question (8%) (Figure 1). Compared to 2018, the proportion of South Africans who said they had heard about climate change increased by 7 percentage points (Figure 2).

Women were less likely than men to be familiar with climate change (45% vs. 53%), as were rural residents compared to their urban counterparts (42% vs. 52%) (Figure 4). The youngest respondents (53%) were more aware of climate change than their elders. Awareness of climate change increased with respondents’ education level, ranging from 36% of those with primary or no formal schooling to 62% of those with post-secondary qualifications. Similarly, economically better-off citizens (60%) were far more likely to know about climate change than those experiencing various levels of lived poverty1 (37%-50%), even though climate change often affects disadvantaged communities the most (GIZ, 2022). Awareness of climate change was at above-average levels among daily consumers of news via the Internet (58%), newspapers (56%), and social media (55%), though differences were marginal for those receiving daily news from the radio (51%) and television (52%) (Figure 5).

How is climate change impacting life in South Africa? Among South Africans who were aware of climate change, 62% said it is making life in the country worse, compared to 16% who said it is making things better (Figure 6). The share of respondents who saw climate change as making life worse increased by 9 percentage points compared to 2018, suggesting that people are feeling the effects of climate change (Figure 7). Similar to awareness of climate change, perceptions of its negative impact are more common in cities (64%) than in rural areas (57%), and among the poor (68%) than among the well-off (63%). South Africans with a post-secondary education (69%) are also more likely to perceive the impact of climate change as undesirable, as are the youngest respondents (71% of those aged 18-25 years) (Figure 8).

Most important problems When respondents were asked what they considered to be the most important problems that their government should address, climate change ranked very far down the list – fewer than 1% of respondents cited it among their top three priorities for government action (Figure 9). Unemployment was far and away the top concern, cited by 63% of citizens, and 23 other problems outranked climate change.

Conclusion General awareness of climate change in South Africa was relatively low, especially among people with limited education, the poor, and rural residents. This suggests opportunities for increasing citizens’ knowledge through education and information campaigns in order to boost support for meaningful, collective climate action. Most South Africans who were aware of climate change said it is making life in the country worse. But climate change ranked very low among the problems they considered most important – a challenge for activists who consider climate change the existential issue of our times.

(Afrobarometer)

9 March 2023

Source: https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/AD615-Climate-change-still-unknown-to-many-South-Africans-Afrobarometer-8mar22.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

784-785-43-04/Polls

A Quarter Of Britons Say They Have A Phobia Of Heights

According to the Cambridge Dictionary, a phobia is “an extreme fear or dislike of a particular thing or situation, especially one that is not reasonable”. The NHS states that severe phobias can cause a person to “organise their life around avoiding the thing that's causing them anxiety.”

Now, a new YouGov RealTime survey has revealed that, of 10 phobias asked about, heights (or acrophobia) is the one that Britons are most likely to suffer from, with 23% saying it affects them.

Five in ten Britons (21%) say they suffer from arachnophobia, more widely known as an extreme or irrational fear of spiders. This phobia is more common among women, with a quarter (26%) saying they suffer from it compared to 16% of men.  

Glossophobia, or a fear of public speaking, also features highly, with 15% of Britons admitting to having an overwhelming and debilitating fear of having to stand up and speak in front of people.

What are Britons scared of?

While not going so far as to say they have a phobia, many Britons also admit to being scared of some of the items on our list.

Including the aforementioned 23% who say they have a phobia of heights, half of Britons (52%) say they have some form of fear of being up high, with the further 29% being either “very” or “somewhat” scared of heights.

Overall, half of the British public (49%) also admit to either having a phobia or being scared of speaking in front of people.

And, although the chances of encountering one in the wild in Britain are slim, two in five Britons (42%) say they have some form of fear of snakes.

This expanded fear question reveals further gender differences. More than half of women (57%) say they have some form of fear of public speaking, compared to 39% of men. The same proportion of women also admit to being afraid of heights to some extent, compared to 46% of men.

However, the gender gap is at its largest when it comes to spiders, with half of women (50%) confessing to having either a phobia or being cared of arachnids, compared to 28% of men.

Women are also almost twice as likely as men to say they are either claustrophobic or scared of enclosed spaces. Two in five women (42%) say they have some form of fear of enclosed spaces such as lifts and tunnels compared to 23% of men.

In the majority of cases asked about, fear diminishes with age. This, according to psychologist Kevin Gournay, could be a result of producing less adrenaline as we age, meaning the fears experienced at a younger age are less of an issue later in life.

For instance, half of those aged 18 to 24 (49%) say they either suffer from arachnophobia or are otherwise scared of spiders (49%) compared to 30% of those aged 55 and over.

The youngest age group are three times as likely to say they have either a phobia or are scared of clowns (21%) as the oldest generation (7%). Those aged 18 to 24 are also more than twice as likely to admit to having some form of fear of needles (28%) compared to those aged 55 and over (12%).

(YouGov UK)

February 27, 2023

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/society/articles-reports/2023/02/27/what-do-britons-say-they-have-phobia

 

784-785-43-05/Polls

Half Of Britons Say Feminism Is Still Needed In The UK In 2023

Despite generations of women and their male allies battling to achieve equality of the sexes, Britons generally still think there’s work to be done in the UK.

The large majority of the public maintain equality for women and girls has not yet been achieved across several key areas, from home and family life to work, education, media representation, crime and politics.

Education is where the largest proportion of Britons believe equality has already been won – but even then, just 20% say so.

Half (52%) say the UK is “very” or “fairly” close to achieving equality in education, but 17% say it is not yet close to being achieved.

One in ten Britons (10%) think there’s equality for women and girls in the workplace, while 41% say the country is close to achieving equality and 38% say it’s not close.

The area where work is most needed, according to most Britons, is around crime.

Just 7% of the public say women and girls’ experience of crime is on a par with men’s, while 52% say equality in this area is not close to being achieved – 20%, however, believe equality is close.

Across every measure asked, men are notably more likely than women to suggest equality for women and girls has already been achieved.

The most significant gender gaps are around media representation (24% of men believe equality is achieved compared to 8% of women), education (28% to 13%) and politics (19% to 7%).  

Half of Britons believe the UK still needs feminism

The efforts of feminists are still needed in the UK, according to half of Britons (50%), including 20% who say there’s a great deal of need for feminism in the UK at the moment.

However, three in ten Britons believe there’s not very much need (22%) or no need at all (8%) for feminism in this country.

At 59% to 41%, women are more likely than men to believe feminism is still needed, with young women most likely to say so – 69% of 18 to 29-year-old women say feminism is needed, compared to 47% of women aged 65 and over.

Those who are 65 and older are generally least likely to think the UK needs feminism, with just 32% of men in that age group saying so compared to between 42% and 45% of men of other ages.

(YouGov UK)

March 08, 2023

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/society/articles-reports/2023/03/08/half-britons-say-feminism-still-needed-uk-2023

 

784-785-43-06/Polls

Four In Ten Britons Say They’ve Witnessed Drug Deals In Their Neighbourhoods

The government isn’t doing enough to crack down on neighbourhood drug crime, according to 57% of the public

Labour has announced plans to flood drug dealing hotspots with police officers in a crackdown on drug crime if elected, news likely to be welcomed by a significant proportion of Britons who claim to have seen dealers operating in their neighbourhoods.

According to a new YouGov poll, four in ten Britons (41%) have seen suspected drug deals close to their doorsteps at least once or twice – including 8% who say they’ve witnessed dealing “many times”.

Young people are more likely to suspect dealing is going on in their neighbourhoods, with half of 18 to 24-year-olds (51%) saying they think they’ve witnessed at least one deal in progress, including 14% who’ve seen suspected drug deals on many occasions.

In contrast, a third of those aged 65 and over (33%) suspect they’ve seen drug dealing in their neighbourhood at least once or twice, with 5% witnessing it on many occasions.

Half of Britons (50%) have never witnessed a suspected deal in their area.

One in eleven Britons “very regularly” see drug users in their neighbourhood

Three in ten Britons (29%) say they regularly see people they suspect to be under the influence of drugs in their neighbourhood, with 9% saying they see drug users “very” regularly.

Just 24% of the British public say they never have.

Again, young people are more likely to say they often see drug users in their neighbourhoods – 13% of 18 to 24-year-olds say they see people under the influence of drugs very regularly, compared to 5% of those aged 65 and over.

Britons believe the authorities don’t do enough to tackle neighbourhood drug crime

Last year, the government set out plans for a “swift, certain, tough” approach to drug possession – but according to more than half of the public (57%), the government is doing too little to tackle neighbourhood drug crime.

In comparison, 17% say the government’s efforts are about right, while 3% say they do too much.

Six in ten people (61%) who voted Conservative in the last general election are among those who believe the government isn’t doing enough, with 58% of Labour supporters saying the same.

Overall, a quarter of Britons (26%) believe their local police forces are doing about the right amount of work to tackle neighbourhood drug crime, though half (49%) say they do too little – just 2% say police do too much.

Half of the public (50%) believe local councils don’t do enough to address the problem, with 20% saying they do enough and 1% too much.

(YouGov UK)

March 10, 2023

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/03/10/four-ten-britons-say-theyve-witnessed-drug-deals-t

 

784-785-43-07/Polls

Rising Energy Costs And Long-Term Price Pressures On UK Farmers Most Likely To Be Seen As Causes For Fruit And Vegetables Shortages

  • Around 3 in 4 say rising energy costs and long-term price pressures on UK farmers contribute a fair amount or great deal to the current food shortages in the UK.
  • Other contributors include climate change/weather challenges in countries from where food is imported as well as agricultural labour shortages.
  • Two-thirds say it has been more difficult to find fresh fruit and vegetables in their local supermarket now compared to 6 months ago

As fruit and vegetable shelves go empty in supermarkets across the UK, new research by Ipsos shows rising energy costs and long-term price pressures on UK farmers are most likely to be seen as key contributors to the shortages with 76% and 73% saying each respectively has contributed a great deal or fair amount. Other key contributors, according to people in the UK, include climate change/weather challenges in countries from which food is imported (65%), agricultural labour shortages (61%) and Britain leaving the EU (58%).

Just over half say climate change/weather challenges in the UK have contributed a great deal or fair amount (54%) while around half believe the Russian invasion of Ukraine (49%), the repurposing of arable land for other uses in the UK (47%) or haulier labour shortages (46%) have played their parts in causing the shortages. Around 4 in 10 say the shortages have been caused by the lack of willingness from farmers to grow fruits and/or vegetables (42%).

People are least likely to say the Covid-19 pandemic (29%) or supermarket labour shortages (33%) have made a contribution to the food shortages we are currently witnessing.

We see a majority of people in the UK have been affected by the issue with two-thirds (66%) saying they are finding it harder now, in comparison to 6 months ago, to find fresh fruits and vegetables in their local supermarkets. Only 8% say they are finding it less difficult while almost a quarter say there has been no change (23%).

Samira Brophy, Research Director at Ipsos, said:

Here we see many have been affected by the recent food shortages in supermarkets, with two in three saying they have found it more difficult to find fresh fruit and vegetables in their local store. Most recognise the current food shortages as being caused by long term price pressures on UK farming, alongside the current issue of energy prices. This suggests the public are tuned into the history surrounding the current shortages, alongside more immediate challenges. We have seen in our Ipsos Global Trends 2023 data, that major challenges facing people give businesses and institutions a clear mandate to offer plans and solutions. However only 40% of people surveyed in Great Britain believed that businesses are good at planning for the long term. This highlights a big opportunity for government and businesses to win over the public with transparency and demonstrating action in tackling structural change.

(Ipsos MORI)

6 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/rising-energy-costs-and-long-term-price-pressures-most-likely-be-seen-causes-fruit-and-vegetables-shortages

 

784-785-43-08/Polls

7 In 10 Britons Do Not Think The Government’s Policies Will Improve Public Services

Confidence in the government’s long-term policies for both economy and public services falls since last March

Almost two-thirds think Sunak’s government has done a bad job managing the economy.

Labour has small lead as party with best policies on the economy

The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken, February 22nd to March 1st shows 70% of British adults do not believe that the government’s policies will improve the state of public services in the long term, with just 23 per cent thinking they will. This marks a sharp fall in figures from March last year (2022) where 60% disagreed and 31% agreed, and is the worst set of results for a government since Ipsos started asking this question in 2001.

 

The Conservatives and the economy / budget

When asked about different aspects of the government’s record since Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister, two-thirds or more think his government has done a bad job handling various aspects of the economy. 7 in 10 (71%) think his government has done a bad job dealing with the cost of living and 21% a good job, numbers only marginally better than Boris Johnson’s government achieved in July (17% good job and 75% bad job). Meanwhile, 68% think his government has done a bad job handling tax and spending, 66% say bad job on reducing regional inequalities/levelling-up and 64% say it has done a bad job managing the economy overall, all either similar or marginally worse than July. Meanwhile, 32% think a Labour government with Keir Starmer as Prime Minister and Rachel Reeves as Chancellor would do a better job managing the economy (+6 pts from last March when compared to Johnson and Sunak), 22% say they would do worse (-5pts) and 38% say it would not make a difference (+4).  This is Labour’s best score since going into opposition.

 

Detailed party comparison figures show Labour still ahead of the Tories for having the best policies on the economy (30% vs 24%), taxation (34% to 21%), poverty/inequality (41% vs 12%), reducing the cost of living (36% to 17%), unemployment (34% to 19%), and pensions (26% to 17%), though on most its leads have narrowed since October.

 

In tandem with public criticism of the government’s performance on the economy is economic optimism – despite improving somewhat in recent months – remaining weak. 61% expect the state of the economy to worsen in the next year and 23% say it will improve. Whilst this compares favourably to November when 72% said it would worsen and 16% said it would improve, the overall net Economic Optimism Index score of -38 still reflects a wide sense of pessimism in the country.

 

Looking ahead to the budget, satisfaction with Jeremy Hunt’s performance as Chancellor has fallen since November. 52% are dissatisfied with the job he is doing (+12 points) and 26% are satisfied (-3). Whilst these scores are better than his immediate predecessor, Kwasi Kwarteng, these are otherwise the worst scores for a Chancellor since March 2016.

 

In terms of what Britons would like the Chancellor to do next week, 53% believe the Government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more borrowing, a slight increase since last July. However, only one in four (27%) actually expect the government to do this.

 

Voting intention and leader ratings

Latest voting intention trends show no change in the Labour lead (note most interviewing was done before the announcement of the new Northern Ireland trading arrangements):

 

Labour 51% (no change since January)

Conservative 25% (-1)

Lib Dem 9%  (no change)

Greens 5% (no change)

Other 9% (-1)

In terms of Ipsos’ monthly satisfaction ratings:

 

Only 15% are satisfied with the way the government is running the country, while 77% are dissatisfied (including half, 49%, of Conservative supporters), little changed from January.

27% are satisfied with the job Rishi Sunak is doing as Prime Minister (+1 pt from January) and 59% are dissatisfied (+4). Among Conservative voters, 65% are satisfied (+4 pts) and 26% dissatisfied (-2).

34% are satisfied with the job Keir Starmer is doing as Labour leader (-3 pts since January) and 46% are dissatisfied (+6). Among Labour supporters 56% are satisfied (-2 pts) and 29% dissatisfied (+7).

Gideon Skinner, head of political research at Ipsos, said:

 

The economy, inflation and the NHS are the top issues for voters right now, which means Jeremy Hunt has a big week ahead as he finalises his Budget. There are some signs of recovery from the lowest points of last autumn, but the government will be concerned that overall the public mood remains pretty negative about their record so far, and with even less confidence they will improve things in the future than a year ago, particularly when it comes to public services. Labour themselves still have some convincing to do, especially among former Conservative voters, but they have opened up a small yet persistent lead on the economy - which is an important difference in Keir Starmer’s favour compared with the last few elections.

(Ipsos MORI)

7 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/7-10-britons-do-not-think-governments-policies-will-improve-public-services

 

784-785-43-09/Polls

How Can Advertising Drive Gender Equality

Marketers have a lot on their shoulders; pricing and supply chain challenges, driving margin, media fragmentation and digital disruption all around. Then there’s the pressure, or even the requirement, to embed social purpose and diversity and inclusion throughout their business. And in the manifestation of this strategy, they need to ensure that their advertising at the very least reflects the world around us, or even progresses it. The UK’s Advertising Standards Association even revised its advertising code a few years ago to have the ability to rule against gender stereotyping.

To mark International Women’s Day 2023 and the call to #EmbraceEquity, we explore our ad testing database to look at how progressive advertising to women is.

A woman’s world

Women had a difficult time during COVID-19 – more women lost jobs, had to give up income, or handled home education while continuing to work. And with the current cost of living crisis, Kantar’s Global Issues Barometer shows that women are more susceptible to the implications of recession and inflation, and also felt a lower sense of wellbeing.

“With great power comes great responsibility”, said Voltaire (and Spiderman’s uncle). Marketers should recognise they have huge power, in the form of their media investment dollars, giving exposure and airtime to their messages, seeking to influence attitudes and behaviours. They have a responsibility to do the right thing for their brand, but also to consider many other factors in their communications strategy, including how gender roles are represented.

Response to advertising

When we look at our Link ad testing database of over 250,000 ads to see how men and women watching the same ad respond, globally we see very little difference in the various elements that are enjoyed. The few significant differences we did see at a global level showed the ads that women enjoyed most contain more emotional messaging (+3%), music that was well known (+3%) and connected to the brand (+2%). In terms of content, there were more ads with children (+5%), slice-of-life advertising (+3%) and holiday ads (+2%).

With regards to characters in ads, women enjoyed ads most that feature caring characters (male +3% and female +3%), females with diverse body types (+2%), and men in non-traditional roles (+2%) as well as a greater use of ads featuring people with disabilities (+2%). Among the ads that men enjoy compared to women we saw higher numbers of ads with rational messages (+3%) and more use of continuous voiceovers (+2%) and ads with promotions (+2%).

Regionally, North America and Europe show similar patterns between the genders to those we see at a global level, whereas Latin America and Asia Pacific show very few differences between men and women.

Differences in advertising between men and women

Chart showing differences in advertising between men and womenMedia planning also has a role to play in driving gender equality. It’s still mostly women who are targeted with personal care and childcare products, even though men also buy these things. And automotive advertising still largely targets men.

As with creative preferences, we see little difference in which platforms women prefer to see advertising on. Our Media Reactions study shows the top five preferred media channels for women are traditionally offline channels, just like men.

There are some differences. Cinema is the most preferred media channel for women, while it is fourth among men. One of the reasons for the difference is that women consider cinema ads less intrusive than men. They also feel more negatively towards advertising on gaming channels.

Driving change

I looked at our global Link data about advertising in the automotive sector, until fairly recently the last bastion of old-school behaviour. It’s not that long ago that scantily clad women were draped over car bonnets at automotive shows, presumably to attract the attention of the mostly male audience. Whatever way you look at that now, it’s shameful.

In fact, our database of global automotive ads shows that ads that dare to feature women in empowered roles have greater brand impact. Females with strong personalities and who are funny make automotive advertising more effective. Women are still few and far between in automotive ads in these roles, so there’s work to be done here.

We see some great examples of ads tackling gender diversity or challenging gender stereotypes. Heineken’s “Cheers to all”, our Kantar Creative Effectiveness Awards winner for TV in 2021, addresses gender-related drinks stereotypes in a way that is light-hearted rather than preachy or self-righteous, and for that reason is loved by viewers.

Heineken, Cheers to All

Heineken, Cheers to All

Watch (0:49)

 

Empowering women

When brands get the messaging right it can be truly empowering and even life-changing for women. For our recent webinar, Harness the power of emotion in digital advertising, we tested several ads using Link and Facial Coding, to look at how people responded emotionally. This Kotex Lea Campos ad is a great example of powerful storytelling. Tested amongst women, it performed in the top 10% of the database on contribution to brand equity, top 1% for impact on brand affinity and in the top 25% in terms of emotional engagement as measured by expressiveness and in the top 5% in enjoyment.

Kotex, Lea Campos

Kotex, Lea Campos

Watch (2:57)

 

5 imperatives for progressive marketers

Based on our analysis and work with clients around the world, here’s our advice for inclusive and effective advertising to women…

1. Keep it real

As in all matters D&I, we know that being authentic helps. It’s not what you do, it’s how you do it. It doesn’t need to scream ‘LOOK I AM A WOMAN IN A NON-STEREOTYPED ROLE’; it can be a natural part of communications.

2. Consider humour

Emotion enhances the brand impact of all advertising, including digital. We also know that humour is effective in advertising, that it’s underused, and that women particularly enjoy humour in advertising. And there are many types of humour from belly-laugh to something that raises a wry smile.

3. Avoid stereotypes

Here, marketers need to work on solid insights. In our Link creative testing, we measure whether people think the ad has progressive gender portrayals, so we can tell advertisers what works, and what impact this has on their brand.

4. Technology can help

If you use AI, make sure it’s trained on a big high-quality dataset. Kantar’s AI creative testing solutions provide results in as few as 15 minutes and are trained on over 250,000 ads in all categories from all over the world.

5. Getting your creative right drives profit

Our recent analysis of Kantar’s Link data with WARC’s effectiveness database proves that high-quality creative drives 4x profit (ROMI). So get all the ingredients right, test your creative properly, and your advertising will be truly effective.

We are excited to bring you more great examples of how to get gender right in advertising for our Kantar Creative Effectiveness Awards launching on Tuesday 18 April. Watch this space for more insights into progressive advertising that appeals to women and getting inclusion and diversity right in your campaigns.

(Kantar)

07 March 2023

Source: https://www.kantar.com/inspiration/advertising-media/how-can-advertising-drive-gender-equality

 

784-785-43-10/Polls

Romir/M-Holding Research: Results Of 2022 For The Three Leaders Of The Fast Food Market

The research holding "Romir" (part of "M-Holding") analyzed how the purchasing behavior of Russians changed towards the most popular fast food restaurants (QSR) in 2022: Tasty, KFC, Burger King.

In total, the top three fast food restaurants maintained turnover in 2022 (compared to 2021, turnover increased by 1%). However, the number of visits at the same time decreased by 16% in annual dynamics, which indicates an increase in prices or the average receipt.

Russians spend more money in these restaurants on weekdays (65.7%). Both in 2021 and in 2022, a large proportion of buyers are population representatives of the middle-income group (53%). Also, the majority of respondents (40.5%) are adults aged 45 and older. Their share remained almost unchanged during the year, but the number of young people among QSR customers has decreased by 12.6%.

The market leader is still "Tasty", this restaurant chain is visited by 37.4% of Russians. The chain almost managed to maintain penetration compared to 2021, when the brand McDonald’s was functioned (38,5%). Meanwhile, KFC (32.9%) and Burger King (24.3%) have increased their audience amid a difficult year.

The main dish in fast food restaurants is burgers, they account for a third of Russians' expenses in QSR. At the same time, the most popular in Russia is the classic cheeseburger and chickenburger. Next in popularity are French fries (12%) and rolls (9%).

“Despite the crisis time, the fast pace of life remains, people are trying to save money, but are not ready to deny habitual. There is a demand for availability, service speed, relaxed atmosphere, guaranteed taste and expected quality. Fast food restaurants are just covering these needs," noted Ksenia Paizanskaya, senior customer relationship director of Romir.

(Romir)

01 March 2023

Source: https://romir.ru/studies-eng/romirm-holding-research-results-of-2022-for-the-three-leaders-of-the-fast-food-market

 

784-785-43-11/Polls

Almost Two Out Of Five Germans Use Account Sharing For Their Streaming Subscriptions

Current YouGov survey with Statista on the subject of account sharing

Streaming, whether music or video, is widespread. Spotify, Netflix and Co. have become indispensable for many smartphones, tablets or TV sets and are used regularly. When taking out subscriptions, it is not uncommon for money to be considered, so that sharing subscriptions, so-called “account sharing”, is not uncommon. Almost two out of five Germans (38 percent) share their streaming accounts, including 23 percent within their own household, 8 percent outside the household and 7 percent both. Overall, men use account sharing more frequently than women (40 vs. 35 percent).

16 percent of all respondents in Germany say that they do not share their video or audio streaming accounts with others; men also make this statement more frequently than women (18 vs. 14 percent). These are the results of a survey by YouGov in cooperation with Statista.

Account sharing used by two out of five Germans

Most commonly shared up to two accounts

Those respondents who share their streaming accounts are most likely to do so with up to two accounts (64 percent), 25 percent do so with three to four accounts, 5 percent with up to six accounts, and 3 percent with more than six accounts . Respondents aged 55 and over say sharing up to two accounts most often (81 percent), while sharing three to four accounts is most common (32 percent) among respondents aged 18 to 24, the youngest age group surveyed by YouGov .

Most commonly shared up to two accounts

Half of the account sharers would cancel their subscription if there were additional costs

48 percent of those who use video or audio streaming accounts would not be willing to pay more money for account sharing in the future than they do now: they would cancel their subscription if they had to pay more money for account sharing . In this case, 26 percent would prevent account sharing in order to avoid additional costs. A good one in six account sharers (16 percent) would accept additional costs in order to be able to continue sharing the accounts.

Additional costs for account sharing?

(YouGov Germany)

March 09, 2023

Source: https://yougov.de/topics/consumer/articles-reports/2023/03/09/knapp-zwei-von-funf-deutschen-nutzen-account-shari

 

784-785-43-12/Polls

Every Fourth German Can Imagine A Workation For Himself

YouGov Releases Potential Workationer Audience Analysis

Cologne, March 9th, 2023. The ITB, the world's largest travel and tourism fair, still takes place in Berlin today. One of many topics at the fair is "workation". The international data & analytics group YouGov has dedicated itself to this in a target group analysis. The term "workation" means the combination of work ("work") and vacation ("vacation").

25 percent of Germans have not yet done any workation, but can imagine doing so in the future.

The target group of “potential workationers” – often middle-aged and allergic to stress

The “potential workationers” are significantly more common between the ages of 45 and 54 compared to the general population (25 vs. 20 percent). In this potential group, 36 percent have a university or technical college degree (vs. 30 percent of the total population).

75 percent of "potential workationers" say that stress makes them ill (vs. 66 percent), 51 percent like to volunteer for a good cause in their free time (vs. 44 percent). 88 percent say it's okay to be a father these days (vs. 78 percent), and 79 percent say it's important to be physically attractive (vs. 69 percent of the general German population).

Half of the potential group hopes for a better work-life balance through workation

49 percent of those Germans who can imagine a job hope for an improved work-life balance or more free time. Spain is their number one choice for a job (24 percent), followed by Italy (22 percent) and New Zealand (20 percent).

The current YouGov target group analysis "Potential Workationers" shows, among other things, the demographic characteristics of those Germans who can imagine doing a workation. The analysis also sheds light on the target group's attitudes towards work, leisure and travel and shows what they expect from a workation.

(YouGov Germany)

March 09, 2023

Source: https://yougov.de/topics/travel/articles-reports/2023/03/09/jeder-vierte-deutsche-kann-sich-eine-workation-fur

 

NORTH AMERICA

784-785-43-13/Polls

Immigrants And Children Of Immigrants Make Up At Least 15% Of The 118th Congress

Immigrants and children of immigrants account for at least 15% of the 118th Congress, a share that has steadily grown over the past three Congresses. At least 81 voting members of Congress are foreign born or have at least one parent who was born in another country, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of members’ biographical information gathered from the Congressional Research Service, news articles, congressional offices and other sources.

There are currently 18 foreign-born voting members of Congress, including 17 in the House of Representatives and one in the Senate – Democrat Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, who was born in Japan. Together, they represent 3% of all voting members across both legislative chambers. At least 63 additional lawmakers – 47 representatives and 16 senators – have one or more immigrant parent. Overall, these children of immigrants make up 12% of the House and Senate.

A chart showing that the Foreign-born share of the U.S. Congress at 3% remains below historical highs

Both the number and share of foreign-born members in the current Congress are the same as in the previous Congress. The share remains substantially below historical highs. For example, about 8% of lawmakers were immigrants in the 50th Congress of 1887-88, during a broader wave of immigration from Europe to the United States. The share of immigrants in the current Congress is also far below the foreign-born share of the U.S. population as a whole, which was 13.6% in 2021.

Children of immigrants, though, have increased their representation in Congress in recent years. Their share has increased from 10% (or 52 members) in the 115th Congress of 2017-18, when the Center began tracking this biographical information.  

Looking at all 81 immigrants and children of immigrants in the current Congress, Democrats make up a much larger portion of the group than Republicans. Among the 17 senators who are foreign born or have an immigrant parent, 12 are Democrats, four are Republicans (Sens. Marco Rubio of FloridaJim Risch of IdahoJohn Thune of South Dakota and Ted Cruz of Texas) and one is an independent – Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, whose father emigrated from Poland.

A bar chart showing that Nearly half of all immigrants and children of immigrants in the 118th Congress represent Western states

In the House, 48 of the 64 lawmakers who are immigrants or children of immigrants are Democrats, while 16 are Republicans. The latter group includes New York Republican Rep. George Santos, who is the son of Brazilian immigrants. However, key aspects of Santos’ biography have been called into question.

Immigrants and children of immigrants represent 25 states in Congress. About a quarter of these members (26%) represent California – the largest share representing any one state. Smaller shares represent Florida (9%), Illinois (7%) and New York (6%).

There are also regional trends. Almost half of members who are immigrants or children of immigrants (48%) hail from states in the West – 39 members in all. The South ranks as the second-most common region represented by this group, with 17 lawmakers, followed by the Northeast (13) and the Midwest (12).

A bar chart showing that Most immigrants or children of immigrants in Congress trace roots to Central America, Europe or Asia

In a change from previous Congresses, Central America has surpassed Europe as the most common origin region for lawmakers who are immigrants or the children of immigrants. Three-in-ten members in this group claim heritage in Central American countries. About a quarter or fewer have roots in Europe (26%), Asia (17%) and the Caribbean (16%).

Twenty-two lawmakers who are immigrants or have at least one immigrant parent have roots in Mexico, by far the largest number from any one country. The next most common countries of origin are Cuba with nine lawmakers, Germany with six and India with five. (Some lawmakers in this analysis are tallied under more than one country and region because their parents emigrated to the U.S. from different nations.)

A world map showing the birthplace or parentage of immigrants and children of immigrants in the 118th Congress; Mexican heritage is most common

Of the new members of Congress this year, Democratic Rep. Becca Balint, whose Hungarian father survived the Holocaust, is the first woman and openly gay person to represent Vermont in Congress. And Democratic Rep. Robert Garcia of California, who emigrated from Peru at age 5, is the first openly gay immigrant to serve in Congress.

Under the U.S. Constitution, an immigrant taking office in the House must be a U.S. citizen for seven years or more, be age 25 or older and live in the state where they are elected. Nine years of citizenship are required to serve in the Senate, and the member must be 30 or older and live in the represented state when elected.

(PEW)

FEBRUARY 28, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/02/28/immigrants-and-children-of-immigrants-make-up-at-least-15-of-the-118th-congress/

 

784-785-43-14/Polls

Gender Pay Gap In U.S. Hasn’t Changed Much In Two Decades

The gender gap in pay has remained relatively stable in the United States over the past 20 years or so. In 2022, women earned an average of 82% of what men earned, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of median hourly earnings of both full- and part-time workers. These results are similar to where the pay gap stood in 2002, when women earned 80% as much as men.

A chart showing that the Gender pay gap in the U.S. has not closed in recent years, but is narrower among young workers

As has long been the case, the wage gap is smaller for workers ages 25 to 34 than for all workers 16 and older. In 2022, women ages 25 to 34 earned an average of 92 cents for every dollar earned by a man in the same age group – an 8-cent gap. By comparison, the gender pay gap among workers of all ages that year was 18 cents.

While the gender pay gap has not changed much in the last two decades, it has narrowed considerably when looking at the longer term, both among all workers ages 16 and older and among those ages 25 to 34. The estimated 18-cent gender pay gap among all workers in 2022 was down from 35 cents in 1982. And the 8-cent gap among workers ages 25 to 34 in 2022 was down from a 26-cent gap four decades earlier.

How we did this

The U.S. Census Bureau has also analyzed the gender pay gap, though its analysis looks only at full-time workers (as opposed to full- and part-time workers). In 2021, full-time, year-round working women earned 84% of what their male counterparts earned, on average, according to the Census Bureau’s most recent analysis.

Much of the gender pay gap has been explained by measurable factors such as educational attainment, occupational segregation and work experience. The narrowing of the gap over the long term is attributable in large part to gains women have made in each of these dimensions.

Related: The Enduring Grip of the Gender Pay Gap

Even though women have increased their presence in higher-paying jobs traditionally dominated by men, such as professional and managerial positions, women as a whole continue to be overrepresented in lower-paying occupations relative to their share of the workforce. This may contribute to gender differences in pay.

Other factors that are difficult to measure, including gender discrimination, may also contribute to the ongoing wage discrepancy.

Perceived reasons for the gender wage gap

A bar chart showing that Half of U.S. adults say women being treated differently by employers is a major reason for the gender wage gap

When asked about the factors that may play a role in the gender wage gap, half of U.S. adults point to women being treated differently by employers as a major reason, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in October 2022. Smaller shares point to women making different choices about how to balance work and family (42%) and working in jobs that pay less (34%).

There are some notable differences between men and women in views of what’s behind the gender wage gap. Women are much more likely than men (61% vs. 37%) to say a major reason for the gap is that employers treat women differently. And while 45% of women say a major factor is that women make different choices about how to balance work and family, men are slightly less likely to hold that view (40% say this).

Parents with children younger than 18 in the household are more likely than those who don’t have young kids at home (48% vs. 40%) to say a major reason for the pay gap is the choices that women make about how to balance family and work. On this question, differences by parental status are evident among both men and women.

Views about reasons for the gender wage gap also differ by party. About two-thirds of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (68%) say a major factor behind wage differences is that employers treat women differently, but far fewer Republicans and Republican leaners (30%) say the same. Conversely, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say women’s choices about how to balance family and work (50% vs. 36%) and their tendency to work in jobs that pay less (39% vs. 30%) are major reasons why women earn less than men.

Democratic and Republican women are more likely than their male counterparts in the same party to say a major reason for the gender wage gap is that employers treat women differently. About three-quarters of Democratic women (76%) say this, compared with 59% of Democratic men. And while 43% of Republican women say unequal treatment by employers is a major reason for the gender wage gap, just 18% of GOP men share that view.

Pressures facing working women and men

Family caregiving responsibilities bring different pressures for working women and men, and research has shown that being a mother can reduce women’s earnings, while fatherhood can increase men’s earnings.

A chart showing that about two-thirds of U.S. working mothers feel a great deal of pressure to focus on responsibilities at home

Employed women and men are about equally likely to say they feel a great deal of pressure to support their family financially and to be successful in their jobs and careers, according to the Center’s October survey. But women, and particularly working mothers, are more likely than men to say they feel a great deal of pressure to focus on responsibilities at home.

About half of employed women (48%) report feeling a great deal of pressure to focus on their responsibilities at home, compared with 35% of employed men. Among working mothers with children younger than 18 in the household, two-thirds (67%) say the same, compared with 45% of working dads.

When it comes to supporting their family financially, similar shares of working moms and dads (57% vs. 62%) report they feel a great deal of pressure, but this is driven mainly by the large share of unmarried working mothers who say they feel a great deal of pressure in this regard (77%). Among those who are married, working dads are far more likely than working moms (60% vs. 43%) to say they feel a great deal of pressure to support their family financially. (There were not enough unmarried working fathers in the sample to analyze separately.)

About four-in-ten working parents say they feel a great deal of pressure to be successful at their job or career. These findings don’t differ by gender.

Gender differences in job roles, aspirations

A bar chart showing that women in the U.S. are more likely than men to say they're not the boss at their job - and don't want to be in the future

Overall, a quarter of employed U.S. adults say they are currently the boss or one of the top managers where they work, according to the Center’s survey. Another 33% say they are not currently the boss but would like to be in the future, while 41% are not and do not aspire to be the boss or one of the top managers.

Men are more likely than women to be a boss or a top manager where they work (28% vs. 21%). This is especially the case among employed fathers, 35% of whom say they are the boss or one of the top managers where they work. (The varying attitudes between fathers and men without children at least partly reflect differences in marital status and educational attainment between the two groups.)

In addition to being less likely than men to say they are currently the boss or a top manager at work, women are also more likely to say they wouldn’t want to be in this type of position in the future. More than four-in-ten employed women (46%) say this, compared with 37% of men. Similar shares of men (35%) and women (31%) say they are not currently the boss but would like to be one day. These patterns are similar among parents.

(PEW)

MARCH 1, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/03/01/gender-pay-gap-facts/

 

784-785-43-15/Polls

Mental Health And The Pandemic: What U.S. Surveys Have Found

The coronavirus pandemic has been associated with worsening mental health among people in the United States and around the world. In the U.S, the COVID-19 outbreak in early 2020 caused widespread lockdowns and disruptions in daily life while triggering a short but severe economic recession that resulted in widespread unemployment. Three years later, Americans have largely returned to normal activities, but challenges with mental health remain.

Here’s a look at what surveys by Pew Research Center and other organizations have found about Americans’ mental health during the pandemic. These findings reflect a snapshot in time, and it’s possible that attitudes and experiences may have changed since these surveys were fielded. It’s also important to note that concerns about mental health were common in the U.S. long before the arrival of COVID-19.

How we did this

At least four-in-ten U.S. adults (41%) have experienced high levels of psychological distress at some point during the pandemic, according to four Pew Research Center surveys conducted between March 2020 and September 2022.

A bar chart showing that young adults are especially likely to have experienced high psychological distress since March 2020

Young adults are especially likely to have faced high levels of psychological distress since the COVID-19 outbreak began: 58% of Americans ages 18 to 29 fall into this category, based on their answers in at least one of these four surveys.

Women are much more likely than men to have experienced high psychological distress (48% vs. 32%), as are people in lower-income households (53%) when compared with those in middle-income (38%) or upper-income (30%) households.

In addition, roughly two-thirds (66%) of adults who have a disability or health condition that prevents them from participating fully in work, school, housework or other activities have experienced a high level of distress during the pandemic.

The Center measured Americans’ psychological distress by asking them a series of five questions on subjects including loneliness, anxiety and trouble sleeping in the past week. The questions are not a clinical measure, nor a diagnostic tool. Instead, they describe people’s emotional experiences during the week before being surveyed.

While these questions did not ask specifically about the pandemic, a sixth question did, inquiring whether respondents had “had physical reactions, such as sweating, trouble breathing, nausea, or a pounding heart” when thinking about their experience with the coronavirus outbreak. In September 2022, the most recent time this question was asked, 14% of Americans said they’d experienced this at least some or a little of the time in the past seven days.

More than a third of high school students have reported mental health challenges during the pandemic. In a survey conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from January to June 2021, 37% of students at public and private high schools said their mental health was not good most or all of the time during the pandemic. That included roughly half of girls (49%) and about a quarter of boys (24%).

In the same survey, an even larger share of high school students (44%) said that at some point during the previous 12 months, they had felt sad or hopeless almost every day for two or more weeks in a row – to the point where they had stopped doing some usual activities. Roughly six-in-ten high school girls (57%) said this, as did 31% of boys.

A bar chart showing that Among U.S. high schoolers in 2021, girls and LGB students were most likely to report feeling sad or hopeless in the past year

On both questions, high school students who identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, other or questioning were far more likely than heterosexual students to report negative experiences related to their mental health.

A bar chart showing that Mental health tops the list of parental concerns, including kids being bullied, kidnapped or abducted, attacked and more

Mental health tops the list of worries that U.S. parents express about their kids’ well-being, according to a fall 2022 Pew Research Center survey of parents with children younger than 18. In that survey, four-in-ten U.S. parents said they’re extremely or very worried about their children struggling with anxiety or depression. That was greater than the share of parents who expressed high levels of concern over seven other dangers asked about.

While the fall 2022 survey was fielded amid the coronavirus outbreak, it did not ask about parental worries in the specific context of the pandemic. It’s also important to note that parental concerns about their kids struggling with anxiety and depression were common long before the pandemic, too. (Due to changes in question wording, the results from the fall 2022 survey of parents are not directly comparable with those from an earlier Center survey of parents, conducted in 2015.)

Among parents of teenagers, roughly three-in-ten (28%) are extremely or very worried that their teen’s use of social media could lead to problems with anxiety or depression, according to a spring 2022 survey of parents with children ages 13 to 17. Parents of teen girls were more likely than parents of teen boys to be extremely or very worried on this front (32% vs. 24%). And Hispanic parents (37%) were more likely than those who are Black or White (26% each) to express a great deal of concern about this. (There were not enough Asian American parents in the sample to analyze separately. This survey also did not ask about parental concerns specifically in the context of the pandemic.)

A bar chart showing that on balance, K-12 parents say the first year of COVID had a negative impact on their kids’ education, emotional well-being

Looking back, many K-12 parents say the first year of the coronavirus pandemic had a negative effect on their children’s emotional health. In a fall 2022 survey of parents with K-12 children, 48% said the first year of the pandemic had a very or somewhat negative impact on their children’s emotional well-being, while 39% said it had neither a positive nor negative effect. A small share of parents (7%) said the first year of the pandemic had a very or somewhat positive effect in this regard.

White parents and those from upper-income households were especially likely to say the first year of the pandemic had a negative emotional impact on their K-12 children.

While around half of K-12 parents said the first year of the pandemic had a negative emotional impact on their kids, a larger share (61%) said it had a negative effect on their children’s education.

(PEW)

MARCH 2, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/03/02/mental-health-and-the-pandemic-what-u-s-surveys-have-found/

 

784-785-43-16/Polls

Black Americans View Capitalism More Negatively Than Positively But Express Hope In Black Businesses

Black Americans have long had significantly lower wages and household wealth than White Americans. The roots of these inequities trace back to the central role slave labor once played in the nation’s economic system and the subsequent segregation and discrimination in labor markets. Today, most Black adults say the U.S. economic system does not treat Black people fairly. And though they are increasingly dissatisfied with capitalism, most Black adults say supporting Black businesses will help achieve equality, according to recent Pew Research Center surveys.

A bar chart showing that Black Americans have more negative views of capitalism but see hope in Black businesses

In an August 2022 survey, 54% of Black adults said they had a very or somewhat negative impression of capitalism, up from 40% in May 2019. Four-in-ten Black adults held a very or somewhat positive view of capitalism in 2022, down from 57% in 2019. Views of capitalism also grew more negative among other racial and ethnic groups during this period, but the movement was particularly pronounced among Black Americans. In fact, the 2022 survey found that Black adults were the only racial or ethnic group more likely to view capitalism more negatively than positively, and also the only group more likely to view socialism more positively (52%) than negatively (42%).

In that survey, a quarter of Black adults said the phrase “gives all people an equal opportunity to be successful” describes capitalism extremely or very well. About twice as many Black adults (49%) said this phrase does not describe capitalism well.

How we did this

Earlier Pew Research Center surveys have also found broad criticisms of the U.S. economic system among Black Americans. In an October 2021 survey, roughly eight-in-ten Black adults (79%) said economic inequality is an extremely (54%) or very big problem (25%) for Black people living in the United States.

A bar chart showing that the Vast majority of Black adults say the economic system needs to change in order to treat Black people fairly

In the same survey, the vast majority of Black Americans said the U.S. economic system does not treat Black people fairly and that major changes to the system are needed. Roughly eight-in-ten Black adults (83%) said the economic system either needs to be completely rebuilt (37%) or needs major changes (46%). Another 11% said the system requires only minor changes.

Yet Black Americans were pessimistic that such changes would occur in their lifetimes. About six-in-ten Black adults (62%) said in 2021 that these changes are a little or not at all likely to occur. A quarter said such changes are somewhat likely to occur, and just 12% said such changes are extremely or very likely to occur.

Most Black Americans experience economic insecurity

Many Black Americans have experienced economic insecurity in recent years due to the financial challenges brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. The unemployment rate among Black workers has long been higher than that of other groups and remains so today, despite some improvement in recent years.

In an October 2022 survey, roughly seven-in-ten Black adults (69%) said their personal finances were in only fair or poor shape, while just three-in-ten (31%) said their finances were in excellent or good shape. Regardless of respondents’ age, gender and educational background, Black adults were more likely than not to say their personal finances were in only fair or poor health.

A bar chart showing that Black Americans are more likely to say they have given financial assistance to family than say they received it

In October 2021, most Black adults also said they were not financially equipped to handle economic uncertainty. Fewer than four-in-ten (36%) said they had an emergency fund to cover three months of expenses in case of sickness, job loss, economic downturn or other emergencies.

In the same survey, about a fifth of Black adults (19%) said they had turned to family for financial assistance. Instead, Black adults were more likely to have given financial assistance to family members (39%).

Black women were more likely than Black men (43% vs. 34%) to have given money to family members, but both groups were still far more likely to have given than received financial assistance. Black adults with at least a bachelor’s degree (48%) and those with some college experience and no bachelor’s (45%) were more likely to have given money to family members than those with a high school diploma or less education (27%).

Black Americans say supporting Black businesses will help achieve equality

A bar chart showing that Most Black Americans say supporting Black businesses is an effective way to move toward equality

Despite having generally pessimistic views of capitalism, nearly six-in-ten Black adults (58%) said in the October 2021 survey that supporting Black-owned businesses is an extremely or very effective tactic for helping Black people move toward equality in the U.S. This view was widely shared among Black adults regardless of age and gender.

There were differences by political party and education, though. Black Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents were more likely than Black Republicans and GOP leaners to say supporting Black businesses helps promote equality (63% vs. 41%). Those with at least a bachelor’s degree (63%) were also more likely than those with a high school diploma or less education (53%) to say so.

(PEW)

MARCH 8, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/03/08/black-americans-view-capitalism-more-negatively-than-positively-but-express-hope-in-black-businesses/

 

784-785-43-17/Polls

Eight In Ten (79%) Canadians Believe Acts Of Violence Will Increase In Canada In The Future

A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News finds that Canadians feel more violence in the country may be on the horizon (79%). For the six in ten (58%) who report feeling that there has been an increase in violence in their community since the COVID-19 pandemic began, the pandemic’s impacts on mental health (65%), the breakdown of common values (51%), and economic uncertainty (48%) are believed to be the main causes.

Mental Health Impacts of COVID Thought to Play a Role in Increased Violence

A strong majority (79%) of Canadians feel that acts of violence will increase in Canada in the future, though a lower proportion (43%) say they feel less safe where they live than they did a year ago (with 57% disagreeing with this statement), not including those who did not provide a response. Younger Canadians are more likely to say they feel less safe where they live than a year ago (59% 18-34, 40% 35-54, 35% 55+).

Thinking about violence in Canada over the last year, almost six in ten (58%) Canadians feel that there has been more violence in their community since the COVID-19 pandemic began, excluding those who did not provide a response.

When those who feel there has been an increase in violence since COVID-19 were asked about the reasons behind this increase, two-thirds (65%) believe the pandemic has had a negative effect on people’s mental health, which is higher among women (71% vs. 58% for men) and those aged over 55 (72% vs. 60%: 18-34; 62%: 35-54). Half (51%) believe the breakdown of common values and social cohesion is the reason for the increased violence, while a similar proportion (48%) blame economic uncertainty (which is higher among women 55% vs. 41% for men). Elsewhere four in ten (41%) believe unemployment is at the root of the surge in violence (which is higher in Ontario: 52%, +11 points compared to the national average). Meanwhile a similar proportion (39%) believe racism and discrimination to be the problem and three in ten (28%) believe inequality is the main explanatory factor.

While Most Report Feeling Safe in their Neighbourhood Doing Daily Activities, Some Feel Safer than Others

When asked how safe Canadians feel with various activities or aspects of life, overall, the majority say they feel safe walking in their neighbourhood during the day (89%, 34% somewhat/54% very) and at night (69%), though the latter is driven by a higher portion say they feel only “somewhat” safe (46%) rather than “very” safe (23%). Canadians also say they feel safe living where they do in Canada (85%, 43% somewhat/42% very) and taking a taxi or ride-share (73%, 48% somewhat/25% very).

Unsurprisingly, women are significantly more likely to say they feel unsafe walking in their neighbourhood at night (36% vs. 21% men) and taking a taxi or ride-share (20% vs. 12% men). Younger Canadians (those 18-34) are also more likely to say they feel unsafe with:

  • Walking in their neighbourhood during the day (19% vs.8% 35-54, 6% 55+);
  • Walking in their neighbourhood at night (40% vs. 24% 35-54, 25% 55+); and
  • Living where they do in Canada (23% vs. 13% 35-54, 8% 55+).

Those in different regions in the country also vary in their feelings of everyday safety. Albertans are significantly more likely to say they feel unsafe walking in their neighbourhood during the day (19% vs. 11% SK/MB, 10% ON, 9% QC, 8% BC, 5% ATL), and living where they do in Canada (21% vs. 16% ON, 14% BC, 10% SK/MB, 10% QC, 8% ATL).

Most Canadians Feel Women and Immigrants Have Become Greater Targets of Violence

High portions of Canadians (excluding “don’t know” responses) agree that women (70%) and immigrants (64%) have become greater targets of violence in the country over the last year.

Demographically, women are more likely than men to feel that their gender has become more of a target over the last year (77% vs. 64% men), that immigrants have also become more of a target (69% vs. 59% men), and that they would not walk alone at night in their neighbourhood (55% vs. 31% of men). Younger Canadians are more likely to say there appears to be more violence in their communities since the pandemic began (71% 18-34, 55% 35-54, 50% 55+) and that they would not walk alone at night (54% 18-34, 38% 35-54, 40% 55+).

Opinions on perceived level of safety and changes over the last year vary by region. Those in British Columbia, Saskatchewan and Manitoba, and Ontario are more likely to say they feel less safe where they live than they did a year ago than those in other regions. British Columbians in particular are most likely to feel that there appears to be more violence in their communities since COVID-19, and Atlantic Canadians are more likely to feel immigrants have become more of a target of violence in Canada.

By contrast, those in Quebec and Atlantic Canada are least likely to say they feel less safe now than a year ago. Those in Alberta are least likely to feel that women have increasingly become targets over the last year, and that they feel there has been more violence in their community since the pandemic began.

 

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following?

By Region

% Agree, “Don’t know” responses excluded

 

 

 

Region

 

Total

BC

AB

SK/MB

ON

QC

ATL

Women have become more of a target of violence in Canada over the past year.

70%

73%

57%

78%

69%

75%

66%

Immigrants have become more of a target of violence in Canada over the past year.

64%

70%

62%

54%

66%

56%

81%

There appears to be more violence in my community since COVID-19.

58%

69%

44%

64%

62%

51%

50%

I feel less safe where I live than I did a year ago.

43%

50%

44%

52%

49%

32%

27%

I would not walk alone at night in my neighbourhood.

43%

42%

40%

48%

44%

44%

36%

 

 

Amidst Perceived Increased Violence, Under Half Feel the Government is Taking the Right Steps to Mitigate

Excluding “don’t know” responses, 43% of Canadians feel the government is currently taking the right steps to mitigate acts of violence in Canada, with 57% disagreeing. Those in Alberta are less likely to feel the government has a proper handle on mitigating violence, whereas those in Quebec, in line with their general optimism, are more likely to feel it is doing so. This suggests that, in light of a sense that there will be more violence in the future, Canadians aren’t certain the government will act to help ensure this trend does not continue.

(Ipsos Canada)

9 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/eight-in-ten-canadians-believe-acts-of-violence-will-increase

 

784-785-43-18/Polls

Public Purists, Privatization Proponents And The Curious: Canada’s Three Health-Care Mindsets

As the federal government holds one-on-one meetings with the country’s premiers to hash out the details of $46-billion injection of funds into Canada’s health system, the debate over privatization continues with some jurisdictions increasingly exploring private care options as the new money becomes within reach.

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadians divided about privatization – and disagreement over how to define it.

Notably, although the federal government has been explicit that it wants the new money it releases to go to “strengthening the public system,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has praised a move to cut wait times in Ontario by publicly funding surgeries at private clinics.

Evaluating and scoring responses from 11 different questions about health-care delivery, the Angus Reid Institute finds that Canadians are of three mindsets about the prospect of increasing privatization in Canadian health care.

Two-in-five (39%) are Public Health Purists: they see little to no place for privatization and say any movement in this direction only exacerbates current challenges within the system.

On the other end of the spectrum, approximately three-in-ten (28%) are Private Care Proponents: they say increasing privatization is a necessary evolution in Canadian health care and are supportive of seeing a host of hybrid care options from other countries such as Australia, Germany, and Britain brought to their own provinces.

In the middle are the Curious but Hesitant (33%), who are sympathetic to elements of both sides of the debate. This group finds potential value in concepts such as contracting for-profit doctors to work in public facilities and paying for operations to be done in the private network through Medicare. They express deep concern, however, about just how far to go, citing concerns about the access of low-income Canadians, and the potential exacerbating of staffing shortages.

As this discussion evolves, definitions are important. Many Canadians are at odds over just what constitutes “privatization” of health care. Though Ontario is the latest province to publicly fund surgeries at private clinics to help eliminate the lengthy wait lists caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Alberta and Saskatchewan had previously done the same. Half (51%) of Canadians say this decision by these three provinces does constitute privatization. However, one-third (33%) disagree.

Where there is more consensus is on the concept of individuals paying out of pocket for treatment. This is viewed as privatization seven-in-ten (71%) of Canadians. One-in-five (18%) disagree, and another one-in-ten (11%) are unsure.

On both concepts – publicly funding surgeries at private clinics and patients paying out-of-pocket for needed treatments – there is delineation among the three health-care mindsets, but not complete agreement. Nearly all (89%) of Public Health Purists believe the latter should be defined as privatization. More than half (55%) of Private Care Proponents agree, but one-third (36%) say that is not privatization.

There is more division among those groups of Canadians on the issue of publicly funding surgeries at private clinics. Most Public Health Purists (71%) say this is privatization but one-in-five (19%) disagree. There is less consensus among the Curious but Hesitant (39% say it is privatization, 34% not) and Private Proponents (38%, 52%).

More Key Findings:

  • Two-in-five in Alberta (43%) and Saskatchewan (42%) and half in Manitoba (49%) and Ontario (54%) believe provinces are intentionally ruining public health care to make private care look better.
  • Nearly all (96%) Public Purists believe more private health care will exacerbate staffing shortages in public health care. Three-in-ten (28%) Private Proponents agree, but most (60%) don’t hold that view.
  • Three-quarters of those living in households earning less than $100,000 annually believe lower income Canadians will suffer more if privatization increases. Two-thirds in the highest income households agree.
  • Two-in-five (42%) say more privatization will increase innovation in health care. This belief is much stronger among Private Proponents (85%) than Public Purists (13%).

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

 

INDEX

Part One: The health care debate

  • Health Care in Canada: Three Mindsets
  • Public Health Purists, Curious but Hesitant, Private Care Proponents – who are they?

Part Two: What is private care?

  • Half say more private care will worsen the system; one-in-three say it would help
  • Disagreement over definitions

Part Three: Gauging private care options

  • What if your province allowed pay-for-access?
  • Health-Care Delivery in Other Countries
    • Australia
    • United Kingdom
    • Germany

Part Four: The arguments for and against privatization

  • Low-income access, staffing shortages
  • Innovation and productivity

Appendix

  • Health-Care Mindsets scoring

 

Part One: The health care debate

Click for Full-Size Image

After years of challenges and little sign of abatement, Canadians are clearly worried about health care. The road to fixing Canada’s health-care system may be a long one, but many are hoping for improvement as a much-anticipated $46-billion funding deal from the federal government was agreed upon by the provinces and territories. But it may only be a start  – the premiers are asking for regular reviews of health-care funding and say the new money is not enough to address all of the needs of their health-care systems.

All parties involved will now turn their attention to finalizing individual bilateral agreements with the federal government to receive their additional health transfers. Five of these deals have been agreed to already. As this unfolds, provinces continue to explore privately-delivered, but publicly-funded, health care, leading some to question just where this new funding will go.

Private care already exists in Canada in many forms. In British Columbia, a person can pay outside of the public system for an MRI, CT scan, or ultrasound. In Ontario, the government has introduced plans to offload more public care into the already existing private marketplace – though procedures eligible for this transfer would be covered by the Ontario Health Insurance Plan.

Notably, in one of the earliest cases of private clinics being allowed to perform surgeries covered by the public health system, Quebec lifted the ban on private health insurance for total hip replacement, knee replacement and cataracts in the wake of the 2005 Supreme Court case Chaoulli v. Quebec.

Debates about health care in Canada tend to volley back and forth between privatization and public care – one side or the other. The Angus Reid Institute used responses from 11 different questions about health-care delivery, scoring respondents on their support or opposition to private care, and developed three Health-Care Mindsets that go beyond the black and white. For Index scoring, please view the Appendix.

Health Care in Canada: Three Mindsets:

Public Health Purists, Curious but Hesitant, Private Care Proponents – who are they?

Broadly speaking, there are three groups in Canada when it comes to views of health care and privatization. There are:

  • Those who are staunch supporters of current public universal care – the Public Health Purists
  • Those who are enthusiastically supportive of privatization efforts – the Private Care Proponents
  • Those who see value in both sides of the debate – the Curious but Hesitant.

All three mindsets are found across age, gender, income, education and political demographics. That said, each mindset is home to unique characteristics:

Public Health Purists

  • 49 per cent of women aged 55 years and older are in this category
  • Two-thirds of past NDP voters (68%) and 52 per cent of past Liberal voters are Purists
  • Perhaps in response to recent developments in Ontario, Ontarians are most likely to be Purists relative to any other region or province in the country (47%)
  • Half (49%) of those with a university education are Public Health Purists

Private Care Proponents

  • Men of all ages more are likely to be Private Care Proponents, including 35 per cent of men 35-54
  • Half of past Conservative voters (50%) are Private Care Proponents
  • Most likely to be found in Saskatchewan (40%) and Alberta (36%)
  • Tend to be higher income: 41% living in households earning $200K+ are in this group
  • Evenly distributed across all education levels

Curious but Hesitant

  • At least 28 per cent of each age and gender demographic
  • 45 per cent of women 18-34 are Curious but Hesitant
  • At least one-quarter of all past supporters of Canada’s major political parties
  • Most likely to be found in Quebec (45%) – perhaps because of the province’s early dabbling in private care post Chaoulli v. Quebec
  • Tend to be lower income: 40 per cent of Canadians in households earning less than $50K are in this group
  • More likely to have high school education or less (38%)

Part Two: What is private care? 

The Canadians who championed universal public health care, Tommy Douglas, Lester B. Pearson, Woodrow Lloyd, and others are fondly remembered for the legacy they helped to establish. But the picture in Canada is changing as the health care crisis persists.

Since the landmark Chaoulli v. Quebec Supreme Court in 2005, Canadian provinces have begun tapping the private system to provide health-care services historically offered by the public system. Ontario is the latest province to allow private clinics to perform surgeries. Premier Doug Ford’s government believes private clinics can help combat the lengthy waitlists that are a legacy of the early part of the COVID-19 pandemic. Critics, including the opposition Ontario NDP, have raised the alarm, warning the province is on a path to a two-tiered, “American-style model” health-care system, prioritizing care for the rich at the expense of poor Ontarians.

Disagreement over definitions

However, there is a distinct lack of consensus over what “privatization” means. It’s important that public health figures and politicians understand and reflect this in discussions.

To further this point, researchers at ARI asked respondents to tell us whether examples of health-care delivery represent privatization to them or not. See the first example below:

“There’s been a lot of discussion, but less agreement about what it means to “privatize” health care in Canada. Some people say it means patients paying out of their own pockets to receive needed treatment. Others say user fees are already part of the health-care system and this is not what’s meant by privatized care.”

The first question asks about the concept of paying out of pocket for health care. This concept is perceived as privatization by most Canadians, including a majority (55%) of Private Care Proponents. One-in-five (18%) say this doesn’t necessarily represent privatization, because user fees are already a part of the health-care system:

A second example asks about the concept being explored in Ontario currently, using third party private clinics to perform care which is paid for through the public system.

“Some people say when any third party outside of the provincial health system delivers medical care – and it is paid for with public funds – that represents privatized health care, because it’s not being delivered by government.  Other people say using public funds to pay third parties to perform health-care services, such as diagnostic tests or surgeries – does NOT represent the privatization of health care.”

On this concept, Public Health Purists and Private Care Proponents disagree, while the Curious but Hesitant lean slightly toward saying that this represents privatization (39%), but with significant groups both in disagreement (34%) and unsure (27%).

Half say more private care will worsen the system; one-in-three say it would help

There is no consensus from Canadians that a shift in approach would help the current conditions. Overall, close to half (45%) say that more private care will only worsen the situation. More than one-in-three (36%) feel that increased private delivery will help. Those who are proponents of either public or private care lean heavily to their own side of the debate on this question, while the Curious but Hesitant are most likely to be uncertain:

Questionnaire order is important. The Angus Reid Institute asked half of respondents this question about private care helping or hurting their province at the beginning of the survey, before discussing some prominent examples of privatization in Australia, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The other half were asked this question after this discussion took place. Those who went through the foreign examples first are less likely to feel privatization would worsen care (see the full questionnaire):

Despite the large part it plays in the legacy of Medicare, Saskatchewan is home to the highest levels of enthusiasm about what privatization could potentially bring to the health-care system. Much of the rest of the country is deeply divided:

Part Three: Gauging private care options

With so many Canadians evidently unsure of what constitutes privatization, concrete examples of hybrid systems in other countries were then presented to gauge support.

What if your province allowed pay-for-access? 

As wait times continue to increase, Canadians are seeking private care for operations like knee and hip replacements. While the price tag can be in the tens of thousands of dollars, the juice is evidently worth the squeeze for some. While this band of care already exists in Canada, debate over its expansion continues to occupy many political leaders, advocates, and policy makers.

Canadians themselves are divided. More than two-in-five (43%) say that allowing patients to pay out of pocket for faster access to some surgeries is fine with them, while slightly more oppose this (47%). Notably, however, this idea is supported at higher levels than it is opposed in every region other than Ontario:

The Public Health Purists are heavily against the idea of paying to step out of the public queue, while Private Care Proponents near-unanimously support it. The Curious, are, true to form, open to the idea, but only so much:

For some, there is a time aspect to this debate. Two-in-five (40%), the largest group, say that they support an expansion of private care in the short term only as a tactic to clear the backlog of surgeries and tests. Just 38 per cent say this is fine either in the long term or in both the short and long term, while one-in-five (22%), including half of Public Health Purists (48%) say this is inappropriate at all times:

Health-Care Delivery in Other Countries

Australia

Health care is delivered in myriad forms, with different financing models, policies, and delivery systems from country to country. Many countries have incorporated private care into a hybrid public-private system. The Angus Reid Institute tested several of these concepts to better understand where exactly Canadians draw the line.

Australia is ranked by the Commonwealth Fund as having among the best health care in the world across 71 different measurables. That country also utilizes a hybrid system. The concept of purchasing private health insurance in order to access services that are not offered by the public system, and to have access to private hospitals, is something that divides Canadians. Asked if they would support this model in their own province, 46 per cent say yes and 42 per cent say no.

Another aspect of the Australian system receives more support. Doctors in Australia who work primarily in the private sector are eligible to do contract work in public care as well, if they so choose, allowing governments to increase available care if needed. Thinking again about their own province, three-in-five (60%) would allow this. In Canada, this is currently forbidden – doctors can go private, but have to opt out of the public system.

United Kingdom

The National Health Service in England has taken a battering in recent years, both in outcomes and public opinion. That country, too, continues to debate privatization, though only about seven per cent of public health expenditures are allocated to the private sector. (Notably, this is lower than Canada, where 30 per cent of the money spent on health goes to the private system.) In the U.K., there are, however, private hospitals where some services are available. Half of Canadians support this concept for their own province, including 62 per cent of the Curious but Hesitant:

Germany

Another concept reveals the divide over perceived unequal access to health care based on income. In Germany, every citizen must have health insurance – most of which is through the public care network. That said, Germans who earn above a certain income threshold are able to opt out and purchase a private option. This latter type of insurance covers more services and includes access to private hospitals. As such, those with higher incomes and private insurance tend to have better health outcomes.

This dual system is deeply unpopular with Public Health Purists – nine-in-ten of whom reject the idea for their own province. Further, those who are Curious but Hesitant are also more likely to oppose this, though by a slim margin. Overall, one-in-three (36%) support the German concept while half (52%) reject it:

Part Four: The arguments for and against privatization

There appear to be two significant causes of consternation for those who either oppose privatization or are on the fence about it: access for low-income individuals and the potential exacerbation of already considerable challenges surrounding staffing shortages.

Low-income access, staffing shortages 

At least 62 per cent in every region say that they worry about access for lower-income Canadians, and seven-in-ten (71%) say this overall. A similar amount (68%) are worried that expanding private care will only worsen staffing shortages, which have plagued the country’s health-care system in recent years:

Herein lies the root of the “Hesitant” in the group named Curious but Hesitant. While they are generally more supportive of private solutions than the Public Health Purists, they are far more worried about the potential consequences of that transition than Private Care Proponents:

Innovation and productivity

Proponents of private health care often speak to the potential for innovation and productivity gains if for-profit actors are allowed to enter the space. While there is some evidence for efficiency gains in research published by National Center for Biotechnology Information – part of the United States Library of Medicine and funded by the U.S. government – Canadians tend to be less sold on these concepts in their own health-care system. The majority feel that privatization would not increase productivity in health care (56%), though 42 per cent do say that they feel medicine would see greater levels of innovation if private care were increased:

Evidently, many would like to see their own public system improved, with adequate staffing and investment levels. The provinces continue to negotiate with the federal government on the next decade’s worth of health-care funding, all the while a significant proportion of Canadians feel some are dragging their feet to make privatization appear a better option. This is a particularly strong opinion in Ontario and Manitoba, while British Columbians disagree at the highest levels:

(Angus Reid Institute)

February 27, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/health-care-privatization-perspectives/

 

784-785-43-19/Polls

China, Canada And Challenging Diplomacy: Two-In-Three Canadians Believe Beijing Did Attempt Election Interference

The latest allegations to strain an already challenged diplomatic relationship between Ottawa and Beijing have a majority of Canadians of the belief the Chinese government did indeed attempt to interfere in the 2019 and 2021 federal elections, while demanding a stronger response from the federal government on the issue.

These are the latest findings of a new public opinion survey from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute.

Amid allegations Beijing attempted to influence the outcomes of both the 2019 and 2021 elections to ensure the federal Liberal Party formed a minority government over the opposition Conservatives, two-thirds of adult Canadians express belief that Beijing “definitely” (32%) or “probably” (33%) tried to meddle.

Majorities across the political spectrum are of this view, while half of Canadians say this attempted interference represents a serious threat to democracy (53%).

Past Conservative Party voters are most likely to view the Chinese government’s attempts as successful, with a plurality (42%) saying they “feel the election was stolen” in 2021. It should be noted however, that the allegations of interference involve fewer seats than could have swayed the result in parliament.

What is less equivocal, however, is the view the federal government is not doing enough to safeguard Canada’s security and defence. Two-thirds (64%), including majorities of past Conservative (88%) and Liberal (52%) voters alike, say Ottawa needs to put additional focus on this area.

More Key Findings:

  • Seven-in-ten (69%) Canadians believe “the federal government is afraid to stand up to China.” Nine-in-ten (91%) past CPC voters, three-in-five (62%) past NDP voters and more than two-in-five (46%) past Liberal voters agree.
  • Canadians are split as to whether they are worried about the economic consequences of standing up to China (46%) or not (46%). This concern is highest among residents in Quebec (51%), Ontario (48%) and Atlantic Canada (48%).
  • One-third (32%) of past Liberal voters believe the allegations of interference from Beijing in Canada’s elections are “overblown.” However, more (43%) of those who voted Liberal in 2021 believe the allegations to be a serious threat to Canada’s democracy.

 

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

INDEX

Part One: The ‘spy balloon’ and allegations of election interference

  • Two-thirds believe Beijing likely attempted election interference
  • Half say potential interference ‘a serious threat’ to Canada’s democracy
  • Was the election ‘stolen’?

Part Two: Canada’s response

  • Most Canadians want stronger federal response
  • Majority want more focus on national security, defense
  • Seven-in-ten say Canada is afraid to stand up to China
  • Worry over economic consequences of standing up to China declines

 

Part One: The ‘spy balloon’ and allegations of election interference

It has already been an eventful year for Canada-China relations. On Jan. 28, a Chinese spy balloon was spotted over Alaska. It eventually flew over the Yukon and B.C. before its course took it across the United States, where it was eventually downed off the coast of South Carolina.

Recent weeks have also brought explosive allegations that China’s government in Beijing made attempts to influence Canadian elections in 2019 and 2021. Global News reported that in the 2019 election, officials with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service believe at least 11 Toronto-area candidates were supported by Beijing, including sitting Liberal MP Han Dong, who CSIS officials believe received help to win the Liberal nomination from the Chinese consulate. Dong has denied the accusations.

As well, in 2021, CSIS reports viewed by the Globe and Mail allege Beijing attempted to influence that election with the goal of bringing back a Liberal minority government and defeating Conservative politicians viewed as unfriendly to China.

Though the details are new, the broad accusations are not. In December, the Globe and Mail reported that government was warned in 2020 of “subtle but effective interference networks” employed by China during the 2019 federal election. In June last year, former Conservative party leader Erin O’Toole alleged interference from China cost his party seats in the 2021 election. In response, a CSIS official told a House of Commons committee in November that there was “activity of foreign interference” but it did not meet “the threshold of impacting the overall election integrity.”

Half of Canadians (52%) say they have been following coverage of allegations of interference by Beijing in Canadian federal elections closely, while two-thirds say the spy balloon story is one they have been tracking (see detailed tables).

Two-thirds believe Beijing likely attempted election interference

As details emerge, Canadians are more likely to believe there was an attempt by China to interfere with recent Canadian elections than not. Two-thirds (65%) believe that was “definitely” (32%) or “probably” (33%) the case. Few (6%) reject the concept outright.

Those who voted for the alleged aggrieved party in the 2021 election – the CPC – are more convinced there has been attempts at election interference by China than those who voted Liberal or NDP. However, majorities of past Liberal (64%) and NDP (58%) voters say Beijing likely tried to influence recent elections:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

Those in B.C. (68%) and Ontario (68%) – two of the provinces where the alleged interference supposedly took place – are among the most likely to believe there “probably” or “definitely” were attempts to interfere with recent Canadian elections by Beijing. Residents of Alberta (70%) and Saskatchewan (68%) – two provinces that are typically Conservative strongholds – are also more likely than other provinces to believe the Chinese government tried to interfere in Canadian elections:

Canadians who identify as a visible minority are most likely to push back on the idea that China has interfered (31% do so) but a majority among this group still say it probably or definitely took place:

Half say potential interference ‘a serious threat’ to Canada’s democracy

The allegations that Chinese election interference represents a threat to Canadians’ security and democracy are not new. Innumerable examples of this line of reasoning have been published in recent years, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stated in November of last year that China has been playing “aggressive games” in its attempts to undermine elections in Canada.

One-quarter (23%) say that media and politicians have been overplaying the potential threat, while more than twice as many (53%) say they consider Chinese election interference to be a credible and serious threat to democracy. Past Liberal and NDP voters lean toward considering the threat serious, but are much more divided than past CPC and Bloc voters:

Men of all ages are more likely than women to say that this is a serious threat that must be addressed:

Was the election ‘stolen’?

The allegations of Chinese interference in the last two federal elections have some Canadians questioning the very integrity of the votes. This sentiment has been expressed by Canadians prior to many of these allegations coming to light. In February last year, Angus Reid Institute data found one-third (34%) believed free and fair elections were getting weaker in Canada, outnumbering those who instead believe that that part of democracy was growing stronger (23%).

Related: Politics and disengagement: Two-in-five say there’s “no room” for compromise in Canada; most say their interests are ignored

One-quarter (23%) of Canadians believe the 2021 federal election was “’stolen’ because of Chinese interference.” More than twice as many Canadians, however, disagree (49%). The belief the election was illegitimate is stronger among past Conservative voters, who are more likely to agree (42%) than disagree (33%) that the election was “stolen.”

It’s worth noting that after the votes were counted in the 2021 election, the Conservatives trailed the Liberals by 36 seats. CSIS is alleging Chinese interference in at most half a dozen seats in Vancouver and Toronto.

Part Two: Canada’s response

Most Canadians want stronger federal response

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, whose party is currently supporting the Liberal minority government through a supply-and-confidence agreement, called for a non-partisan public inquiry into the alleged election interference by China. So far, Trudeau has ruled out a public inquiry and welcomed the current examinations by House of Commons committees.

More broadly, Canadians would like to see a stronger response to China from the Liberal government. Relations between the two governments have been strained in recent years, particularly after the detention of Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor by Chinese authorities in response to the arrest of Meng Wanzhou by Canada at the request of the United States. Trudeau and Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke at a G20 meeting in November, where Xi accused Trudeau of leaking details from their previous conversation to the media. The two had a reportedly testy exchange in public view.

Past Liberal and NDP voters are most likely to say that the government has responded adequately to recent security and election concerns, while past CPC and Bloc Québécois voters disagree, and would like the government to take a more aggressive approach:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

Majority want more focus on national security, defense

With recent examples of alleged interference fresh in the headlines, and the ever-present concern of Russian aggression to add to it, Canadians have national security and defense top of mind. Two-thirds (64%), including majorities of past Conservative (88%) and Liberal (52%) voters alike, say that the federal government should put additional focus on this area:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

This sentiment is offered by a majority of all age and gender groups, with the exception of women aged 18- to 34-years-old who are most likely to say they “don’t know”:

Seven-in-ten say Canada is afraid to stand up to China

Underlying much of this sentiment – that the government needs to take a harder line against Chinese interference – is that many Canadians feel their government is afraid to stand up to the global economic powerhouse that is China. Exports to China continue to drop – now a multi-year trend – and some suggest that the government’s new Indo-Pacific strategy designed to target markets in Asia will anger China further, potentially diminishing the relationship further:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

The economic consequences of angering the Beijing regime are a source of consternation for any federal government in Canada. China remains Canada’s second largest national trading partner and 46 per cent of Canadians worry about the economic fallout from any direct opposition to Chinese interests. Those in Quebec (51%), Atlantic Canada (48%) and Ontario (48%) are more worried about this than those in other provinces. Ontario imported nearly $50 billion worth of goods from China in 2021, and Quebec more than $12 billion. Both provinces trail British Columbia when it comes to goods exported to China, however.

Worry over economic consequences of standing up to China declines

The trend, however, suggests that Canadians are perhaps less worried about standing up to China now than they were last year. The Angus Reid Institute notes a 12-point drop in the percentage of the population voicing this concern between January of last year and now:

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 1, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/china-canada-election-influence-interference-trudeau-spy-balloon/

 

784-785-43-20/Polls

Lacking The Will: Half Of Canadians Say They Don’t Have A Last Will And Testament, Including One-In-Five Aged 55+

In 1948, Cecil George Harris suffered a tragic mishap while plowing his fields near Rosetown, Sask. He became pinned under his tractor. Fearing he wouldn’t make it, he etched “In case I die in this mess I leave all to the wife. Cecil Geo Harris.” He died the next day, and the tractor etching was accepted as a valid handwritten will. The case set a famous precedent for lawyers the world over.

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds 50 per cent of Canadians in a similar boat as Harris before his tragic accident. Half of adults in this country say they don’t have a last will and testament; a proportion that remains consistent since ARI surveyed on this subject five years ago.

As one might expect, younger Canadians are less likely to have one. Four-in-five Canadians younger than 35 say they do not have a will, but even half of those between the ages of 45 and 54 say the same.

It appears age is not the only factor in play when it comes to which Canadians do not have a will. Those living in lower income households are less likely to say they have taken this step and a lack of assets to worry about is a much more common reason. Those whose household incomes are below $100,000 are twice as likely as those above that mark to say they simply lack the assets that would push them to write a will.

 

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

INDEX

  • Who has a will?
  • What’s keeping Canadians from having a will written?

Who has a will?

In Canada, if you die without a will, it’s called dying “intestate.” When that happens, your money, assets and debts are put into an estate and a court-appointed representative closes your financial affairs and distributes your assets according to the rules and regulations of your province. This can vary significantly in each province, though in most cases assets pass to spouses, partners or along the family tree. Besides a loss of control over a dispersal of asses, there is also potential significant tax burdens that can be passed on if individuals die intestate.

Half of Canadians say they do not have a will, while a further one-in-eight (13%) has one that is out of date. Approaching two-in-five (37%) Canadians say they have an up-to-date last will and testament.

These figures are near identical to those seen in 2018, the last time Angus Reid Institute surveyed Canadians on this issue.

Men (50%) and women (49%) are equally as likely to say they have a will. Younger Canadians are much less likely to have a will than older ones. However, half (49%) of Canadians aged 55 to 64 say they have an up-to-date will. That proportion rises to seven-in-ten (71%) of those aged 65 and older:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

While there is little regional variation when it comes to whether Canadians have a will, those in Manitoba (32%) and Saskatchewan (34%) are the least likely to say theirs is up to date (see detailed tables).

Canadians in lower income households are less likely than those in higher income ones to say they have a will. Approaching two-thirds (63%) of those living in the lowest income households say they do not have a will:

*Smaller sample size, interpret with caution

What’s keeping Canadians from having a will written?

There are myriad reasons to not have a will written. For Canadians, the top selected reason is they feel they are simply too young to need one. One quarter (24%) say this, including half (50%) of those aged 18- to 34-years-old.

One-in-six (16%) say they don’t have any assets worth worrying about.

For Canadians over the age of 54 who do not have a will, the most selected reason is that it’s too expensive to get a will written (26%). It’s worth noting that there are many free or lower cost services to create simple wills online, though those with more complicated situations may still require the services of a lawyer.

Finally, for one-in-ten Canadians over the age of 34 without a will, they don’t want to think about the inevitability of death:

The time-consuming nature of writing a will is more of a issue for Canadians living in high income households (12%) than those living in households earning $50,000 or less annually (6%). Perhaps that is an issue because higher income households are likely to have more assets, complicating a potential will. Indeed, a lack of assets is cited less as a reason for not having a will for those in households earning six figures annually (9%) than others.

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 7, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/canada-will-testament-intestate-dying-without-will/

 

784-785-43-21/Polls

Islamophobia In Canada: Four Mindsets Indicate Negativity Is Nationwide, Most Intense In Quebec

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds unfavourable views of Islam prevalent across the country at varying levels and highest in Quebec.

Indeed, two-in-five Canadians outside of Quebec (39%) hold an unfavourable view of Islam. In Quebec that number reaches half (52%). These views take more concrete forms, however, than just the overall sentiment that the religion receives. Its followers face the risk of being unwelcome in a number of areas of Canadian society.

To clarify the picture further, the Angus Reid Institute created the “Views of Islam Index”. Respondents were asked six questions about five religions – Islam, Christianity, Sikhism, Hinduism, and Judaism. The dimensions measured included:

  • Feeling favourable or unfavourable about the religion
  • Support or opposition to people wearing distinctive religious symbols in public
  • Levels of comfort with working in the same space where colleagues wore these symbols
  • Support or opposition to the establishment of different places of worship in their neighbourhood
  • Acceptance of a child marrying a member of one of these religions.

For the purpose of this analysis and given the ongoing discussion about the level of Islamophobia in Quebec and elsewhere in Canada, responses to this national survey were analyzed according to the level of positivity or negativity towards Muslims across all six question areas. Four groups were created, those with Very Positive, Positive, Negative, and Very Negative views of Islam.

A comparison of Quebec with the rest of Canada reveals stark differences. Outside of Quebec, Very Positive and universally accepting views of Muslims and their religious symbols are evident in 37 per cent of the population. A further one-quarter (27%) hold generally positive views but not in all circumstances assessed in the study. On the other end of the spectrum 16 per cent of Canadians outside Quebec hold Very Negative views on Islam and religious practices of this faith in nearly every circumstance assessed in the survey.

In Quebec, positive views are more muted but still represent almost half the attitudinal landscape with one-in-five (20%) displaying Very Positive views and a further one-quarter (25%) on the generally positive side of the index.

That said, the largest segment of the population in Quebec (30%) displays Very Negative views toward Islam. The level is about twice that observed in the rest of the country (16%). This “Very Negative” segment in Quebec is similar to the group of the same name in the rest of Canada with one important exception: among this group in Quebec there is a distinct level of negativity towards Judaism and Christianity that is less prevalent elsewhere in the country.

Amid this, Quebec’s Bill 21 continues to be supported by more than half in that province (57%). That law, which prohibits the wearing of religious symbols for individuals in certain public positions of authority while they are on the worksite, is unpopular in the rest of the country with one-in-four (25%) supporting the concept for their own province and two-thirds (65%) opposing it.

Cliquez ici pour lire le rapport complet en français

Chart, bar chart Description automatically generated

More Key Findings:

  • Asked whether Canada has a problem with Islamophobia more broadly, Canadians are evenly divided, with 50 per cent saying it does and 50 per cent saying it does not. Those most likely to view Islam negatively, both in Quebec and in the rest of Canada alike, are also most likely to say there is no problem.
  • There is some correlation between age and education when it comes to the Views of Islam Index. Older Canadians are more likely to be in the Very Negative group than younger ones while younger Canadians are more likely to be in the Very Positive group. As well, half of the Very Negative group has a high school diploma or less, while the Very Positive group is much more likely to have graduated from university than other segments.
  • More than two-in-five (44%) Canadians believe it is unnecessary to have a special representative on combatting Islamophobia, a position recently appointed by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. This view is the overwhelming majority one (82%) of those who have Very Negative views of Islam.
  • Seven-in-ten outside of Quebec (72%) support the wearing of the hijab in public spaces, while 28 per cent oppose it. In Quebec, slightly more than half (55%) are supportive, while 45 per cent voice opposition. In Greater Montreal support for the hijab rises to 63 per cent, while it drops to 46 per cent in the rest of Quebec.

 

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

INDEX

Part One: Canadians more negative toward Islam than other faiths

  • Religious symbols in public and at work
  • Two-thirds would be comfortable with a mosque in their neighbourhood
  • Belief systems and marriage

Part Two: Views of Islam Index

  • Regional perspectives
  • Bloc Québécois, CPC supporters most negative
  • Age, gender and education

Part Three: How negative views of Islam correlate with other beliefs and opinions

  • Bill 21
  • Views of other faith groups, religious symbols
  • Does Canada have an anti-Muslim issue?
  • Combatting Islamophobia?

Part One: Canadians more negative toward Islam than other faiths

In late January, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced the appointment of Canada’s first special representative on combatting Islamophobia. Journalist and human-rights activist Amira Elghawaby was chosen for the position to “support and enhance the federal government’s efforts in the fight against Islamophobia, systemic racism, racial discrimination, and religious intolerance.”

Activists and government officials have been concerned in recent years as attacks against Muslims in Canada have risen, including a 71 per cent increase from 2020 to 2021. This violence was most tragically evident in 2017 when six individuals were killed at a mosque in Quebec City.

While higher profile violent events gather headlines, many Canadians hold a more muted negative perspective towards Islam. Across the country Canadians are least likely to hold favourable views of Islam than five other major religions. In Quebec, one-quarter (25%) view the Muslim faith favourably, however, nowhere in the country does this number exceed 37 per cent:

Unfavourable views are also more common in Quebec for most faiths, but the rest of the country, too, is not immune from these perspectives, particularly when it comes to Islam:

Using a net favourability score, those who view each faith positively versus negatively, Canadians’ more unfavourable perspective of Islam than other religions is clearly delineated:

Religious symbols in public and at work

When it comes to religious symbols or clothing in public spaces, Canadians are generally permissive. A majority in all regions are supportive of the Star of David, kippa, nun’s habit, crucifix, turban, and hijab. That said, Quebec residents are least likely to support each, and slightly more than half (55%) say they support the wearing of the hijab in public. This has significant consequences for the hundreds of thousands of Muslim women living in Quebec and Canada alike:

But what about in the workplace? Canadians were also asked if they would be comfortable with a co-worker wearing these symbols. Quebecers push back on the acceptability of the turban and hijab most, with two-thirds voicing comfort for each, and show a unique aversion to the Jewish kippa not noted elsewhere in the country:

Two-thirds would be comfortable with a mosque in their neighbourhood

Canada is home to thousands of places of worship, so it is perhaps unsurprising that the vast majority of Canadians are comfortable with churches, synagogues, temples, and mosques in their own neighbourhood. Quebec residents are least likely to be comfortable with each of the six examples shown, but a majority say they’re comfortable with each:

Belief systems and marriage

One of the more pronounced areas of discomfort for Canadians is evident when considering marriage. Asked if it would be acceptable for their child to marry a follower of each faith, responses vary considerably. Canadians are least likely to say they would accept their child marrying a Muslim:

Part Two: Views of Islam Index

To consolidate some of these sentiments, Angus Reid Institute researchers created a Views of Islam Index. This index uses positive and negative scores from six different questions pertaining to Islam to allocate Canadians into groups holding Very Negative, Negative, Positive, and Very Positive views. For more details on the Index click here.

Regional perspectives

Outside of Quebec, close to two-in-five Canadians (37%) hold a Very Positive view of Islam. In Quebec this number drops to one-in-five (20%). The number of Quebecers holding a Very Negative view of Islam is twice as high (30%) as it is in the rest of the country (16%). Views are most negative outside of Montreal:

Albertans, Ontarians, and Atlantic Canadians are most likely to view Islam in a Very Positive light:

Bloc Québécois, CPC supporters most negative

Politically, there are two groups that are vastly more likely to hold negative views of Islam. In Quebec, half of the Very Negative group is comprised of past Bloc Québécois voters. In the rest of Canada, three-in-five of the Negative and Very Negative supported the Conservative Party in 2021. Note that the vote totals here do not match the Canada-wide federal election totals because of the oversample in Quebec:

Age, gender and education

In Quebec, the distribution between all groups is near-even between men and women. In the rest of Canada, those with negative views of Islam are more likely to be male (see detailed tables). In both portions of the sample – those in Quebec and those outside – age is a considerable factor. Older residents are much more common in the negative groups than the positive ones along the Index:

Those with Very Positive views of Islam in both Quebec and the rest of Canada are twice as likely to have university education than the Very Negative:

Part Three: How negative views of Islam correlate with other beliefs

Bill 21

Quebec’s “Act respecting the laicity of the State”, or Bill 21, is a statute that prohibits the wearing of religious symbols for individuals in certain public positions of authority while they are on the worksite. Passed in 2019, recent research has shown that the law has, in fact, increased feelings of alienation and discomfort among Muslims in the province.

Canadians across the country were asked how they feel about this type of law in their own province (Quebecers were asked if they support or oppose the current law). Those who are most unfavourable to Islam are overwhelmingly in favour of Bill 21, but that enthusiasm drops off significantly among the Negative, Positive, and Very Positive in the rest of Canada.

Overall, outside of Quebec the concept of Bill 21 is unpopular. Two-thirds (65%) oppose it while one-quarter (25%) offer support. In Quebec, nearing three-in-five (57%) support the act, while one-in-three (35%) are opposed:

Views of other faith groups, religious symbols

Islam is evidently the most likely belief system to face criticism in Canada but those who view the faith disapprovingly are also more likely to view other groups with negativity. Consider that in both Quebec and the rest of Canada, three-in-five of those with Very Negative views of Islam also view Sikhism unfavourably. However, those classified as Very Negative on the index in Quebec are also much more critical of Judaism and Christianity than those in the rest of Canada:

The Very Negative toward Islam are much more resistant of public displays of religious symbols than those in the three other groupings. Notably, the burka and the kirpan are highly opposed among the Negative and Positive as well, but other symbols like the hijab and turban cause much less consternation for these latter groups than the Very Negative:

The Very Negative show much higher levels of aversion to places of worship in their communities than others, both in Quebec and in the rest of Canada. Meanwhile, the Very Positive toward Islam have little to no problem with any faith group building and practicing in their neighbourhood:

Does Canada have an anti-Muslim issue?

Much of the debate since the appointment of Amira Elghawaby as special representative on combatting Islamophobia has centered on whether this is truly a problem in Canada. In 2017, the House of Commons passed a non-binding motion to condemn Islamophobia and other religious discrimination. Nearly all NDP and Liberal MPs voted for the motion while most Conservatives – including current leader Pierre Poilievre – voted against it.

Opinions on this issue are divided in near exact proportions. Half of Canadians say that Canada has a serious anti-Muslim problem to reckon with and half say it doesn’t. Notably, those with the most negative views towards Muslims in Canada are by far the most likely to say that this is not an issue:

From a purely regional standpoint, those in Saskatchewan and Manitoba are most likely to say that this issue has been overblown, while residents in Quebec are closely divided:

Combatting Islamophobia?

While half of Canadians see a problem with anti-Muslim discrimination in their country, fewer are certain that the position of a special representative to combat Islamophobia is necessary. Even for those with the most positive views of Islam are nowhere near unanimous on this question. Two-in-five (44%) say this is an unnecessary job to create (see detailed tables).

Nowhere in the country do a majority of Canadians feel that Canada needs an anti-Islamophobia ambassador. Outside of Quebec opinions are divided evenly, with one-in-five (21%) Canadians saying they’re not sure:

(Angus Reid Institute)

March 13, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/islamophobia-canada-quebec/

 

AUSTRALIA

784-785-43-22/Polls

Think News Brands And Roy Morgan Total News Figures Show 20.6 Million Australians Over The Age Of 14 Engage With News Every Month

The latest release of Total News readership shows a slight softening for news consumption, down 0.5 per cent compared to the same period in 2021 with 20.6 million Australians continuing to consume news in a four-week period.

The readership figures, produced by Roy Morgan for ThinkNewsBrands, refer to the 12 months to December 2022 and show that Total News reaches 97 per cent of the population over the age of 14. Total News represents all news brands across print and digital as well as standalone news websites.

Australia’s trusted masthead brands continue to command large audiences, as demonstrated by the below table.

TOP 10 MOST-READ NEWS BRANDS

ThinkNewsBrands General Manager Vanessa Lyons said: “The latest Total News readership figures demonstrate how much of a deeply ingrained daily habit news is in the lives of Australians; news has a consistent and enduring appeal for most of the population. The figures underscore the importance of news, particularly during challenging economic times when trustworthy and reliable information is crucial.”

Demographically, Total News continues to engage audiences across all age groups including the hard-to-reach under-40s.

READERSHIP DEMOGRAPHICS

(Roy Morgan)

February 27, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9171-thinknewsbrands-readership-december-2022

 

784-785-43-23/Polls

Four In Five Shoppers Believe Buying Australian-Made Is Important

New research shows Australians’ preference for Australian-made goods hasn’t wavered. The data collected by Australian market research company, Roy Morgan, found that more than four in five (86%) Australians say buying Australian-made products is important to them. While very few people, only 2%, said buying Australian-made wasn’t important to them.

Most Australians (67%) stated in the survey that they ‘often’ or ‘always’ buy Australian-made products, citing supporting local jobs and the economy as their reason for doing so, followed by the quality or reliability of Australian-made products. Over one-third (35%) of Aussies also claimed to purchase more Australian-made products now than before the pandemic.

The research also found that buying Aussie products made shoppers feel good. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine said that buying Australian-made drives a strong emotional response in consumers, with many Australians saying they feel positive or proud when they buy Australian-made.

“A large majority of four in five Australians indicated feeling a positive emotion when they buy Australian-made products. Generally, people feel positive that they are able to support Australian jobs, with supporting ethical practices also a key reason Australians feel good about buying Australian-made, particularly for those aged under 35,” said Levine.

Almost all (99%) Australians aged 18 and over are aware of the Australian Made logo, with the logo having the highest recognition of any certification mark in Australia. Trust in the Australian Made logo is also high. 93% of Australians are confident products displaying the mark are made or grown in Australia.

Levine advised Australian consumers trust the Australian Made logo because they know products displaying it have been made in Australia and are perceived to be of a high quality, safe and reliable.

“Australians place their trust in the logo because it is well known and has a long history of representing Australia. They trust the products displaying it have been independently certified as authentically Australian-made. The high level of trust in the Australian Made logo compares favourably to other certification marks and to the most trusted brands in Australia from Roy Morgan’s ongoing Risk Monitor, which tracks trust and distrust of around 1,000 brands each year.”

In the research, consumers associated the following attributes with the Australian Made logo - supporting local jobs and employment (97%), safe (94%), high quality (94%), reliable (93%), use of ethical labour (90%), good value (85%), sustainable (80%), expensive (80%) and environmentally friendly (80%).

Australian Made Chief Executive, Ben Lazzaro said these latest results are pleasing but come as no surprise, with the Australian Made logo long regarded as Australia’s most recognised, trusted and loved country of origin symbol.

Lazzaro said, “The Australian Made logo has a proven 35-year track record in making the ‘Australian connection’, with more and more brands choosing it to promote their Australian credentials. Over 4400 companies are licensed to use the logo on thousands of products sold here and worldwide.

When you buy Australian Made and Grown products, you know what you are getting—products grown in our clean, green environment and made to the highest of manufacturing standards. At the same time, you are pumping money back into the economy, which helps to keep Aussie jobs, strengthen local industries and supports local communities.

So, whether you’re doing the weekly grocery shopping, buying gifts online, or sourcing supplies for a major project, look for the trusted Australian Made logo and make sure it’s authentically Australian.”

(Roy Morgan)

February 27, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9161-australian-made-feb-2023

 

784-785-43-24/Polls

‘Mortgage Stress’ Increases To Its Highest Since April 2012 With 24.9% Of Mortgage Holders Now ‘At Risk’

New research from Roy Morgan shows an estimated 1.19 million mortgage holders (24.9%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to January 2023. This period encompassed two interest rate increases of 0.25% taking official interest rates to 3.1% in early December.

The proportion of mortgage holders now considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress in the three months to January 2023 (24.9%) is the highest for over a decade since June 2012 and is now significantly above the long-term average of 22.8% stretching back to early 2007.

The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 486,000 over the last year as the RBA increased interest rates for nine consecutive monthly meetings. Official interest rates are now at 3.35% in February 2023, the highest official interest rates since October 2012 over a decade ago.

However, despite the sharp increase in the level of mortgage stress during the last year the overall number remains well below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2009 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders).

The number of mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’, has now increased to 710,000 (15.4%) in the three months to January 2023 which is now slightly above the long-term average over the last 15 years of 659,000 (15.9%).

Mortgage Stress – Owner-Occupied Mortgage-Holders

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia), average interviews per 3 month period April 2007 – January 2023, n=2,719. Base: Australians 14+ with owner occupied home loan.


Mortgage Risk set to increase to record high above 1.45 million mortgage holders by April 2023

Official RBA interest rates are now at a decade high of 3.35% and widely expected to keep increasing over the next two months following the highest inflation figures for over 30 years in December 2022 (7.8%).

Roy Morgan has modelled the impact of two potential RBA interest rate increases of +0.25% in each of the next two months of March (+0.25% to 3.6%) and April (+0.25% to 3.85%).

In January 24.9% of mortgage holders, 1,185,000, were considered ‘At Risk’ and with expected future interest rate increases to come this is set to increase to over 1-in-4 mortgage holders by April 2023.

If the RBA raises interest rates by +0.25% in March to 3.6% there will be 27.8% (up 2.9% points) of mortgage holders, 1,372,000, considered ‘At Risk’ in March 2023 – an increase of 187,000.

If the RBA raises interest rates by a further +0.25% in April to 3.85% there will be 29.5% (up 4.6% points) of mortgage holders, 1,456,000, considered ‘At Risk’ in April 2023– an increase of 271,000.

It is worth understanding that this is a conservative model, essentially assuming all other factors remain the same. And of course we are already seeing an increase in unemployment (Australian unemployment jumps to 10.7% in January – highest since JobKeeper ended in March 2021 – February 14, 2023).

The greatest impact on an individual, or household’s, ability to pay their mortgage is not interest rates, it’s if they lose their job or main source of income.

Mortgage Risk at different level of interest rate increases

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia), Nov. 2022 – Jan. 2023, n=3,308. Base: Australians 14+ with owner occupied home loan.

How are mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ or ‘Extremely At Risk’ determined?

Roy Morgan considers the risk of ‘mortgage stress’ among Mortgage holders in two ways:

Mortgage holders are considered ‘At Risk’[1] if their mortgage repayments are greater than a certain percentage of household income – depending on income and spending.

Mortgage holders are considered ‘Extremely at Risk’[2] if even the ‘interest only’ is over a certain proportion of household income.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says mortgage stress has increased to its highest in over a decade in January and is set to rise even higher over the next few months if the RBA continues to lift interest rates in both March and April as expected:

“The latest Roy Morgan data shows mortgage stress in the Australian housing market has continued to increase with 1.19 million mortgage holders (24.9%) defined as ‘At Risk’ in January 2023, up 486,000 (+7.6% points) on a year ago before the RBA began hiking interest rates.

“The figures for January 2023 take into account the first eight of the RBA’s interest rate increases which lifted official interest rates from 0.1% in May last year to 3.1% in January. Since then, the RBA has increased interest rates once more, up +0.25% to 3.35% - the highest level of official interest rates for over a decade since October 2012.

“The latest ABS CPI figures for the year to December 2022 released in late January show Australian inflation hitting a 33 year high of 7.8% - the highest since March 1990 (7.8%). The high, and rising, inflation level prompted the RBA to raise interest rates for a ninth consecutive meeting in February and is set to lead to further interest rates increases in both March (+0.25%) and April (+0.25%).

“If the RBA does raise interest rates again in the next two months by a total of 0.5% Roy Morgan forecasts that mortgage stress is set to increase to over 1.45 million mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ by April 2023 – 29.5% of all mortgage holders, the highest since September 2011.

“Of more concern is the rise in mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’, now estimated at 710,000 (15.4%) in January 2023 – the highest since October 2016 (15.8%). The number of mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’ in January 2023 remains below the long-term average of 15.9% since mid-2007.

“When considering these figures on mortgage stress it is always important to take into account that interest rates are only one of the variables that determines whether a mortgage holder is considered ‘At Risk’. The variable that has the largest impact on whether a borrower falls into the ‘At Risk’ category is related to household income – which is directly related to employment.

“The latest figures on mortgage stress show that interest rates are approaching levels that will cause a significant spike in the number of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ over the next few months. If there is a sharp rise in unemployment during his period mortgage stress will rise precipitously towards the highest levels experienced during the Global Financial Crisis in 2007-08-09. At that time a peak of 35.6% of mortgage holders were considered ‘At Risk’ in May 2008.

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates show a near-record 13.4 million Australians were employed in January 2023, up by over 500,000 since February 2020 when there were 12.9 million employed pre-pandemic. The strong growth in the jobs market has attracted more Australians into the labour force and there are now over 1.6 million unemployed Australians (10.7% of the workforce) compared to 1.17 million pre-pandemic.”

These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

To understand more about mortgages in the full context of household finances and the uncertainties caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus and rising interest rates and inflation, ask Roy Morgan.

(Roy Morgan)

February 28, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/mortgage-stress-increases-to-its-highest-since-april-2012-with-24-9-of-mortgage-holders-now-at-risk

 

784-785-43-25/Polls

Australian Full-Time Employment Hit A Record High Above 8.9 Million In February As Unemployment Falls 0.6% To 10.1%

In February unemployment dropped 0.6% points to 10.1%, according to the latest Roy Morgan employment series data. Unemployment dropped due to the 99,000 new jobs created in the month with both full-time and part-time work increasing for the first time since September 2022.

Unemployment in February dropped 86,000 to 1.52 million Australians (10.1% of the workforce) and under-employment was down 59,000 to 1.37 million (9.1% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment dropped by 145,000 to 2.89 million (19.2% of the workforce).

  • Employment was up in February as full-time employment increased to a new record high:

Australian employment increased by 99,000 to 13,517,000 in February. The increase was driven by an increase in full-time employment, up 48,000 to a new record high of 8,949,000 while part-time employment also increased, up 51,000 to 4,568,000.

  • Unemployment dropped in February with fewer people looking for full-time and part-time work:

1,521,000 Australians were unemployed (10.1% of the workforce) in February, a decrease of 86,000 from January with fewer people looking for full-time work, down 42,000 to 602,000 and fewer people looking for part-time work, down 44,000 to 919,000.

  • The workforce increased marginally to a record high of over 15 million in February:

The workforce in February was 15,038,000 (up 13,000 from January) – comprised of 13,517,000 employed Australians (up 99,000) and 1,521,000 unemployed Australians looking for work (down 86,000).

  • Overall unemployment and under-employment drops 1% point in February to 19.2%:

In addition to the unemployed, 1.37 million Australians (9.1% of the workforce, down 0.4% points) were under-employed – working part-time but looking for more work, down 59,000 from January.

In total 2.89 million Australians (19.2% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in February, down by 145,000 from January. The movements in February partially reversed the spike higher during January when combined unemployment and under-employment increased by 288,000.

Compared to early March 2020, before the nation-wide lockdown, in February 2023 there were more than 700,000 more Australians either unemployed or under-employed (+3.6% points) even though overall employment (13,517,000) is over 600,000 higher than it was pre-COVID-19 (12,872,000).

Roy Morgan’s under-employment figure of 9.1% is 3% points higher than the ABS estimate of 6.1% for JanuaryHowever, the ABS figures for January show there were 435,700 workers who worked fewer hours than usual (or zero hours) due to illness, personal injury or sick leave compared to an average of 357,520 for the month of January over the five years from January 2017 – January 2021.

This difference in the numbers of people who worked fewer hours (or zero hours) due to illness, personal injury or sick leave, which can be put down to the highly infectious Omicron variant of COVID-19, equates to a difference of 78,180 in January 2023 above the pre-pandemic average for the month of January. If these workers are added to the approximately 876,000 workers, the ABS classifies as under-employed this creates a total of 954,180 – equivalent to 6.7% of the workforce.

When the ABS unemployed (3.7% of the workforce, 523,200 workers) and this larger than usual level of under-employed (6.7% of the workforce, approximately 954,180 workers) are combined these figures add to 1.48 million workers, around 10.4% of the workforce – just over half of the comparable Roy Morgan figure.

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment (2019-2023)

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2019 – February 2023. Average monthly interviews 5,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says unemployment and under-employment were both down slightly in February but the combined figure of 2.89 million (19.2% of the workforce) is over 500,000 higher than a year ago in February 2022 of 2.36 million (16.3%):

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates for February show unemployment down 86,000 to 1,521,000 (10.1%, down 0.6% points). The decline in unemployment is good news but the measure is still significantly higher than a year ago – almost 300,000 more Australians are now unemployed than in February 2022 – 1,227,000 (8.5% of the workforce).

“Under-employment in February was 1,367,000 (9.1% of the workforce), down 59,000 on January, but more than 200,000 higher than a year ago in February 2022 – 1,130,000 (7.8% of the workforce). These figures show that although there was positive movement in the underlying figures in February, the longer-term trends show considerably higher unemployment and under-employment than a year ago.

“Compared to a year ago, the increased immigration and faster population growth than during the pandemic effected years of 2020-22, is boosting figures across the workforce. The workforce has grown rapidly over the last year and is up 595,000 to 15,038,000 driven by both an increase in jobs, up 301,000 to 13,517,000, and a similar-sized increased in unemployment, up 294,000 to 1,521,000.

“The biggest impact has occurred during the last six months as inward immigration to Australia has increased substantially and almost all COVID-19 pandemic related restrictions ended in late 2022. Since October 14, 2022, there has been no mandatory isolation for anyone with COVID-19 and no ‘Pandemic Leave Disaster Payments’ available to those forced into mandatory isolation.

“The ending of the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions means there is no longer any incentive for COVID positive people to take time off work due to a positive COVID test and no requirement for businesses to hire extra workers to cope with the forced isolation of employees.

“Over the last six months (September 2022 – February 2023), total unemployment and under-employment has averaged 2.84 million (19.2% of the workforce), a far higher figure than the six months before that of March – August 2022: 2.49 million (17.1% of the workforce).

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates show that although the economy is creating many new jobs, the large increase in the workforce due to factors such as increased immigration, and the relaxation of domestic COVID-19 restrictions, means there has been a clear increase in both unemployment and under-employment since late last year.

“As we head further into 2023 these issues are set to become more prominent as we deal with high inflation and rising interest rates that will raise costs for businesses and consumers alike.”

(Roy Morgan)

March 06, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9196-australian-unemployment-estimates-february-2023

 

784-785-43-26/Polls

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence At 79.9 – Virtually Unchanged For Second Straight Week In Early March

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence was virtually unchanged at 79.9 this week. However, Consumer Confidence is a large 20.2pts below the same week a year ago, February 28 – March 6, 2022 (100.1). Consumer Confidence is now 3.4pts below the 2023 weekly average of 83.3.

Consumer Confidence had mixed results around the country and was up in Queensland and South Australia, down in New South Wales and Western Australia and unchanged in Victoria.

Views on personal finances were virtually unchanged this week, but there was a slight improvement for longer term views of the economy while there was a slight deterioration in whether consumers considered now a good/bad time to buy a major household item.

Current financial conditions

Future financial conditions

Current economic conditions

  • Only 6% (down 1ppt) of Australians expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next twelve months compared to almost two-fifths, 38% (unchanged), that expect ‘bad times’.

Future economic conditions

  • Sentiment regarding the Australian economy in the longer term remains very weak with only 12% (up 1ppt) of Australians expecting ‘good times’ for the economy over the next five years compared to 17% (down 3ppts) expecting ‘bad times’.

Time to buy a major household item

  • When it comes to buying intentions now 19% (down 2ppts) of Australians, say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items while over half, 53% (up 1ppt), say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

ANZ Senior Economist, Adelaide Timbrell, commented:

Consumer confidence remained virtually unchanged – and very low – in the week to 5 March. It was the fourth consecutive week with confidence among the worst 12 results since the COVID outbreak in Australia. Among those paying off their mortgage, confidence rebounded 2.9pts after a sharp fall the week before. Confidence among those who own their home outright and those renting declined 2.2pts and 0.4pts respectively, but still ended the week with higher confidence than indebted owners. Time to buy a major household item declined to its fifth-lowest result since the COVID outbreak, while current finances dropped to its fourth-worst result since COVID. Confidence about future financial and economic conditions rose during the week.

(Roy Morgan)

March 07, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9180-anz-roy-morgan-consumer-confidence-march-7

 

784-785-43-27/Polls

Over Half Of APAC’s Consumers (54%) Say That Better Money Management Is On Their List Of Goals For This Year

In this article, we explore what residents in Australia think about the state of their household finances – how do these perceptions vary across income levels? 

Additionally, do Australia’s residents generally expect their household finances to get better or worse over the next 12 months? And how bullish or bearish are workers from specific sectors, like real estate or retail, about their future finances? 

Are household finances in Australia getting better or worse?

Latest data from YouGov Profiles, as of February 2023, show that close to half (47%) of all Australian residents say there has been no change in their household finances compared to one month ago. Data from YouGov Profiles reflect cumulative responses over the past 52 weeks. 

Three in ten (31%), however, report worsening household finances, while less than one in five (18%) say their financial situation has improved. Regionally, Australia has a relatively high percentage of residents who say their household finances have changed for the worse – compared to other markets like IndonesiaHong Kong and Singapore – although Thailand boasts an even larger proportion.

Higher income households are significantly more likely to report that their financial situation has improved (11-15 percentage points higher on average than middle to lower income households) and significantly less likely to say their finances have worsened (12-17 points lower on average than middle to lower income households).  

The reverse is true for lower income households, who are significantly more likely to report a worsening financial situation (39%) and significantly less likely to say their finances have taken a turn for the better (13%). 

Do Australian households expect their finances to improve or worsen over the next 12 months?  

When asked how they anticipate their household finances to change over the next 12 months, only 28% of Australian residents expect their situation to remain the same

In comparison, more than a third (35%) expect their household finances to improve, while over a quarter (26%) of households expect their situation to worsen

Regionally, Australia has the highest proportion of residents who expect their household finances to worsen in the next 12 months – compared to other APAC markets like Hong KongIndonesia and Singapore and Thailand. At the same time, compared to Singapore and Hong Kong, a larger percentage of Australia’s residents expect their financial situation to improve in the near future.   

In which sectors are respondents most bullish and bearish about their household finances in the next 12 months?  

Australian residents who work in Construction, IT & Telecoms and Accountancy are most optimistic about their household finances in the next 12 months, with half or close to half expecting an improvement. 

Additionally, over two in five of Australian residents who work in the Financial ServicesHospitality & LeisureLegal, Media / Marketing / Advertising / PR & Sales and Manufacturing sectors are also bullish about their household finances changing for the better over the coming year.

On the other hand, those employed in the Manufacturing and Legal sectors are most pessimistic, with three in ten expecting their household finances to get worse in the next 12 months.  

Meanwhile, over a quarter of Australian residents who work in the Medical & Health servicesEducation and IT & Telecoms sector are also bearish about their household finances changing for the worse over the coming year. 

(YouGov Australia)

February 28, 2023

Source: https://au.yougov.com/news/2023/02/28/australia-household-finances-improve-worsen-2023/

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

784-785-43-28/Polls

Confounding And Confirming Expectations On The “Care Economy” In MENA, A Survey In 12 Arab Nations

Written and released before COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic, a 2020 Oxfam report suggested that if women were to be paid for their unpaid work, it would be worth nearly US$11 trillion globally. This sum likely varies based on the proportion of women gainfully employed in any region. At 18 percent, the 2021 rate of women’s participation in the paid labor force in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is the lowest in the world and has decreased from a 25-year high of 21 percent in 2016. Women in MENA spend up 10 times more time on unpaid care work and do 4.7 times more unpaid care work than men. But do citizens believe women should be doing so?

Arab Barometer findings from 12 countries surveyed in the seventh wave (2021-2022) partially confound expectations on unpaid care work in the region. Where it is often assumed that childcare—including help with schoolwork—is relegated exclusively to women, survey results instead suggest that most citizens believe helping children study is a responsibility that should be shared by both male and female household heads, regardless of who currently completes this responsibility. But patriarchal expectations linger when it comes to financial decisions: in most countries, the largest share of citizens believes that the male household head alone should be responsible for budgeting and spending on household needs.

Beliefs about ownership of these responsibilities differ significantly (if not expectedly) between men and women; between more and less educated citizens; and between employed men and employed women. Women and those with higher levels of education are likelier than their male and less educated counterparts to opine household heads should be equally responsible for both tasks.  And in comparison to employed men, employed women strongly voice an expectation of equal say in budgeting and spending in particular.

But perhaps what is most notable are differences among women themselves. In most countries, housewives are simultaneously likelier than employed women to say that the female household head should be responsible for helping children study, while the male household head should be responsible for budgeting and spending. Meanwhile, employed women are likelier than housewives on both measures to say responsibility or these tasks should be divided between household heads.

These findings suggest that some gendered norms are as, if not more, reified among the opinions of women outside the paid labor force as they are among the opinions of men. Men are only slightly more likely than women to say helping children study should be the female household head’s responsibility, and with the exception of Egypt, only minority shares of men hold this belief. That said, men, like housewives, are significantly likelier to say the male household head should be responsible for financial decisions. Notably, this close alignment between the opinions of housewives and men may not exclusively be interpreted as housewives lacking choice but might instead indicate exertion of agency and ownership of roles and responsibilities.

This reaffirmation of views on divisions of labor is salient in MENA in part because of the gendered impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. In a recently published book chapter, members of Arab Barometer’s research team used findings from the sixth wave to highlight how the gendered effects of the pandemic in MENA, as elsewhere in the world, negatively affected both monetized and non-monetized work for women. The pandemic calcified expectations of women’s domestic responsibilities and increased non-paid labor on the one hand while causing women disproportionate setbacks in the paid labor market on the other.

Broadly defined as the services provided to institute care for different populations like children and the elderly, the care economy includes tasks like cleaning houses, shopping for groceries, and helping with education and healthcare. When done domestically or in private homes, much of this work is unpaid and often dismissed as unproductive. It is also largely shouldered by women. The informality of this sector is deemed a missed opportunity for economic development, as the care economy is predicted to create jobs and have a positive significant impact on countries’ GDPs. COVID-19 put significant pressure on this “less visible” part of the economy, yet the strain of the pandemic on unpaid care work received less attention  than on paid care work (also mostly shouldered by women).

At least one of the COVID-19-driven trends has continued: majorities of housewives in seven out of 12 countries in Arab Barometer’s seventh wave report that the amount of housework they have to do has continued to increase since the beginning of the pandemic. But in several countries, reports of increased household responsibilities borne by women are accompanied by decreased agreement on the statement that men alone should have final say in household decisions. In Egypt, Lebanon, Iraq, and Jordan, decrease in support for this statement is significantly more dramatic among women overall than men.

Housewives are no exception to this trend. Among this subset of women who are often most responsible for unpaid care work, support for the idea that men should have final say in household decisions is markedly down by 22 points in Lebanon, 21 points in Algeria, 14 points in Tunisia, and 10 points in Sudan. The pandemic seems to have had a paradoxical consequence: while it increased the amount of work for women at home, it simultaneously raised awareness for the fact that such work, even if unpaid, merits women having a say in household decisions.

Nearly half of citizens or more in nine out of 12 countries say household heads should be equally responsible for helping children study. Only in Egypt does the majority say this task should be the female household head’s exclusively.  This finding varies by gender and education, with more Egyptian men saying it should be the female head’s responsibility (+12 points), and with those with higher education being 6 percent less likely to say that it should be the female head’s responsibility.

In contrast, the results reaffirm preconceived patriarchal expectations when asked about budgeting and spending household responsibilities. Nearly half or more citizens in nine countries attribute this responsibility to the male head. Lebanon, Jordan, and Tunisia stand out, as pluralities in the former two countries and an outright majority in the latter challenge these patriarchal expectations.

Views on ownership of this financial responsibility significantly vary by gender, but the issue is notably polarized along gender lines in five countries. Overall, men are more likely to think the male head of household should be responsible for budgeting and spending, while women are more likely to believe that the responsibility should be shared. In Iraq, men are 21 points more likely to say men should be responsible while women are 17 points more likely to say the household heads should share responsibility. While there is a 15-point gender gap in the belief that men should have most responsibility in financial decisions in each Egypt and Tunisia, women are respectively 10 and 13 points more likely to think household heads are equally responsible. Jordan (+14 points men, male responsible; +11 points women, equally responsible) and Morocco (+13 points men, male responsible; +11 points women, equally responsible) follow the same pattern.

More poignant still are differences between employed men and employed women on attitudes towards financial decision-making responsibilities. In all countries except for Mauritania, employed and self-employed women are more likely than employed and self-employed men to say household heads are equally responsible for household budgeting and spending. This gender gap ranges from 8 percent in Sudan to 32 percent in Iraq. These significant differences point to the possibility that upon entering the paid workforce,  women become more empowered and expect to have an equal say in household responsibilities, especially with regards to approaching spending and budgeting.

While gender norms might be at play here, other factors may be necessary to consider. Gainfully employed women simultaneously have less time to dedicate to housework and more financial freedom to outsource responsibilities. For the affluent, this often is done by hiring domestic workers through the kafala or “sponsorship” system in the Arab Gulf, Lebanon, and Jordan. The kafala system is one where a domestic worker is hired under a sponsor to live and work in the host country. These workers often live in their employers’ households as nannies, cooks, or cleaners. They rarely have clear job descriptions and are predominantly women.

But hiring domestic workers is potentially a double-edged sword. While the entry of women into the paid workforce might be changing gendered power relations and challenging gender norms within a household, hiring domestic workers who are primarily women reinforces the gender norm at the societal level.

Findings from the seventh wave disrupt patriarchal preconceptions with respect to sharing childcare responsibilities but reinforce them when it comes to insisting that budgeting and spending are the responsibilities of the man of the house. Gender, education, and employment status complicate this overarching pattern further. The ensuing results, which sometimes confirm and sometimes challenge expectations, highlight the importance of nuancing approaches to understanding gender norms in MENA. This calls for further contextualization of individual and country-specific trajectories. The findings also point to potential and important future research agendas on the impact of domestic workers, under kafala or otherwise, on care work and household distributions of responsibilities.

(Arabbarometer)

March 6, 2023

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2023/03/confounding-and-confirming-expectations-on-the-care-economy-in-mena/

 

784-785-43-29/Polls

Female Political Participation Inspires Confidence In Female Political Leadership In MENA, An 8 Country Survey

Support for women as political leaders has dramatically increased inmost MENA countries according to Arab Barometer trend data. Disagreement with the idea that men make better political leaders than women is at an all-time high in eight of the eleven countries for which Arab Barometer has trend data.[1] Not only are these changes seen at the population level, but also within age cohorts. That is, citizens who were in their twenties, thirties, or forties ten years ago are today less likely to think men make better political leaders than women.

Eight of the countries Arab Barometer surveyed during its seventh wave were also surveyed at least ten years ago during the first or second wave.[2] This allows us to compare a nationally representative cross-section of different age groups to see how their opinions have changed since they were first surveyed. For this analysis, we broke the population up into three age cohorts. Cohort I consists of citizens who were 18 to 29 the first time they were surveyed; Cohort II is citizens originally aged 30 to 39; and Cohort III is citizens originally aged 40 to 49.[3] Except for a small overlap in Cohort I, the citizens in question have now [4] aged out of their original cohort.

In a vast majority of cases, MENA citizens are changing their minds as they age. Specifically, most cohorts in most countries become increasingly unlikely to agree that men are better political leaders than women as they age.

Palestine is an especially interesting case. Arab Barometer first surveyed Palestinian citizens in 2006. At that point members of Cohort I (18-29 year-olds) were more likely than any other cohort to agree that men were better at political leadership than women. At the time, 90 percent of Cohort I agreed, compared to 81 percent of Cohort II (30-39 year-olds), and 84 percent of Cohort III (40-49 year-olds). Now, 16 years later, Cohort I has seen the biggest change. In 2021 Palestine, only 63 percent of citizens aged 34 to 45 [5] agreed with the statement; a 27-point drop. There was also an 11-point drop in the Cohort II and a 23 point drop in Cohort III.

Tunisian citizens experienced the most dramatic opinion shift across cohorts in the region. Only 41 percent of Tunisians who are in Cohort II today agree that men are better political leaders compared to 77 percent of them when they originally surveyed ten years ago. Similarly, Tunisians in Cohort III today dramatically shifted their views on women’s political leadership capabilities. Only 37 percent of them in 2021 think that men are better suitable for political positions compared to 71 percent of them when they were ten years younger in 2011.

Tunisia recently became the first Arab state to have a female prime minister. Prime Minister Najla Bouden was appointed by President Kais Saied in September 2021, shortly before Arab Barometer began surveying Tunisians. The recent sharp decline in agreement among Tunisian citizens favoring male political leadership from 2018 to 2021 following Bouden’s appointment is similar to the decline Arab Barometer recorded from 2011 to 2013, during which time legislative gender quotas were introduced.

Egyptians went from having the highest agreement (91 percent) that men are better political leaders than women among surveyed countries in 2011 to only the fifth highest agreement (66 percent) in 2022. Egyptians of all age groups experienced a significant opinion shift over time. Agreement dropped by 23 points in Cohort I, 26 points in Cohort II, and 22 points in Cohort III.

Female political representation in Egypt has risen dramatically from 2011 to 2022. Just prior to the Arab Spring, women took up only 1.5 percent of seats in the national legislature. As of the most recent Egyptian elections, 28 percent of legislative seats belong to women. Furthermore, the Egyptian constitution reserves 25 percent of local council seats for women and six women currently hold cabinet positions. The increase of successful female participation in the political sphere coincides with the dramatic decrease in Egyptians who think men are better than women at political leadership.

Conventional wisdom might suggest that the youngest group, Cohort I, would have the most flexible mindset. Instead, on average Cohort II (ages 30-39) sees the biggest change. Furthermore, the difference of means of Cohort I and Cohort III is negligible. This is actually in line with most psychological research which finds people become more open to new ideas as they age.

When the cohorts are broken out by gender, we see that men and women experience similar levels of opinion shift. Women tend to have slightly more drastic changes, but not always. For instance, Lebanese men in every cohort had larger change of opinion than women. This can be attributed to two reasons.

First, even though Lebanese citizens overall have arguably the most positive attitudes towards gender equality in the region, women in every country are much more likely than men to disagree that men are better political leaders. Lebanon is no exception. Second, although the change in Lebanese men’s opinion is larger than Lebanese women, with the exception of Cohort I, the change is not substantial. Even though agreement in Cohort I dropped only four points for Lebanese women, compared to 21 points for Lebanese men, the Lebanese women of Cohort I are still 10-points less likely the Lebanese men of Cohort I to agree that men are better political leaders than women. Overall, the opinions of men and women in Lebanon changed in parallel.

Finally, Algeria is worth focusing on. Algeria is the only country where the overall population is more likely to agree that men make better political leaders than women today than they were the first time they were surveyed. This is true of both Algerian men and women. Algerian women in Cohort I are the only group in Algeria to have a stable position; all other cohorts of both men and women in Algeria agree at least slightly more in 2022 than they did in 2006.

Just like other countries in the region, Algeria introduced gender quotes to its national elections in 2011. The quota increased the proportion of national legislative seats held by women from eight percent in 2011, prior the quota, to 32 percent after the 2012 election. The drastic increase in women’s political representation without an increase in fundamental support for women’s rights in education, the workforce, or the home led to fierce blow-back. The national discourse dubbed the female parliamentarians unqualified and the gender quota law was dropped. After the 2021 election, the proportion of seats held by Algerian women dropped from 26 percent to 8 percent; the same proportion held prior to 2011. The gender quota failure seems to have caused Algerians to increase their belief in differential political capabilities due to gender.

However, the 16-year overview belies more recent trends in Algeria. Although Algerian men seem to be losing faith in female political leadership, the same cannot be said of Algerian women. Disparagement of female parliamentarians without any prior experience led to a spike in agreement that men are better political leaders in 2016; however, Algerian women have started to have more faith in female political leaders. Agreement among Algerian women has dropped ten points over the last six years.

Representation is a key component in increasing citizen confidence in female political leadership, but it is not everything. In countries where women were meaningfully allowed to participate once elected, men and women across generations revised their biases. Algeria serves as a cautionary tale; even though women were nominally allowed to participate, a lack of support prevented women from effectively demonstrating their capabilities.

Overall, trend data regarding MENA citizens’ views on political gender equality is positive. As women across MENA continue to infiltrate the political sphere, we can expect respect for female political leadership to continue to grow.

 

(Arabbarometer)

March 6, 2023

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2023/03/mena-citizens-change-their-views-on-gender-political-roles-as-they-age-2/

 

784-785-43-30/Polls

International Women's Day: Global Opinion Remains Committed To Gender Equality, But Half Now Believe It Is Coming At The Expense Of Men, A 32-Country Survey

A new global study conducted in 32 countries by Ipsos in collaboration with the Global Institute for Women’s Leadership at King’s College London for International Women’s Day shows that:

Most agree that there is inequality between men and women — but differ on whether men benefit from gender equality

Looking at respondents across all generations globally, the majority agree that inequality between men and women persists, and that improvements will require efforts from both men and women. A global country average of 68% agree there is currently inequality between men and women in terms of social, political, and/or economic rights in their country. (Looking at the trend since 2017 across a sub-sample of 22 countries, the proportion who believe inequality exists has fallen by 5 points since then.) There is a similar level of agreement that women won’t achieve equality in their country unless men take action to support women’s rights (64% global country average), and that there are actions one can take to help promote equality between men and women (62%).

  • The pattern in the U.S. is comparable: majorities of Americans agree there is inequality between men and women (63%, down from 72% in 2017), that women won’t achieve equality unless men take action to support women’s rights (60%), and that there are actions they can personally take to help promote equality between men and women (52%).

On average globally, just over half (55%) believe equality between men and women will be achieved in their lifetime. Optimism that this will happen is now 5 points higher than it was in 2018 on average across the 25 countries surveyed then and again this year. However, only 45% in the U.S. are of this opinion today, down 7 points since 2018. Similarly, more people believe young women will have a better life than their parents’ generation than believe young men will (51% globally and 48% in the U.S. for young women vs. 42% globally and 31% in the U.S. for young men).

When asked whether gender equality mainly benefits women, mainly benefits men, or is good for both men and women, half (53% globally, 54% in the U.S.) say it is good for both genders and another 1 in 6 (18% globally, 15% in the U.S.) say it mainly benefits women. Men are almost twice as likely as women to agree that gender equality mainly benefits women – both across the world and in the U.S. Only 8% globally (7% in the U.S.) say that gender equality mainly benefits men.

Where Americans stand out is on whether things have gone far enough in their country when it comes to giving women equal rights with men. This opinion is a lot less prevalent in the U.S. (37% agree) than it is on average globally (54%). The same applies to whether men are expected to do too much to support equality (36% in the U.S. agree vs. 54% globally) and whether we have gone so far in promoting women’s equality that we’re discriminating against men (40% vs. 48%). There are signs that these views are held more widely now than they were before the Covid pandemic:

  • Between 2019 and 2023 the proportion of people who think men are being expected to do too much to support equality has risen by 9 points on average across 25 countries, but it has barely changed in the U.S. (up 1 point).
  • At the same time, there has been a rise in the belief that things have gone far enough when it comes to giving women equal rights – both globally (by 7 points) and in the U.S. (by 4 points).

Day-to-day incidents of sexism persist, but most say they're able to take action — despite increasing belief that there's risk in doing so

Four in 10 globally (43% on average) and 1 in 3 in the U.S. (34%) report having witnessed at least one of several forms of gender discrimination in the past year, with the most common being hearing a friend or family member make a sexist comment (27% globally, 24% in the U.S.), followed by seeing examples of gender discrimination at work (20%, 14%), and seeing someone sexually harass a woman (14%, 13%).

Three in 5 globally (59%), but notably fewer in the U.S. (42%), say they’ve taken at least one action to promote gender equality in the past year. The most common actions taken include talking about gender equality with family or friends (32% globally, 24% in the U.S.), speaking up when a friend or family member made a sexist comment (21%, 17%), and talking about gender equality at work (21%, 12%). Half of Americans (50%) and more than 1 in 3 on average globally (37%) say they have taken none of eight possible actions in the last year.

However, there is also evidence of the barriers that are preventing people from taking action to support gender inequality. On average, more than 1 in 3 on average globally (37%) and 1 in 4 in the U.S. (27%) say they are scared to speak out and advocate the equal rights of women because of what might happen to them. This too has increased over the last 6 years: between 2017 and 2023, the average proportion feeling scared to speak out has risen by 9 points on average across 22 countries and by 5 points in the U.S.  

When asked directly, respondents also named other barriers: feeling that there’s nothing people can do that will really make a difference (13% globally), not knowing how to talk about gender equality/what next steps should be taken (11%), feeling that it’s irrelevant/unimportant (10%), and feeling concerned about being physically abused or threatened (10%). More positively, the least commonly selected responses were that it’s only a women’s issue (asked of men only; 6%), that people don’t think gender equality exists (6%), and that they don’t want to promote it (5%). Responses in the U.S. were similar to those gathered across all countries.

Younger generations are more optimistic about the future than older age groups, but they are also more cautious about the risk of speaking out and are more concerned that gender equality negatively impacts men

On average across all 32 countries surveyed, Gen Zers (45%) and millennials (44%) are more likely to identify as feminists, compared to Gen Xers (37%) and boomers (36%). The gap is even starker in the U.S. (46% of Gen Zers and 37% of millennials vs. 29% among both Gen Xers and boomers).

Gen Zers and millennials are also more likely than their elders to agree there are actions they can take to promote equality between men and women (65% of both Gen Zers and millennials vs. 61% of Gen Xers and 52% of boomers globally; 53% and 57% vs. 52% and 48% in the U.S.).

Similarly, younger generations are more likely to agree that gender equality will be achieved in their lifetime (60% of Gen Zers and 61% of millennials, vs. 53% of Gen Xers and 44% of boomers globally; 48% and 50% vs. 40% and 43% in the U.S.). Gen Zers are also those most likely to have taken at least one of eight listed actions in support of gender equality in the past year (68% globally and 42% in the U.S.). Reported action-taking drops steadily with each older generation, with boomers the least likely to have taken any action (41% globally and only 22% on the U.S).

Optimism among younger adults comes despite a larger share of Gen Zers (48% globally, 45% in the U.S.) and millennials (43%, 31%) saying they’re scared to speak out for women’s equal rights because of what might happen to them, a fear shared by significantly lower proportions of Gen Xers (32%, 21%) and boomers (23%, 17%). The younger generations are also more likely to say they’ve seen at least one form of discrimination mentioned in the survey (58% Gen Zers and 49% millennials compared with 36% Gen Xers and 26% of boomers).

At the same time, Gen Zers (52% globally, 57% in the U.S) and millennials (53%, 43%) are especially likely to agree that things have gone so far in promoting women’s equality that men are being discriminated against, compared to Gen Xers (46%, 28%) and boomers (40%, 15%). Also, while it is a minority view in all generations, Gen Zers and millennials are more likely to agree that a man who stays home to look after his children is less of a man (30% each of Gen Zers and millennials globally, 21% and 24%, respectively, in the U.S.) than are Gen Xers (22% globally, 10% in the U.S.) and boomers (14% globally, 9% in the U.S.).

(Ipsos USA)

7 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/international-womens-day-global-opinion-remains-committed-gender-equality-half-now-believe-it

 

784-785-43-31/Polls

Out Of The 64 Countries That Were Surveyed, South Korea Tops Security Preference For US, Pakistan Tops Preference For China, While Serbia Tops The Preference For Russia And Sweden For EU For Security Partnership: GIA And Gallup & Gilani Pakistan

According to a survey conducted by Gallup International Association, out of the 64 countries that

were surveyed, South Korea tops security preference for US, Pakistan tops preference for China, while Serbia

tops the preference for Russia and EU for security partnership

An opinion poll was conducted by GIA in 64 countries covering over two thirds of the global

population (and more than 90% of those countries which are free to conduct and publish opinion

research). This press release sheds light on the findings of the survey regarding perceptions on strategic

partnerships between countries.

The question asked was “Which of the following would you prefer your country to partner with for

security – the US, China, Russia, or The EU?” 84% people from South Korea said USA, 54% from

Pakistan said China, 53% from Serbia said Russia and 69% from Serbia said EU.

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded USA were:

1. South Korea – 84%

2. Israel – 79%

3. Kosovo – 77%

4. Japan – 65%

5. Philippines – 63%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded China were:

1. Pakistan – 54%

2. Russian Federation – 50%

3. United Arab Emirates – 36%

4. Thailand – 25%

5. Palestinian Territories – 24%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded Russia were:

1. Serbia – 53%

2. Ethiopia – 46%

3. Syria – 45%

4. Armenia – 42%

5. Ivory Coast – 40%

The top 5 countries, with the greatest number of people who responded EU were:

1. Sweden – 69%

2. Ireland – 62%

3. Slovenia – 58%

4. Portugal – 54%

5. Switzerland – 52%

Results by Demography (Security Partnership):

Age Differences in popularity of Partnership on Security

• Younger and middle-aged populations are more amiable towards US when it comes to striking

Security Partnership while the older aged population prefers US and EU equally.

• Across all age groups US was the top preference across all the different parts of the world.

Popularity Gap in terms of security partnership between China and US

• Among different religious groups, US is ahead of China in preference for security partnership.

• Hindu respondents most upbeat about security partnership with US

• After US, Christians and Hindus prefer EU while Muslims prefer Russia

Popularity of Security Partnership by Per-capita Income.

• Interesting to note that just like economic preference, low-income economies prefer China for

security partnership.

• High-Income economies prefer EU for security partnership, this could perhaps be explained by

the fact that most high-income economies belong to the EU while lower-middle income

economies have the highest preference for US as 39% responded so.

Results by Region (Security Partnership):

Popularity of Security Partnership with China

• Popularity of security partnership with China was found to be highest in South Asia followed by

MENA region. The least support was found in EU (with 3% saying they would prefer that)

• Interestingly populations among G7 countries, the support for partnership with China is highest

in US where 16% seek security partnership with China. The lowest in G7 country is Japan in its

preference for China for security partnership

• Widespread support for security partnership with US exists in East Asia and Oceania where 3 in

5 seek partnership. The lowest support is non-EU Europe East (they seek partnership with EU

and Russia)

These interesting findings have emerged out of an annual, 64 country research conducted by Gallup

International (founded by the world-renowned scholar and pollster Dr. George Gallup in 1947). The

survey in Pakistan was done by Gallup Pakistan, Pakistan’s oldest and trusted survey firm, working since

1979.

(Gallup Pakistan)

March 08, 2023

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/08-March-GIA-PR_merged.pdf

 

784-785-43-32/Polls

Reflections On Ramadan, A Look Into Changing Habits Of KSA, UAE And Egypt

A Stronger Connection to Religion

Ramadan is a significant month for Muslims in the MENA region, and while it is a time of spiritual reflection and self-discipline, it is also a time of celebration and community. It’s touted as a period for personal spiritual growth and development, but it is also a time to strengthen family and community bonds. The majority practice their faith through higher exposure to religious content, more prayer and visits to the mosque as well as community engagement through helping those in need. A trend seen across markets.

ramadan

A Time for Community and Gathering

While fasting is a significant part of Ramadan, the month is also a time for community and sharing, and food plays an important role in bringing people together during this time. Many families and friends gather together to share an Iftar meal, accordingly they put the effort to decorate their homes, and invite others or to attend community iftar events.

ramadan

Food delivery apps have become increasingly popular across the year, and the trend is no different during Ramadan. With many restaurants and cafes offering Iftar and Suhoor menus, it’s become much easier for people to break their fast and to enjoy traditional dishes from the comfort of their own homes.

ramadan

A Less Constrained Shopper

Shopping for groceries during Ramadan can be a significant part of the preparation for breaking the fast, it is traditional to prepare special foods, and there’s an increase of eating at home, and inviting friends and relatives to share meals. Moreover, charitable giving is an important part of the month, and some people may choose to donate food to those in need.

With many brands offering discounted price, and bulk purchase deals, promotions are a high motivator to shop during the month.

While a large percentage are shopping for products through traditional channels, online shopping has become a corner stone in their purchase journey.

Ramadan

Purchases are split between planned and unplanned, which indicates a high level of impulsive and last minute purchasing habits during the month. Unsurprisingly 68% mentioned that they discover new products during the month, and accordingly, 8 in 10 mentioned that they spent and purchased more than they originally planned.

A Media Content Boost

In the MENA region, there has historically been a significant increase in media consumption during the month of Ramadan. Partly due to the fact that many popular television shows and dramas are broadcast during this time, and so viewership naturally increases.

Advertising spend during Ramadan has traditionally been a significant part of the marketing strategy for many companies in the MENA region, where Ramadan is an important cultural and religious observance. Consumer spending during Ramadan tends to increase, particularly on food, beverages, and clothing. As a result, companies in these sectors may choose to increase their advertising spend during Ramadan to take advantage of this increased consumer demand.

Many individuals spend more time watching television and engaging with social media, which presents an opportunity for advertisers to reach a larger audience.

SVOD platforms have gained significant traction. 6 in 10 are using these platforms with Netflix taking the lead, and with availability being the biggest driver of this usage. Arabic series take the lead when it comes to the most watched type of programming.

(Ipsos UAE)

8 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ae/reflections-ramadan

 

784-785-43-33/Polls

Data Dive: Looking Back At How The World Was Feeling As The COVID-19 Era Dawned, A Survey In 12 Countries

The coronavirus crisis seemed small and contained at first, but like a snowball rolling down a hill it quickly grew in speed and size.

It all started with reports of hospitalizations and deaths related to a pneumonia of unknown origin in Wuhan, China, in late 2019. Soon, the alarming explosion of what came to be known as COVID-19 spurred the World Health Organization to officially declare a global pandemic on March 11, 2020.

Then, life as we all knew it came to a screeching halt.

In the days and weeks to come, citizens around the globe started doing things that only a few months prior would’ve seemed like something out of a cheesy sci-fi movie. People were wiping down and quarantining groceries, fighting over dwindling supplies of hand sanitizer and toilet paper and knocking pots and pans together nightly in honour of healthcare heroes … not to mention that video of Gal Gadot and other celebs singing “Imagine.”

Here’s a look back at some eye-opening polling via Ipsos’ Global Advisor online platform in those scary (and, yes, slightly cringey) early days of the once-in-a-century event.

  1. Jobs went poof
    Hard lockdowns in those early days meant in-person workers, such as your local barista, hairdresser and waitress, lost the ability to earn an income pretty much overnight. It was an unnerving time. As the job losses piled up, there was a rise in the percentage of people who considered COVID-19 a threat to their job or business from February to March 2020 with medium-income earners (54% on average globally) being the most concerned when polled during the second week of the pandemic from March 19-21, 2020.Ipsos | Data dive | covid-19



  1. All in this together?
    While public-health experts claimed we were “all in this together” to “flatten the curve,” the truth is that almost immediately people were split into two camps. There were those who believed travel and self-isolation measures would help blunt COVID-19’s spread (46% on average across 14 countries) and those (50%) who didn’t believe the restrictions would work (the remaining 4 per cent said they didn’t know).Ipsos | Data dive | covid-19



  1. Turned inward
    As stark divisions over several public-health restrictions were already beginning to harden, there was one topic the majority increasingly agreed on – border closures.Ipsos | Data dive | covid-19



  1. A rising interest in sourdough
    In the spring of 2020, we were mostly “staying apart together” and distracting ourselves from the dark news updates by doing everything from baking bread to shaking (or stirring) “quarantinis” to celebrating birthdays on Zoom. During that initial phase of lockdowns about half (53% on average globally) were feeling pretty optimistic that the pandemic would bring them closer to friends and family and 44% viewed stay-at-home orders as a time to learn a new skill.Ipsos | Data dive | covid-19



  1. Hindsight is 20/20
    It wasn’t just all those “quarantinis” that had people feeling warm and fuzzy in the first few weeks of the pandemic. In retrospect, the optimism was likely due in part to the mistaken belief the crisis would be over pretty quickly. Many were thinking in terms of months, not years. Ipsos polling found in the days following the WHO declaring a global pandemic, 2 in 3 (66% on average across 12 countries) expected things to go back to normal by June 2020 — though that hope started to flag a fair bit (-14 percentage points) by early April 2020Ipsos | Data dive | covid-19

(Ipsos USA)

10 March 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/data-dive-looking-back-how-world-was-feeling-covid-19-era-dawned

 

784-785-43-34/Polls

According To Yougov Data, Around 44% Of The World's Consumers Say They Try To Buy Only From Socially And Environmentally Responsible Companies, A Survey Across 18 Global Markets

According to YouGov data, around 44% of the world's consumers say they try to buy only from socially and environmentally responsible companies. But how much can consumers trust a brand's claims, given apparent high-profile shortcomings, such as those highlighted by recent reports on fast-fashion brand H&M?

To learn how consumers feel about brands' green claims, we asked people in 18 global markets if they agreed or disagreed with them: I'm skeptical of most brands' attempts to convince me they're green and ; I believe more in the advertising claims of small brands than in those of the big ones.

The survey data reveals that the majority of respondents globally (60%) are skeptical of brands' green claims, suggesting that brands need to do better if they are to earn their trust. While more than a quarter are undecided (28%), the proportion of consumers who disagree with this statement is less than one in ten (7%).

 

Of all the countries surveyed, the British are the most skeptical (71%), followed by the Spanish (69%) and the French (66%).

 

About two-thirds of consumers in Mexico (66%) and Canada (65%) say they distrust brands when it comes to environmental claims. However, although more than half of the US population agrees with this statement (54%), they are considerably below the world average.

Aside from Australia (63%), all other APAC markets are less likely than the global public to agree with the statement: China (57%), Singapore (56%) and India (54%). Hong Kong (43%) has the lowest agreement rate of all countries, followed by Indonesia (51%). Although the proportion of consumers who disagree with the statement in these two countries is similar to the rest of the surveyed markets, the proportion of unsure consumers is more significant than in other countries: 47% in Hong Kong and 41% in Indonesia.

The large proportion of consumers choosing "neither agree nor disagree" suggests that if brands play their cards right, they could convince customers of their green claims.

In addition, we look at whether consumers believe the advertising claims of small brands more than those of large ones.

Looking separately at consumers who agreed with the first statement and those who disagreed, we find that while most consumers are skeptical of brands' green initiatives, they are much more likely to agree that they trust small brands more than big ones.

Among global respondents who say they are not easily convinced that a brand is sustainable, more than a third (36%) are more likely to believe the advertising claims of small brands than big ones. Of the 7% of global consumers who are convinced by brands' green claims, less than a third (27%) agree they are more likely to believe small brands.

The same trend is observed in the different markets. What is striking, however, is that consumers in both groups are more hesitant, suggesting that they are not sure they believe advertising claims regardless of the size of the brand.

 

(YouGov Spain)

March 10, 2023

Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2023/03/10/global-desconfian-los-consumidores-de-las-afirmaci/

 

784-785-43-35/Polls

Women Worldwide Still Facing Uphill Battle For Equality And Safety, A 39 Country Survey

WIN International, the world’s leading association in market research and polling has published the Annual WIN World Survey – WWS 2022 – exploring the views and beliefs of 28702 respondents in 39 countries across the globe. On International Women’s Day, WIN releases the latest results of the survey about gender equality, violence and sexual harassment, to understand what are, if any, the improvements around the world in terms of equal opportunities and rights.

Men are more favored in the workplace according to global perception

Only 39% of people globally believe that women have the same opportunities as men career-wise. This number has improved from 2021 when an even lower 37% of respondents globally answered positively.

In some countries, the way to equality feels longer than in others. In Chile, 62% of respondents perceive that women have fewer job opportunities than men, and generally in the Americas, 46% of people are feeling the same.

Leading the discontent is Europe, where over 52% of respondents think that women’s opportunities are limited. Italy (67%), Croatia (64%) and France (58%) feel the most disparity.

In Hong Kong, the situation is looking rosier, with over 61% thinking that women and men have the same job and career opportunities. But the country where equality seems to be winning is the Philippines, with only 12% of respondents feeling a disparity.

Mixed feelings around gender pay gap

When talking about salaries the perception shifts slightly, with almost half of the global population (44%) thinking that pay is equal between men and women. Probably not surprisingly, men and women don’t see eye to eye on the matter: 51% of men don’t think there’s a pay gap, versus 38% of women.

Again, Chile scores highly, with 50% of people declaring that women are taking home less than men. While in Europe only 25% of respondents seem to have the same perception – in contrast with the outcome from the previous question about career opportunities.

Only 1.9% of Finnish respondents believe that women’s salaries are lower, but overall the MENA region feels the most positive with 57% of people thinking that remuneration is the same for men and women.

Violence doesn’t seem to stop

At a global level, results about women experiencing physical or psychological violence are unfortunately slightly on the rise compared to the previous year, going from 16% in 2021 to 17%. Younger people especially (18 to 24) seem to be suffering more than other age groups with over 21% of people responding positively.

When analyzing data by region, some improvements can be found in MENA, APAC, and Europe, where the net index of women experiencing violence in the past year decreased by -5, -2 and -2 respectively. However, in Africa violence is on the rise going from 20% in 2021 to a worrying 27%.

Looking at each country, it’s worth noticing Vietnam with only 2% of people reporting to have suffered from violence. Positive numbers also come from South Korea and the Philippines with 3% and 5% declaring to have suffered from violence.

Vilma Scarpino, President of WIN International Association, said:

“Numbers worldwide are still too high when it comes to gender inequality and acts of violence. At WIN our mission is to shed light on pressuring issues such as these in the hope that one day we’ll see radical improvements in the findings of our global survey. While the situation is far from perfect, it’s also important to appreciate the small but important progress that some countries or regions made. No step is too short or change too small when facing issues so big.”

(WIN)

11 Mar 2023

Source: https://winmr.com/women-worldwide-still-facing-uphill-battle-for-equality-and-safety/