Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation July 2020, Issue # 647* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 49 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 62 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Asra Malik Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: asra@gallup.com.pk This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 19 national & multi country surveys 6 polling organizations have been represented. Asia: India(Lifestyle), Hong Kong(Immigration), UAE(Well-Being) – 03 national polls Africa: Kenya(Legislation) – 01 Euro Americas: Germany (US image), France (New Media), UK(Health, Health, Well-Being, Gender Issues, Health) USA(Elections, Governance, Gender Issues, Ethnicity, Ethnicity, Lifestyle), Australia(Entertainment) – 14 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Pew Research Center – 34 Countries (Religion) Topic of the Week: As fear of Corona recedes A third of urban Indians are likely to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future Polls in Context: More Americans favor increased immigration than ever before: Gallup Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
647-01 A third of urban Indians are likely to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future (Click for Details) (India) According to a new YouGov survey of more than 1,000 urban Indians conducted in June, a third of the respondents are willing to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future- within the next 30 days (13%) or in the next one to three months (20%). The rest are likely to take longer, between 4-6 months (18%) or more than six months (18%) to head inside their favourite fast-food restaurant. GenZ respondents are most likely to make a return to restaurants sooner (43%) as compared to millennials (32%) and GenX respondents (28%). (YouGov) July 20, 2020 4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs / Lifestyle (Top)
647-02 Half of Hong Kong people have considered immigration (Click for Details) (Hong Kong) A new study by YouGov found that nearly half (47%) of Hong Kong people have considered immigration. The most prone to immigrants are young people in Hong Kong, two-thirds of whom have considered emigrating overseas (66% among 18-24 year-olds and 67% among 25-34 year-olds) compared with no university degree People with a bachelor's degree or higher are more inclined to immigrate (55% vs. 38%). Similarly, unmarried people are more inclined to immigrate than married people (52% vs. 42%). (YouGov) July 08, 2020 4.8 Society » Immigration/Refugees (Top)
MENA:
647-03 Optimism about personal finances is on the rise among UAE residents (Click for Details) (UAE) The appearance of the Covid-19 pandemic has turned our familiar world upside down within a span of few months. YouGov’s economic recovery tracker run between 7th May and 2nd July reveals how the crisis has affected the nation’s finances. With the economy gradually reopening, UAE residents are hopeful about their personal monetary situation and a third (33%) think their finances will get better in twelve months’ time while 23% expect them to remain in the same state. The number who think they will get worse stands at 25%. (YouGov) July 22, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
AFRICA Regions
AFRICA
647-04 Kenyans support presidential term limits, age restrictions for presidential candidates (Click for Details) (Kenya) Kenyans overwhelmingly favor limiting their president to two terms in office and placing age restrictions on presidential candidates, according to the most recent Afrobarometer survey. More than three-fourths of citizens endorse presidential term limits, which have been enshrined in the Constitution since 1992. While some African leaders have tried to get around term limits in order to stay in office, Kenya has remained committed to this democratic principle. (Afrobarometer) July 13, 2020 1.7 Domestic Politics » Legislation (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
647-05 Two out of five Germans expect China to take precedence over the USA in the future (Click for Details) (Germany) Today, more than 2 in 5 Germans (42 percent) and almost half of the British (48 percent) think that China will be the more powerful state over the next 50 years. This contrasts with only 18 percent of the British and 14 percent of Germans who say this about the USA. 23 percent of Germans do not see a supremacy in any of these countries and 22 percent do not state anything. Among the British, 10 percent believe that neither the United States nor China will assume supremacy, and just under a quarter (24 percent) do not say anything. These are the results of current YouGov surveys. (YouGov) July 15, 2020 2.6 Foreign Affairs & Security » US image (Top)
647-06 The French face the latest news from social networks (Click for Details) (France) The Facebook Shops e-commerce platform is the most famous novelty of the French: 22% of them have already heard of this new feature. Facebook Shops is also the novelty that the French plan to use the most (19%). Snapchat novelties come second among the new features that the French plan to use in the coming weeks (18%). The social network created by Mark Zuckerberg seems to benefit from its notoriety: nine out of ten French people (90%) know this social network , thus placing it first of the most famous social networks. (YouGov) July 16, 2020 4.6 Society » Media/ New Media (Top)
647-07 Two thirds of Brits would feel unsafe on a plane (Click for Details) (UK) The number of people who would not feel safe travelling by plane has increased significantly since early June, despite COVID-19 lockdown beginning to ease, signalling that it could be some time before travel rebounds to previous levels. Nearly two thirds of the public (64%) would not feel safe travelling by plane currently, up from 40% on 8 June. There is a similar unease about other types of international transport. Over half of Brits (55%) say they’d feel unsafe travelling by train, while 48% would not feel comfortable on a ferry. In both cases, this is a substantial jump from 31% on June 8th. (YouGov) July 14, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
647-08 Why won’t Britons wear face masks? (Click for Details) (Spain)The proportion of Britons wearing face masks during the coronavirus crisis has remained stubbornly low, compared to other countries. This is despite the fact that Britain has been one of the hardest-hit nations by the pandemic (indeed, it could be the reason for it). It is vital to public health that we understand why. So a new YouGov survey has asked Britons who have not been donning face coverings their reasons for not doing so. Adapting the face mask question we use as part of our coronavirus partnership with Imperial College, the results showed that 37% of Britons hadn’t worn a face mask outside their home in the preceding seven days. (YouGov) July 15, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
647-09 Pandemic improves finances for a third of first-time home buyers (Click for Details) (UK) First-time buyers are over twice as likely as the average Brit to have benefitted financially from the coronavirus crisis – but getting a mortgage has become harder. A third of people who plan to buy their first home within the next year (32%) say the COVID-19 pandemic has been positive for their finances. In contrast, this is only the case for 14% of all Brits. And while 34% of the public have felt a negative financial impact, this figure is slightly lower among first-time buyers (30%). (YouGov) July 17, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
647-10 Majority of Britons say that transgender people face discrimination in Britain (Click for Details) (UK) 7 in 10 Britons believe transgender people face discrimination, a quarter say they face a great deal. New research from Ipsos MORI carried out online among British adults aged 18-75 finds that 70% of Britons believe that transgender people face discrimination, with a quarter (26%) saying they face a great deal. Most would feel comfortable with transgender people in different settings, but still one in five say they would feel uncomfortable. Around half of Britons say they would be comfortable if a close friend or relative was transgender (56%), if their GP was transgender (51%) and if a future Prime Minister was transgender (47%), with around one in five saying they would be uncomfortable (18%, 22% and 21% respectively). (Ipsos MORI) July 15, 2020 4.5 Society » Gender Issues (Top)
647-11 Nearly 9 in 10 Britons say it is either essential or important to wear a facemask in public to stop the spread of coronavirus (Click for Details) (UK) While a large majority agree that it is important to wear a facemask in various situations, there is also strong support for government rules making it mandatory to wear one in shops. In a new survey by Ipsos MORI, almost 9 in 10 (86%) Britons say it is either essential or important for people to wear a facemask in certain public situations, such as shopping or using public transport, to stop the spread of coronavirus. More than 1 in 3 (37%) say it is essential. Just 1 in 10 say it is not important. (Ipsos MORI) July 13, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
647-12 Fox News Poll: Biden holds lead over Trump as coronavirus concerns grip nation (Click for Details) (USA) Coronavirus infected the election. The virus is the top issue to voters, over half of them disapprove of how President Trump’s handling it, and they increasingly trust Joe Biden to do a better job on it. That keeps Biden ahead in the presidential race, according to a Fox News survey of registered voters. That advantage is outside the margin of error. However, neither candidate receives 50 percent support and 10 percent are undecided/back someone else -- and the race has narrowed since June, when the former vice president was up by 12 points (50-38 percent). (Fox News) July 19, 2020 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
647-13 How Trump compares with other recent presidents in appointing federal judges (Click for Details) (USA) President Donald Trump has made big changes to the federal judiciary since taking office in 2017. Trump has appointed two Supreme Court justices – Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh – as well as nearly 200 other judges with lifetime appointments to lower federal courts. So how does Trump compare with other presidents in the number and personal characteristics of the judges he has appointed to the federal bench so far? Below are four charts that compare Trump’s record on judicial appointments to those of his recent White House predecessors, going back to Jimmy Carter. (PEW) July 15, 2020 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
647-14 Most Americans support gender equality, even if they don’t identify as feminists (Click for Details) (USA) Feminist movement have been accepted across the political spectrum in the United States, even among Americans who don’t personally identify as feminists, according to a Pew Research Center survey about gender equality that comes 100 years after the ratification of the 19th Amendment. For example, a majority of Democrats and Republicans – whether they identify as feminists or not – say it is very important for women to have equal rights with men. Similarly, majorities in both partisan coalitions support adding the Equal Rights Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. (PEW) July 14, 2020 4.5 Society » Gender Issues (Top)
647-15 Activism on social media varies by race and ethnicity, age, political party (Click for Details) (USA) From global protests against racial injustice to the 2020 election, some Americans who use social media are taking to these platforms to mobilize others and show their support for causes or issues. But experiences and attitudes related to political activities on social media vary by race and ethnicity, age, and party, according to a Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults conducted June 16-22, 2020. People can be politically active on social media in many ways. This survey asked Americans about four different types of activities that they may have engaged in on these platforms. (PEW) July 13, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
647-16 Black Adults Disproportionately Experience Microaggressions (Click for Details) (USA) More than any other racial group, Black Americans report experiencing negative treatment by others that falls under the broad category of microaggressions. About one in three Black adults (32%) say that, in the past year, people have acted as if they were "better than you," while one in four (25%) say people have acted as if "you were not smart." Roughly one in five Black Americans say they have experienced people treating them with less courtesy (22%) and respect (20%) than others. Similar percentages of Black adults say people have acted as if they were dishonest (19%) or as if they were afraid of them (18%). (Gallup USA) July 15, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
647-17 The Degree of Urbanisation's Effect on Happiness (Click for Details) (USA) Are people happier living in the countryside or in a city? The European Commission and Gallup collaborated on a study to find out, analyzing the opinions of 360,000 people across 117 countries and territories* based on whether they live in a city, town and semi-dense area, or a rural area. People were asked to rate their lives on a scale from 0 to 10, with 0 being the worst possible life and 10 being the best possible life. On average, the percentage of people in any given country who gave their lives a score between 8 and 10 is two to four percentage points higher in cities than in rural areas. The urban/rural gap is present regardless of country income level. (Gallup USA) July 16, 2020 4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs / Lifestyle (Top)
AUSTRALASIA
647-18 NSW ski resorts the 'main game' in town as Victorian border closes (Click for Details) (Australia) The latest Roy Morgan data shows 322,000 Australians plan on visiting one of the NSW Snowfields in the next two years. Over three-quarters of these prospective skiers and snowboarders (249,000) are from NSW/ACT including 180,000 from Sydney and a further 69,000 from Country NSW/ACT. There are a further 60,000 Australians from the rest of Australia (Queensland, WA, SA, NT or Tasmania) who plan on visiting one of the NSW Snowfields in the next two years. NSW borders remain open to residents of all these locations although the return home might require a period of quarantine. (Roy Morgan) July 14, 2020 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
647-19 The Global God Divide (Click for Details) People’s thoughts on whether belief in God is necessary to be moral vary by economic development, education and age. What is the connection between belief in God and morality? And how important are God and prayer in people’s lives? Pew Research Center posed these questions to 38,426 people in 34 countries in 2019. Across the 34 countries, which span six continents, a median of 45% say it is necessary to believe in God to be moral and have good values. But there are large regional variations in answers to this question. (PEW) July 20, 2020 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK: As fear of Corona recedes A third of urban Indians are likely to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
As fear of Corona recedes A third of urban Indians are likely to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future (450 MILLION OF INDIA'S 1380 MILLION LIVE IN URBAN INDIA) A new YouGov survey reveals consumers’ intent to purchase from fast-food restaurants and lists measures that would boost their confidence in dining out According to a new YouGov survey of more than 1,000 urban Indians conducted in June, a third of the respondents are willing to dine in at a fast food restaurant in the near future- within the next 30 days (13%) or in the next one to three months (20%). The rest are likely to take longer, between 4-6 months (18%) or more than six months (18%) to head inside their favourite fast-food restaurant. GenZ respondents are most likely to make a return to restaurants sooner (43%) as compared to millennials (32%) and GenX respondents (28%). When asked which fast-food chains are they most likely to order from once the country is completely unlocked, Dominos emerged as the top choice (with 41% saying this), followed by Mc Donald’s (34%), KFC (32%) and Pizza Hut (30%). We see a similar preference when it comes to eating out in a fast-food chain once things go back to normal- Dominos is the top choice (with 34% saying this), followed by McDonalds’s (32%) and KFC (30%). YouGov BrandIndex added another layer to the story with a deeper dive into Domino’s brand metrics. Domino’s was the first few brands to start contactless delivery in response to the pandemic. Since then the brand has invested heavily in advertising trying to communicate about its safety practices and hygiene standards. However, in mid-April the news of a Pizza delivery agent testing positive in Delhi for the Coronavirus spread around, leading to a negative perception of some of the popular fast-food chains, including Domino’s. The brand’s Buzz score (whether one has heard something positive/ negative about a brand in the past two weeks) declined by 4 points from 23.2 in mid-April to 19.2 towards the end of the month, and further to 18.0 in May end. Domino’s continued its advertising efforts- releasing advertisments in regional languages as well, emphasising the safety precaution taken by the delivery agents. In June, the brand came out with its latest campaign #OrderKarnaSafeHai highlighting the stringent safety norms adopted by the brand right from the kitchen to the customer’s doorstep. It appears the brand finally seems to have struck a chord with consumers as Ad Awareness sees a slight rise in June after suffering a decline in the previous month. Around the same time Domino’s Buzz score also started recovering through June. Even though Domino’s has managed to draw some attention, these efforts have not translated into purchases yet. Consideration (whether one would consider buying from a brand) for Domino’s has declined in line with the increasing number of Coronavirus positive cases in the country since May. However, Quality (whether a brand represents good/ poor quality) and Value score (whether a brand represents good value for money) haven’t seen any dramatic changes amidst the pandemic. This suggests the lack of intent to purchase from Domino’s is likely to be driven by the fear among the masses of contracting the virus than their absence of trust in the brand itself. The Omnibus data shows a similar view where concern for safety is primary- the willing to purchase is there but only once the country is completely unlocked and Coronavirus is less of a threat. YouGov also asked Indians what measures would help them feel more comfortable dining-in at a fast-food restaurant and nearly two in five (38%) said sanitization of tables and chairs in-between customers would help. Other measures that would put patrons at ease include free hand sanitizer or hand-washing station for customers before entering the place (30%), as well as maintaining social distance while placing orders (29%), and thermal screenings at the entrance (27%). More than a fifth would be at ease if restaurants disinfected high touch areas (23%) and put a limit to the seating capacity with adequate distance between two tables (23%). Restaurants may also want to consider facemask polices, as close to one-fourth (22%) said requiring all customers and staff to wear facemasks when not eating would help them feel more relaxed dining-in. Contactless payments (21%), contactless order through in-store kiosks (14%), glass barrier between customers & staff at the order counter (12%) and removal of touch-screen kiosks at stores (7%) were some other methods that can be adopted by restaurants to make customers’ dining experience comfortable. (YouGov) July 20, 2020 Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2020/07/20/third-urban-indians-are-likely-dine-fast-food-rest/ (Top)
POLLS IN CONTEXT: u This section blends or juxtaposes news items which seem to be relevant to recent polling data
BLENDING OF EVENTS AND POLL FINDINGS CONTEXT: Trump condemns private Texas border wall built by his supporters 'to make me look bad'. More Americans favour increased immigration than ever before: Gallup Nearly 8 in ten (77%) Americans believed that immigration is a good thing for their country. There is less of a partisan divide, with supporters of both parties expressing an overall more positive view of immigration. Only 19% said that they thought immigration was a bad thing, the lowest percentage since the question was first introduced in 2001. The number of Americans who want immigration to the country to increase has risen form 27% last year to 34% according to a recently conducted poll by Gallup. This is the first time that such a large number of people are in favour of increased immigration from the time the poll was first started in 1965. The poll also found that for the first time the number of people who want more immigration outnumber those who don’t. While 28% respondents favour decreased immigration, 36% feel it should be maintained at current levels. The poll was conducted between May 28-June 4, before the Donald Trump administration temporarily suspended the H-1B and other non-immigrant visa programs till the end of this year. It also preceeds the US Supreme Court ruling which invalidated the administrations action to end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals Act, which offers legal protection for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children. Nearly 8 in ten (77%) Americans believed that immigration is a good thing for their country. There is less of a partisan divide, with supporters of both parties expressing an overall more positive view of immigration. Only 19% said that they thought immigration was a bad thing, the lowest percentage since the question was first introduced in 2001. Immigration has always been a focus area for the current government. Donald Trump, who is up for re-election later this year, came to power on the back on a strong anti-immigration stance. (The Economic Times) July 02, 2020 Source: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/more-americans-favour-increased-immigration-than-ever-before-gallup/articleshow/76742191.cms?from=mdr (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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