Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation November 2024, Issue # 865-871* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 74 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 85 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 29 national & multi-country surveys; 09 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Japan (Lifestyle, Political Parties, Governance), China (Well-Being), Pakistan (Governance), Turkey (Performance Ratings), Palestine (Palestine/Israel Conflict) – 07 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Social Problems), Mauritius (Elections), Namibia (Employment Issues), Ethiopia (Environment) – 04 national polls Euro Americas: UK (Palestine/Israel Conflict, National Image, Inflation, Sports, Elections), Bulgaria (Elections), USA (Education, Immigration, Elections, Financial systems & Institutions, Inflation, Governance), Australia (Inflation, Consumer Confidence) – 14 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Ipsos Global – 20 Countries (Consumer Confidence) WIN – 29 Countries (Financial systems & Institutions) Ipsos Global – 31 Countries (Health) Ipsos Global – 32 Countries (Performance Ratings) Topic of the Week: Dissatisfaction With Democracy Is Widespread In Japan Ahead Of Snap Election Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
865-871-01 Over 60% Of Japanese Can Go A Month Without Reading A Book (Click for Details) (Japan) More than 60 percent of Japanese do not read a single book over the course of a month, according to the “public opinion survey on the Japanese language” for fiscal 2023. According to the survey results, 62.6 percent of respondents answered “no” to the question of how many books, including e-books, they read in a month. In past surveys, the percentage had never exceeded 50 percent. In the previous survey conducted for fiscal 2018, it was 47.3 percent. (Asahi Shimbun) 19 September, 2024 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
865-871-02 33% Support Ishiba Cabinet, Trailing 39% Non-Supporters (Click for Details) (Japan) Thirty-three percent of voters said they support the Ishiba Cabinet, compared with the 39 percent who do not support it, an Asahi Shimbun survey showed, noticeably lower than the support rate for the previous Kishida Cabinet in 2021. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, president of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, said he will release “new economic policies” in a speech on Oct. 15, when official campaigning started for the Oct. 27 Lower House election. (Asahi Shimbun) 21 October, 2024 1.4 Domestic Politics » Political Parties (Top)
865-871-03 Dissatisfaction With Democracy Is Widespread In Japan Ahead Of Snap Election (Click for Details) (Japan) Japan’s new prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, has called a snap election for Oct. 27, saying he wants his administration to face a public vote of confidence “as soon as possible.” Ishiba’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has led Japan for nearly 70 consecutive years, but has been rocked by a slew of recent scandals. As of this past March, only 30% of Japanese adults had a favorable view of the LDP, while 68% had an unfavorable view. (PEW) 22 October, 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
865-871-04 China Factory Surveys Show Economy Weakening, As Beijing Steps Up Support (Click for Details) (China) Chinese stock markets surged Monday, reflecting enthusiasm over a barrage of policy measures announced last week, including lower interest rates and smaller down payment requirements for mortgages and a cut in required bank reserves. The main index smaller market in Shenzhen soared 8.2% while the Shanghai Composite index jumped 5.7%, The downturn in the property sector has rippled throughout the world’s second-largest economy, hitting many other industries that depended on booming housing construction, such as appliance makers and manufacturers of building materials. (Asahi Shimbun) 30 September, 2024 3.1 Economy » Well-Being (Top)
865-871-05 The Percentage Of Pakistanis Who "Strongly Agree" That Democracy Is The Best System Of Governance, Despite Its Flaws, Has Plummeted From 40% In 2007 To 17% In 2024 (Click for Details) (Pakistan) Gallup Pakistan has asked nationally representative samples of adult men and women about their views on democracy for nearly two decades, revealing a growing skepticism toward its effectiveness as a governing system. Comparative Picture: In 2024, 17% of respondents said they strongly agree; 21% somewhat agree; 15% neither agree nor disagree; 14% disagree; 19% strongly disagree; and 14% gave no response. (Gallup Pakistan) 17 October, 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
865-871-06 Turks Lean Negative On Erdoğan, Give National Government Mixed Ratings (Click for Details) (Turkey) In May 2023, voters in Turkey elected Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to his third term as president. Less than a year later, Erdoğan’s Justice and Development party (AKP) suffered its worst-ever electoral defeat in local elections. Overall, 55% of Turkish adults have an unfavorable opinion of Erdoğan, while 43% have a favorable opinion. This marks a 32 percentage point decrease in favorability from 2017, including a 27-point drop in the share of Turks with a very favorable opinion of their president. (PEW) 16 October, 2024 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
· MENA
865-871-07 Palestinians See U.S. Response To Gaza As Failure (Click for Details) (Palestine) Nearly one year into the Israel-Hamas war that started with Hamas’ Oct. 7 deadly attack in southern Israel, Palestinians living in the West Bank and East Jerusalem give the U.S. low marks for its efforts to protect civilians in Gaza and ensure they receive crucial humanitarian aid. Approval of U.S. leadership is also at a new low. Seven in 10 Palestinians surveyed (69%) strongly disagree, while 76% disagree overall. About one in 10 (11%) agree that the U.S. has done enough to protect civilians. (Gallup) 03 October, 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
AFRICA Regions
865-871-08 51% Of Citizens Say Nigerians Are Not United (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls in commemoration of Nigeria’s 64th Independence Day has revealed that 51 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide stated nigerans are not united. However, further findings indicated that 79 percent of Nigerians take pride in being citizens of Nigeria mainly because it is their fatherland (84 percent) and they have nowhere else to call home. On the flipside, 21 percent lamented they were not proud being Nigerian mainly due to the economic hardship (33 percent) currently facing the country. (NOI Polls) 02 October, 2024 4.13 Society » Social Problems (Top)
865-871-09 Mauritians Approach Election With Diminished Confidence In The Freedom Of Their Press (Click for Details) (Mauritius) The vast majority (86%) of Mauritians say the media should “constantly investigate and report on government mistakes and corruption.”An equally strong share (86%) of the population support media freedom, while only one in 10 (11%) think the government should have the right to prevent the publication of things it disapproves of. Television and radio are the most popular sources of news in Mauritius, used at least “a few times a week” by more than nine in 10 citizens (94%-96%). (Afrobarometer) 09 October, 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
865-871-10 Namibians Support Equal Access To Jobs But Say More Needs To Be Done To Protect Women And Girls From Discrimination And Harassment (Click for Details) (Namibia) Namibia ranks eighth-best out of 146 countries on the Global Gender Gap Index 2024, making it the highest-ranked African country (World Economic Forum, 2024). Three-fourths (74%) of Namibians support equal access to employment opportunities for men and women, even when jobs are scarce. Men are less supportive than women of gender equality in hiring (69% vs. 80%). (Afrobarometer) 15 October, 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
865-871-11 Ethiopians Call For Greater Climate Action By Government And Other Stakeholders (Click for Details) (Ethiopia) Almost four in 10 Ethiopians (37%) say droughts have become more severe in their region over the past 10 years, ranging from just 17% in the Benishangul-Gumuz region to 78% in Addis Ababa. Three in 10 (30%) report worsening floods, though this ranges up to 79% in Addis Ababa. Fewer than half (47%) of citizens say they have heard about climate change. Awareness is particularly low among women, rural residents, and the least educated. (Afrobarometer) 21 October, 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
● EUROPE
865-871-12 Israel And Gaza, One Year On (Click for Details) (UK) A YouGov survey in late September found 18% of Britons saying they sympathised more with the Israeli side, 28% with the Palestinian side, and 21% “both sides equally” – with a further 33% unsure. In mid-2023, prior to the start of the current conflict, a YouGov survey found 10% of Britons were more on the Israeli side, while 23% backed the Palestinians more. One in five stood on the fence (19%), while 48% answered “don’t know”. (YouGov UK) 07 October, 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
865-871-13 How Do Britons Feel About The First 100 Days Of Labour Government? (Click for Details) (UK) Three in ten Britons (30%) say they had expected Labour to do well in government, but have been left disappointed by what they have seen so far, with only one in eight (12%) saying their positive expectations have been met. For a further 37% of Britons Labour’s poor performance is what they were expecting in the first place. Nearly half of those who voted Labour in the election (47%) say they had positive expectations of Starmer’s government but feel let down so far. (YouGov UK) 11 October, 2024 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
865-871-14 Four In Ten Renters And A Quarter Of Mortgage Holders Are Still Feeling The Pinch (Click for Details) (UK) A quarter of Britons with mortgages (24%) still say they are finding it difficult to afford their payments, although this is down from 35% last year. However, a greater number are concerned that housing will be hard to afford in a year’s time, with three in ten saying so (31%); more than are currently finding it difficult. Two thirds of renters (66%) report that their rent was increased in the past 12 months. (YouGov UK) 17 October, 2024 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
865-871-15 Over Half Of UK Adults View Racism In Football As A Problem (Click for Details) (UK) New polling from Ipsos explores perceptions of the most serious challenges facing professional football in Britain today. Amongst ethnic minorities, racism stands out as the top concern, with over 4 in 10 (47%) citing it as a serious challenge. In contrast, racism (37%) ranks as the third-most pressing issue for UK adults, behind rising ticket prices (41%) and the wealth gap between richer and poorer clubs (38%). (Ipsos MORI) 22 October, 2024 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
865-871-16 More Britons Care About Who Wins The US Election Than The Tory Leadership Race (Click for Details) (UK) Almost half of Britons (49%) say they personally care about the outcome of the US election, slightly more than those who say they don't care (46%). The proportion of those who say that they care about the US election (49%) is higher than the percentage who say they care about the outcome of the Conservative leadership race (31%). Awareness levels for both Trump and Harris are significantly higher than for Tory leadership candidates Kemi Badenoch (24%) and Robert Jenrick (22%). (Ipsos MORI) 01 November, 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
865-871-17 No One Trusts Elections Less Than Bulgarians (Click for Details) (Bulgaria) Bulgarians’ lack of confidence in elections is not new. Gallup World Poll data from 2014 and 2018 highlighted similarly low Bulgarian confidence in the honesty of elections. Since Gallup started measuring this indicator, the highest it has ever been in Bulgaria is 36% in 2006. Confidence has ebbed and flowed since then but has never approached a majority over the past 17 years. It briefly stabilized between 2020 and 2021, only to dive again after the onset of the political crisis in 2021. (Gallup) 22 October, 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
● NORTH AMERICA
865-871-18 Most Americans Back Cellphone Bans During Class, But Fewer Support All-Day Restrictions (Click for Details) (USA) Overall, 68% of U.S. adults say they support a ban on middle and high school students using cellphones during class, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 6, 2024. This includes 45% who strongly support this. About one-third (36%) support banning middle and high school students from using cellphones during the entire school day, including at lunch as well as during and between classes. By comparison, 53% oppose this more restrictive approach. (PEW) 14 October, 2024 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
865-871-19 Most U.S. Voters Say Immigrants – No Matter Their Legal Status – Mostly Take Jobs Citizens Don’t Want (Click for Details) (USA) Three-quarters of voters say undocumented immigrants fill jobs citizens don’t want, while a lower share (61%) say the same of legal immigrants, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in August 2024. Nine-in-ten Asian voters say undocumented immigrants mostly fill jobs that American citizens don’t want, as do large majorities of Hispanic (79%), White (75%) and Black (71%) voters. (PEW) 21 October, 2024 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
865-871-20 Harris, Trump Voters Differ Over Election Security, Vote Counts And Hacking Concerns (Click for Details) (USA) Harris supporters are more optimistic about the way the election will be run: 90% say they are at least somewhat confident that elections across the United States will be administered well. This compares with 57% of Trump supporters who are confident the election will be run smoothly. Harris supporters are more confident than Trump supporters that, after all the votes are counted, it will be clear who won (85% vs. 58%). (PEW) 24 October, 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
865-871-21 Majority Of Americans Aren’t Confident In The Safety And Reliability Of Cryptocurrency (Click for Details) (USA) Roughly six-in-ten Americans (63%) say they have little to no confidence that current ways to invest in, trade or use cryptocurrencies are reliable and safe. This includes three-in-ten adults who say they are not at all confident, and a third who say they are not very confident. Some groups of Americans are more concerned than others about cryptocurrency. For instance, adults ages 50 and older are more likely than younger adults to say they are not very or not at all confident in its reliability and safety (71% vs. 55%). (PEW) 24 October, 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
865-871-22 A Look At The State Of Affordable Housing In The U.S. (Click for Details) (USA) One commonly used (though also criticized) benchmark for housing affordability is that no more than 30% of household income should go toward housing costs. Households that spend more than that are considered “cost burdened” by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. By that standard, 31.3% of American households were cost burdened in 2023, including 27.1% of households with a mortgage and 49.7% of households that rent, according to 1-year estimates from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS). (PEW) 25 October, 2024 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
865-871-23 17 States Haven’t Had A Female U.S. Senator, And 18 Haven’t Had A Woman Governor (Click for Details) (USA) If Kamala Harris wins the presidency this November, she will be the first woman ever elected to the highest political office of the United States. Overall, 17 states have never had a female senator, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of Senate historical records. This fall, Senate races in Delaware, Indiana, New Mexico, Rhode Island and Utah each feature a woman nominee who could become the state’s first. Among the 18 states that have never had a woman governor, two – Indiana and Missouri – have a woman on the ballot in this year’s general election. (PEW) 01 November, 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
● AUSTRALIA
865-871-24 Risk Of Mortgage Stress Eases For Third Straight Month (Click for Details) (Australia) The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 917,000 since May 2022 when the RBA began a cycle of interest rate increases. Official interest rates are now at 4.35%, the highest interest rates have been since December 2011, over a decade ago. The number of Australians considered ‘Extremely At Risk’, is now numbered at 1,082,000 (18.3% of mortgage holders) which is significantly above the long-term average over the last 10 years of 14.6%. (Roy Morgan) 22 October, 2024 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
865-871-25 ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Jumps 4.1pts To 87.5 – Highest Since January 2023 After Negative Sentiment Subsides (Click for Details) (Australia) Now nearly a quarter of Australians, 24% (up 3ppts), say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to 45% (down 4ppts) that say their families are ‘worse off’. Views on personal finances over the next year have improved this week with over a third of respondents, 34% (up 1ppt), expecting their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year while only 29% (down 2ppts), expect to be ‘worse off’. (Roy Morgan) 22 October, 2024 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
● MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
865-871-26 Consumer Confidence Largely Up Latin American Countries (Click for Details) Among 29 economies measured, seven show significant gains in consumer sentiment, and five show a notable decline. Based only on the “legacy 20 countries” tracked since March 2010, the Index would read at 47.4, virtually unchanged (+0.1 point) from August. The “legacy 20” index remains about two points higher than its reading from this time last year. Sentiment is largely up in Latin America. Mexico (+3.9 points) and Peru (+3.2 points) both show significant gains this month. (Ipsos Global) 20 September, 2024 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
865-871-27 Understanding Digital Concerns, A Survey Across 29 Countries (Click for Details) As digital connectivity becomes increasingly integrated into daily life, concerns about privacy and data security are on the rise. The survey reveals that 45% of respondents are worried about sharing personal information online, while half of those surveyed believe that social networks have become overwhelming. These statistics underscore a significant global unease with the digital footprint we leave behind. In Africa, only 16% of respondents feel they know what happens to their data, while awareness is slightly higher in Europe at 25%. (WIN) 29 September, 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
865-871-28 45% Of The Population Considers Mental Health To Be The Main Challenge Facing Society (Click for Details) Mental health has established itself as the world's greatest health concern for the third consecutive year, surpassing even diseases such as cancer. Globally, 45% of the population considers mental health to be the main challenge facing society, a figure that rises to 59% in Spain, being the second European country that most perceives it as such, only behind Sweden (68%). (Ipsos Global) 07 October, 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
865-871-29 More Than One In Two Feel Their Country Needs To Do More On Its Infrastructure Needs; A Survey Across 32 Nations (Click for Details) Overall ratings of infrastructure and of specific sectors have improved over the past 12 months according to the Ipsos/Global Infrastructure Investor Association (GIIA) Global Infrastructure Index. But across 32 countries, an average of 56% of citizens think their country is not doing enough to meet its infrastructure needs. 68% agree that investing in infrastructure will create new jobs and boost the economy. The Index finds considerable variation in sentiment and priorities across the world, between and within regions. (Ipsos Global) 14 October, 2024 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK Dissatisfaction With Democracy Is Widespread In Japan Ahead Of Snap Election ►This page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
Dissatisfaction With Democracy Is Widespread In Japan Ahead Of Snap Election Japan’s new prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, has called a snap election for Oct. 27, saying he wants his administration to face a public vote of confidence “as soon as possible.” Ishiba’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has led Japan for nearly 70 consecutive years, but has been rocked by a slew of recent scandals. Here are key facts about Japan’s democracy ahead of the election, based on a Pew Research Center survey of 1,003 Japanese adults, conducted Jan. 5-March 9, 2024. The survey was fielded amid a slush fund scandal that resulted in the indictment of several LDP lawmakers. Japan is unique among highly developed democracies for having had only one governing party for most of the last seven decades. The Liberal Democratic Party has held power in Japan for 65 of the 69 years since the party’s founding in 1955. In all other member states of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) – a group of mostly highly developed, democratic countries – no party has held power for as much of the last seven decades. Even some of the other relatively long-serving parties in OECD countries, such as the Christian Democratic Union in Germany and the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom, have ruled their countries for fewer than five decades over this same time period. While the LDP has remained in power for decades, it often rules in coalition with other parties. For example, it has relied heavily on its coalition with the Buddhist Komeito party since 1999. Favorability of Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party has declined significantly since 2023. As of this past March, only 30% of Japanese adults had a favorable view of the LDP, while 68% had an unfavorable view. This represents a sharp decline from 2023 and marks the lowest favorability rating for the party in our seven years of polling on the topic. Other political parties in Japan are similarly unpopular today. For example, only 29% of Japanese adults have a favorable view of the LDP’s main opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP). Still, views of the CDP have consistently been fairly negative, while the decline in views of the LDP over the past year has been much more pronounced. Most Japanese adults (56%) say they do not feel close to any political party. This is far higher than the share of adults who do not identify with any political party in other countries surveyed, as the Center has reported previously. In Japan, a large majority of people who do not feel close to any party also do not lean toward one particular party over others. Indeed, only 21% of Japanese adults say they support the LDP on a regular basis. Still, this is far more support than any other party receives. The next closest are the opposition Constitutional Democratic Party and Japan Innovation Party, at 4% each. Low party enthusiasm may also relate to low turnout. Previous analysis by Pew Research Center shows that Japan is among the OECD countries with the lowest voter turnout, despite having automatic voter registration. Only around a third of Japanese adults say they are satisfied with the way democracy is working in their country today. This marks the lowest point in a steady downward trend since 2019. Still, those with a favorable opinion of the governing Liberal Democratic Party are much more satisfied with democracy than those who have an unfavorable view of the LDP (58% vs. 19%). This has consistently been the case in recent years. (PEW) 22 October, 2024 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/10/22/dissatisfaction-with-democracy-is-widespread-in-japan-ahead-of-snap-election/
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: ► The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
● GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not-for-profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof. *Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact natasha@galluppakistan.com